Iowa
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#60
Expected Predictive Rating-5.4#255
Pace74.1#85
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+8.1#12
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#149
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 2.2% 2.5% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 6.1% 6.7% 1.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.6% 26.4% 10.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 23.6% 25.4% 10.1%
Average Seed 8.0 8.0 8.6
.500 or above 47.1% 50.5% 21.8%
.500 or above in Conference 40.4% 42.7% 23.4%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.2% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 5.7% 11.8%
First Four2.8% 3.1% 1.1%
First Round23.1% 24.8% 10.1%
Second Round12.9% 13.8% 6.0%
Sweet Sixteen4.4% 4.8% 1.2%
Elite Eight1.9% 2.1% 0.6%
Final Four0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oral Roberts (Home) - 88.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 11
Quad 24 - 48 - 15
Quad 33 - 111 - 16
Quad 45 - 015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 331   SIU Edwardsville W 87-60 97%     1 - 0 +12.7 +1.7 +9.8
  Nov 11, 2019 80   DePaul L 78-93 68%     1 - 1 -11.4 -5.3 -3.9
  Nov 15, 2019 177   Oral Roberts W 94-81 88%    
  Nov 21, 2019 154   North Florida W 88-77 85%    
  Nov 24, 2019 311   Cal Poly W 87-66 97%    
  Nov 28, 2019 11   Texas Tech L 73-81 24%    
  Dec 03, 2019 58   @ Syracuse L 70-73 39%    
  Dec 06, 2019 29   @ Michigan L 69-76 28%    
  Dec 09, 2019 69   Minnesota W 78-74 64%    
  Dec 12, 2019 41   @ Iowa St. L 77-82 32%    
  Dec 21, 2019 24   Cincinnati L 72-76 35%    
  Dec 29, 2019 332   Kennesaw St. W 88-65 98%    
  Jan 04, 2020 25   Penn St. L 77-81 37%    
  Jan 07, 2020 148   @ Nebraska W 77-72 66%    
  Jan 10, 2020 10   Maryland L 77-82 32%    
  Jan 14, 2020 111   @ Northwestern W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 17, 2020 29   Michigan L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 22, 2020 76   Rutgers W 76-71 66%    
  Jan 27, 2020 38   Wisconsin W 70-69 52%    
  Jan 30, 2020 10   @ Maryland L 74-85 17%    
  Feb 02, 2020 54   Illinois W 83-81 59%    
  Feb 05, 2020 18   @ Purdue L 71-80 24%    
  Feb 08, 2020 148   Nebraska W 80-69 82%    
  Feb 13, 2020 45   @ Indiana L 75-80 34%    
  Feb 16, 2020 69   @ Minnesota L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 20, 2020 9   Ohio St. L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 25, 2020 1   @ Michigan St. L 72-87 10%    
  Feb 29, 2020 25   Penn St. L 79-80 46%    
  Mar 03, 2020 18   Purdue L 74-77 43%    
  Mar 08, 2020 54   @ Illinois L 80-84 38%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.2 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.8 0.8 0.1 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.4 1.1 0.1 6.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.2 1.2 0.1 7.5 5th
6th 0.4 2.5 3.9 1.5 0.2 8.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.0 2.2 0.1 8.8 7th
8th 0.4 2.3 5.3 2.7 0.3 0.0 11.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 3.4 0.5 10.8 9th
10th 0.2 1.8 4.5 3.5 0.6 0.0 10.6 10th
11th 0.2 1.7 3.6 2.8 0.7 0.1 9.1 11th
12th 0.4 1.6 3.1 2.8 0.9 0.0 8.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.3 1.6 0.5 0.1 6.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.5 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.1 4.8 6.7 9.0 10.5 11.5 12.0 10.3 9.6 7.4 5.2 4.0 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 59.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1
16-4 27.7% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 12.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 1.8 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 9.0% 91.0% 2.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 15.6% 84.4% 3.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.0% 100.0% 12.5% 87.5% 4.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.1% 99.3% 6.0% 93.4% 5.7 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
14-6 4.0% 95.1% 7.7% 87.5% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 94.7%
13-7 5.2% 85.8% 2.7% 83.1% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.0 0.7 85.4%
12-8 7.4% 71.2% 2.6% 68.6% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.1 70.4%
11-9 9.6% 46.3% 1.0% 45.2% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.1 45.7%
10-10 10.3% 19.6% 1.1% 18.6% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.2 8.3 18.8%
9-11 12.0% 5.0% 0.5% 4.5% 9.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 11.4 4.6%
8-12 11.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.4 0.6%
7-13 10.5% 10.5
6-14 9.0% 9.0
5-15 6.7% 6.7
4-16 4.8% 4.8
3-17 3.1% 3.1
2-18 1.3% 1.3
1-19 0.5% 0.5
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 24.6% 1.3% 23.3% 8.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.2 2.8 4.4 3.5 3.8 3.4 0.6 0.0 75.4 23.6%