Hawaii
Big West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#202
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#209
Pace68.4#219
Improvement-0.4#229

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#225
First Shot+0.3#157
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#270
Layup/Dunks+0.2#164
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#120
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#152
Freethrows-1.5#253
Improvement-0.5#261

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#182
First Shot-0.3#178
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#200
Layups/Dunks-1.3#221
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#105
Freethrows-1.0#232
Improvement+0.1#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.8% 11.7% 8.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 72.2% 79.1% 54.9%
.500 or above in Conference 74.2% 77.9% 64.9%
Conference Champion 12.2% 13.5% 8.9%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 2.8% 5.0%
First Four1.6% 1.4% 2.2%
First Round10.0% 11.0% 7.7%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 71.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 43 - 8
Quad 414 - 516 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 341   Florida A&M W 65-52 90%     1 - 0 -3.3 -14.8 +11.3
  Nov 10, 2019 147   South Dakota L 75-81 50%     1 - 1 -8.2 -4.3 -3.7
  Nov 11, 2019 235   Pacific W 72-67 67%     2 - 1 -1.9 +7.4 -8.5
  Nov 15, 2019 274   Portland St. W 83-75 74%     3 - 1 -0.9 -4.1 +2.5
  Nov 18, 2019 57   @ Illinois L 53-66 10%     3 - 2 -0.8 -14.0 +13.1
  Nov 24, 2019 262   New Orleans W 73-67 72%    
  Nov 30, 2019 98   San Francisco L 68-72 35%    
  Dec 07, 2019 12   @ Oregon L 57-78 3%    
  Dec 15, 2019 203   Samford W 73-70 61%    
  Dec 22, 2019 136   UTEP L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 29, 2019 305   Maine W 71-61 82%    
  Jan 09, 2020 217   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 11, 2020 100   @ UC Irvine L 62-72 18%    
  Jan 17, 2020 314   Cal Poly W 75-64 83%    
  Jan 19, 2020 170   UC Santa Barbara W 69-68 55%    
  Jan 26, 2020 309   UC Davis W 71-61 82%    
  Feb 02, 2020 292   Cal St. Northridge W 80-72 76%    
  Feb 06, 2020 170   @ UC Santa Barbara L 66-71 35%    
  Feb 08, 2020 314   @ Cal Poly W 72-67 65%    
  Feb 13, 2020 252   Long Beach St. W 76-71 69%    
  Feb 16, 2020 100   UC Irvine L 65-69 36%    
  Feb 20, 2020 275   @ UC Riverside W 63-62 52%    
  Feb 22, 2020 252   @ Long Beach St. L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 28, 2020 217   Cal St. Fullerton W 71-67 63%    
  Mar 01, 2020 275   UC Riverside W 66-59 72%    
  Mar 05, 2020 309   @ UC Davis W 68-64 64%    
  Mar 07, 2020 292   @ Cal St. Northridge W 77-75 58%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.3 2.9 3.8 2.7 1.2 0.2 12.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.1 7.0 5.4 2.2 0.3 19.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 5.3 7.8 4.2 0.7 0.1 19.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.9 6.0 2.8 0.3 16.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 4.6 5.2 1.6 0.1 12.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.4 3.8 1.0 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.5 0.5 0.0 5.9 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.2 1.4 0.4 3.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.8 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.4 4.3 7.3 10.1 13.2 13.8 15.1 12.8 9.1 6.0 2.9 1.2 0.2 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
15-1 100.0% 1.2    1.1 0.1
14-2 90.2% 2.7    2.0 0.6
13-3 63.4% 3.8    2.2 1.4 0.1
12-4 32.1% 2.9    1.2 1.3 0.4 0.1
11-5 10.1% 1.3    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 12.2% 12.2 6.9 4.1 1.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.2% 54.8% 54.8% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
15-1 1.2% 42.2% 42.2% 13.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7
14-2 2.9% 32.6% 32.6% 13.8 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.0
13-3 6.0% 23.3% 23.3% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.0 4.6
12-4 9.1% 19.6% 19.6% 14.7 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.2 7.3
11-5 12.8% 15.0% 15.0% 15.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 10.8
10-6 15.1% 11.4% 11.4% 15.4 0.2 0.7 0.9 13.3
9-7 13.8% 7.5% 7.5% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 12.8
8-8 13.2% 5.7% 5.7% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 12.5
7-9 10.1% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.1 0.4 9.6
6-10 7.3% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.1
5-11 4.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.3
4-12 2.4% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-13 1.1% 1.1
2-14 0.4% 0.4
1-15 0.1% 0.1
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 14.9 0.2 1.0 2.3 3.8 3.6 89.2 0.0%