Hawaii
Big West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.4#170
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#128
Pace72.1#100
Improvement-1.4#239

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#194
First Shot+1.3#134
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#306
Layup/Dunks+1.9#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#247
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#158
Freethrows+0.5#134
Improvement-1.9#273

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#155
First Shot-0.4#173
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#117
Layups/Dunks-3.3#306
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#126
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#63
Freethrows-0.7#228
Improvement+0.5#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.9% 20.7% 17.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 98.2% 99.2% 94.6%
.500 or above in Conference 92.3% 95.4% 81.5%
Conference Champion 24.4% 28.4% 10.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.4% 0.2% 1.2%
First Four0.4% 0.2% 1.0%
First Round19.7% 20.6% 16.6%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cal St. Northridge (Home) - 77.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 44 - 8
Quad 415 - 319 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 313   Florida A&M W 65-52 86%     1 - 0 +1.2 -12.8 +13.7
  Nov 10, 2019 173   South Dakota L 75-81 62%     1 - 1 -9.5 -6.7 -2.6
  Nov 11, 2019 162   Pacific W 72-67 59%     2 - 1 +2.2 +10.6 -7.5
  Nov 15, 2019 217   Portland St. W 83-75 72%     3 - 1 +1.6 -3.8 +4.7
  Nov 18, 2019 25   @ Illinois L 53-66 7%     3 - 2 +2.8 -12.4 +15.2
  Nov 24, 2019 323   New Orleans W 79-71 87%     4 - 2 -4.7 -5.6 +0.5
  Nov 29, 2019 100   San Francisco W 85-75 41%     5 - 2 +11.9 +10.3 +1.6
  Dec 07, 2019 18   @ Oregon L 64-89 7%     5 - 3 -8.4 +1.9 -11.8
  Dec 15, 2019 286   Samford W 94-73 81%     6 - 3 +11.2 -0.1 +8.2
  Dec 22, 2019 152   UTEP W 67-63 57%     7 - 3 +1.8 -6.1 +7.8
  Dec 23, 2019 52   Washington L 61-72 24%     7 - 4 -4.0 -10.7 +7.6
  Dec 25, 2019 71   Georgia Tech L 53-70 32%     7 - 5 -12.6 -14.5 +1.9
  Dec 29, 2019 335   Maine W 91-51 90%     8 - 5 +25.8 +20.3 +9.4
  Jan 09, 2020 260   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 75-69 58%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +3.4 +3.8 -0.4
  Jan 11, 2020 122   @ UC Irvine L 60-74 28%     9 - 6 1 - 1 -8.2 -4.5 -4.8
  Jan 16, 2020 327   Cal Poly W 65-61 88%     10 - 6 2 - 1 -9.3 -16.4 +6.9
  Jan 18, 2020 184   UC Santa Barbara W 70-63 63%     11 - 6 3 - 1 +3.1 -1.1 +4.8
  Feb 02, 2020 263   Cal St. Northridge W 81-73 77%    
  Feb 06, 2020 184   @ UC Santa Barbara L 68-70 41%    
  Feb 08, 2020 327   @ Cal Poly W 72-65 74%    
  Feb 13, 2020 297   Long Beach St. W 78-68 83%    
  Feb 16, 2020 122   UC Irvine L 69-70 49%    
  Feb 20, 2020 236   @ UC Riverside W 65-64 53%    
  Feb 22, 2020 297   @ Long Beach St. W 75-71 66%    
  Feb 28, 2020 260   Cal St. Fullerton W 73-65 78%    
  Mar 01, 2020 236   UC Riverside W 68-61 73%    
  Mar 05, 2020 252   @ UC Davis W 71-69 56%    
  Mar 07, 2020 263   @ Cal St. Northridge W 78-76 57%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 10 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.8 6.8 9.1 5.4 1.3 24.4 1st
2nd 0.2 5.0 14.8 13.8 5.1 0.8 39.7 2nd
3rd 2.5 8.7 4.8 0.5 16.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 5.3 3.1 0.2 9.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 2.6 0.2 4.7 5th
6th 0.7 2.3 0.3 3.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 0.5 1.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 5.2 10.9 17.0 21.5 21.2 14.1 6.2 1.3 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 1.3    1.2 0.1
13-3 86.5% 5.4    3.9 1.5
12-4 64.3% 9.1    5.2 3.8 0.1
11-5 32.3% 6.8    2.1 3.8 0.9 0.1
10-6 8.1% 1.8    0.1 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0
9-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1
8-8 0.0%
Total 24.4% 24.4 12.5 9.8 1.8 0.3 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 1.3% 30.2% 30.2% 12.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9
13-3 6.2% 32.6% 32.6% 13.4 0.1 1.0 0.8 0.1 4.2
12-4 14.1% 27.1% 27.1% 14.1 0.6 2.2 0.9 0.0 10.3
11-5 21.2% 23.3% 23.3% 14.4 0.4 2.1 2.3 0.1 16.2
10-6 21.5% 19.2% 19.2% 14.8 0.1 1.1 2.6 0.5 17.4
9-7 17.0% 15.5% 15.5% 15.1 0.3 1.8 0.6 14.4
8-8 10.9% 12.1% 12.1% 15.4 0.1 0.7 0.6 9.6
7-9 5.2% 11.2% 11.2% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 4.6
6-10 1.9% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.1 1.9
5-11 0.5% 0.5
4-12 0.1% 0.1
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 19.9% 19.9% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.3 2.2 6.6 8.5 2.3 80.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 12.6 2.6 46.2 43.6 7.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%