Siena
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.1#180
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#130
Pace73.2#93
Improvement+0.0#173

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#216
First Shot-2.5#253
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#118
Layup/Dunks+0.1#165
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#211
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#224
Freethrows+0.0#175
Improvement-1.7#341

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#156
First Shot-1.6#215
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#73
Layups/Dunks+2.7#91
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#298
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#255
Freethrows+0.9#141
Improvement+1.6#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.8% 27.9% 22.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.3 14.9
.500 or above 87.5% 95.6% 84.7%
.500 or above in Conference 90.5% 94.6% 89.1%
Conference Champion 31.9% 40.6% 28.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.2% 0.7%
First Four2.4% 1.2% 2.9%
First Round22.6% 27.4% 20.9%
Second Round1.4% 2.2% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Yale (Away) - 26.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 43 - 6
Quad 417 - 520 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 230   American W 96-80 71%     1 - 0 +9.3 +10.9 -2.7
  Nov 08, 2019 35   @ Xavier L 63-81 8%     1 - 1 -3.4 -4.5 +2.1
  Nov 12, 2019 144   St. Bonaventure W 78-65 52%     2 - 1 +11.3 +5.6 +5.8
  Nov 14, 2019 100   @ Harvard L 56-59 20%     2 - 2 +4.8 -12.7 +17.5
  Nov 20, 2019 121   @ Yale L 71-78 26%    
  Nov 30, 2019 151   @ Colgate L 71-76 33%    
  Dec 07, 2019 314   @ Cal Poly W 74-68 71%    
  Dec 21, 2019 163   Bucknell W 76-74 58%    
  Dec 23, 2019 298   Canisius W 78-68 82%    
  Dec 29, 2019 341   Holy Cross W 80-65 92%    
  Jan 03, 2020 269   Monmouth W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 05, 2020 193   @ Rider L 78-80 41%    
  Jan 09, 2020 326   St. Peter's W 69-56 87%    
  Jan 12, 2020 262   @ Manhattan W 67-66 55%    
  Jan 17, 2020 298   @ Canisius W 75-71 65%    
  Jan 19, 2020 331   @ Niagara W 78-71 74%    
  Jan 24, 2020 332   Marist W 72-58 88%    
  Jan 26, 2020 266   Quinnipiac W 75-68 75%    
  Jan 31, 2020 198   @ Iona L 76-78 44%    
  Feb 02, 2020 326   @ St. Peter's W 66-59 72%    
  Feb 07, 2020 286   Fairfield W 70-61 78%    
  Feb 14, 2020 193   Rider W 81-77 62%    
  Feb 16, 2020 262   Manhattan W 70-63 74%    
  Feb 19, 2020 198   Iona W 79-75 63%    
  Feb 23, 2020 286   @ Fairfield W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 26, 2020 266   @ Quinnipiac W 72-71 56%    
  Feb 28, 2020 332   @ Marist W 69-61 74%    
  Mar 04, 2020 331   Niagara W 81-68 87%    
  Mar 06, 2020 269   @ Monmouth W 71-69 56%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 14 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.9 5.2 7.6 7.5 5.7 2.6 0.8 31.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.7 6.3 6.2 3.7 1.1 0.2 21.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.0 5.2 4.1 1.4 0.2 14.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 2.9 4.2 2.6 0.5 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 3.6 7th
8th 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 2.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.0 1.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.7 4.0 5.5 8.1 9.6 12.1 12.8 12.9 11.6 8.6 5.9 2.6 0.8 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
19-1 100.0% 2.6    2.5 0.0
18-2 96.9% 5.7    5.3 0.4
17-3 87.4% 7.5    6.4 1.0 0.1
16-4 66.1% 7.6    4.9 2.4 0.3 0.0
15-5 40.6% 5.2    2.3 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0
14-6 14.7% 1.9    0.5 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 31.9% 31.9 22.9 6.9 1.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.8% 61.1% 61.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3
19-1 2.6% 51.8% 51.8% 13.2 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2
18-2 5.9% 47.1% 47.1% 13.8 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.5 0.0 3.1
17-3 8.6% 41.9% 41.9% 14.1 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.2 0.1 5.0
16-4 11.6% 32.9% 32.9% 14.5 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.9 0.2 7.8
15-5 12.9% 28.0% 28.0% 15.0 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.8 9.3
14-6 12.8% 24.8% 24.8% 15.3 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.3 9.6
13-7 12.1% 18.4% 18.4% 15.6 0.1 0.8 1.4 9.9
12-8 9.6% 12.5% 12.5% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 8.4
11-9 8.1% 9.6% 9.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 7.3
10-10 5.5% 9.3% 9.3% 15.8 0.1 0.4 5.0
9-11 4.0% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.1 3.9
8-12 2.7% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 2.7
7-13 1.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
6-14 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 0.8
5-15 0.4% 0.4
4-16 0.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 23.8% 23.8% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.6 5.9 8.4 6.1 76.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 10.9 2.0 2.0 3.9 5.9 3.9 35.3 45.1 2.0