Chicago St.
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-20.7#353
Expected Predictive Rating-14.9#335
Pace75.7#54
Improvement-0.8#282

Offense
Total Offense-9.2#347
First Shot-6.5#326
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#299
Layup/Dunks-5.6#323
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#250
Freethrows+0.8#126
Improvement-0.6#276

Defense
Total Defense-11.4#353
First Shot-6.2#330
After Offensive Rebounds-5.2#346
Layups/Dunks-1.4#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#173
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#251
Freethrows-3.0#299
Improvement-0.1#215
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 93.9% 100.0% 93.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida St. (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 70 - 12
Quad 41 - 142 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 230   Loyola Maryland L 85-98 10%     0 - 1 -19.6 -4.2 -13.6
  Nov 12, 2019 190   @ Eastern Illinois L 34-98 3%     0 - 2 -62.7 -41.7 -15.0
  Nov 16, 2019 17   @ Purdue L 49-93 0.3%    0 - 3 -27.1 -12.0 -19.4
  Nov 25, 2019 23   @ Florida St. L 56-93 0.1%   
  Nov 29, 2019 229   Jacksonville St. L 66-83 6%    
  Dec 04, 2019 329   @ SIU Edwardsville L 70-83 13%    
  Dec 06, 2019 242   @ Tennessee St. L 68-87 4%    
  Dec 17, 2019 180   Oral Roberts L 75-92 6%    
  Dec 19, 2019 173   Northern Illinois L 64-81 7%    
  Dec 22, 2019 160   @ Indiana St. L 66-89 2%    
  Dec 30, 2019 47   @ Missouri L 56-90 0.1%   
  Jan 02, 2020 233   Utah Valley L 67-81 11%    
  Jan 04, 2020 249   Seattle L 68-81 13%    
  Jan 09, 2020 94   @ New Mexico St. L 59-88 0.4%   
  Jan 11, 2020 283   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 66-83 6%    
  Jan 16, 2020 170   Grand Canyon L 67-84 6%    
  Jan 18, 2020 221   Cal St. Bakersfield L 64-79 10%    
  Jan 22, 2020 222   @ California Baptist L 69-89 5%    
  Feb 01, 2020 266   UMKC L 66-78 14%    
  Feb 06, 2020 94   New Mexico St. L 62-85 3%    
  Feb 08, 2020 283   UT Rio Grande Valley L 69-80 17%    
  Feb 13, 2020 221   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 61-82 4%    
  Feb 15, 2020 170   @ Grand Canyon L 64-87 3%    
  Feb 22, 2020 222   California Baptist L 72-86 11%    
  Feb 29, 2020 266   @ UMKC L 63-81 7%    
  Mar 05, 2020 249   @ Seattle L 65-84 5%    
  Mar 07, 2020 233   @ Utah Valley L 64-84 5%    
Projected Record 2 - 25 1 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.1 1.8 7th
8th 0.5 1.5 2.4 2.5 0.8 0.1 7.8 8th
9th 37.4 31.3 14.8 5.2 0.7 0.1 89.5 9th
Total 37.4 31.8 16.3 7.7 4.0 1.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.1% 0.1
9-7 0.0% 0.0
8-8 0.0% 0.0
7-9 0.3% 0.3
6-10 0.5% 0.5
5-11 1.9% 1.9
4-12 4.0% 4.0
3-13 7.7% 7.7
2-14 16.3% 16.3
1-15 31.8% 31.8
0-16 37.4% 37.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 29.0%