Purdue
Big Ten
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.4#20
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#60
Pace60.2#346
Improvement+2.3#85

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#46
First Shot+1.8#112
After Offensive Rebound+3.4#11
Layup/Dunks+2.0#96
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#148
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#187
Freethrows+0.0#175
Improvement+1.9#70

Defense
Total Defense+8.3#15
First Shot+6.9#23
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#64
Layups/Dunks+4.2#38
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#123
Freethrows+2.1#52
Improvement+0.4#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 7.8% 12.8% 4.0%
Top 6 Seed 23.3% 34.3% 14.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 59.3% 74.5% 47.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 56.8% 72.4% 45.1%
Average Seed 7.3 6.8 7.7
.500 or above 82.6% 92.9% 74.7%
.500 or above in Conference 59.7% 76.2% 47.0%
Conference Champion 1.4% 2.7% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four4.5% 4.1% 4.8%
First Round57.6% 73.0% 45.8%
Second Round37.7% 48.3% 29.5%
Sweet Sixteen17.4% 23.2% 13.0%
Elite Eight8.2% 11.1% 5.9%
Final Four3.6% 4.8% 2.7%
Championship Game1.5% 2.2% 1.0%
National Champion0.6% 0.8% 0.5%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 43.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 93 - 9
Quad 1b4 - 37 - 12
Quad 25 - 212 - 14
Quad 32 - 114 - 15
Quad 44 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 215   Green Bay W 79-57 96%     1 - 0 +15.8 -1.9 +17.5
  Nov 09, 2019 64   Texas L 66-70 78%     1 - 1 +1.2 +3.3 -2.4
  Nov 13, 2019 26   @ Marquette L 55-65 41%     1 - 2 +5.7 -5.4 +10.1
  Nov 16, 2019 353   Chicago St. W 93-49 99.7%    2 - 2 +19.6 +15.9 +8.0
  Nov 23, 2019 243   Jacksonville St. W 81-49 96%     3 - 2 +24.5 +13.2 +14.1
  Nov 29, 2019 43   Virginia Commonwealth W 59-56 60%     4 - 2 +13.8 -3.5 +17.4
  Nov 30, 2019 15   Florida St. L 60-63 OT 47%     4 - 3 +11.3 -7.8 +19.3
  Dec 04, 2019 47   Virginia W 69-40 72%     5 - 3 +36.3 +20.9 +21.6
  Dec 08, 2019 107   Northwestern W 58-44 86%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +15.6 -5.3 +22.9
  Dec 15, 2019 121   @ Nebraska L 56-70 77%     6 - 4 1 - 1 -8.2 -14.8 +6.7
  Dec 17, 2019 211   @ Ohio W 69-51 89%     7 - 4 +17.9 +0.2 +18.9
  Dec 21, 2019 21   Butler L 61-70 51%     7 - 5 +4.2 +0.6 +2.9
  Dec 28, 2019 189   Central Michigan W 97-62 94%     8 - 5 +30.8 +13.3 +15.0
  Jan 02, 2020 36   Minnesota W 83-78 2OT 67%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +13.8 +2.6 +10.5
  Jan 05, 2020 24   @ Illinois L 37-63 41%     9 - 6 2 - 2 -10.1 -24.1 +10.7
  Jan 09, 2020 30   @ Michigan L 78-84 2OT 43%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +9.3 +2.9 +7.2
  Jan 12, 2020 4   Michigan St. W 71-42 45%     10 - 7 3 - 3 +43.6 +16.7 +31.9
  Jan 18, 2020 7   @ Maryland L 50-57 29%     10 - 8 3 - 4 +12.2 +1.4 +9.1
  Jan 21, 2020 24   Illinois L 62-79 63%     10 - 9 3 - 5 -7.0 +2.0 -11.3
  Jan 24, 2020 28   Wisconsin W 70-51 65%     11 - 9 4 - 5 +28.5 +16.3 +15.7
  Jan 28, 2020 32   @ Rutgers L 60-62 43%    
  Feb 01, 2020 107   @ Northwestern W 64-58 71%    
  Feb 05, 2020 16   Iowa W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 08, 2020 38   @ Indiana L 62-63 46%    
  Feb 11, 2020 25   Penn St. W 67-64 63%    
  Feb 15, 2020 14   @ Ohio St. L 59-63 36%    
  Feb 18, 2020 28   @ Wisconsin L 57-59 43%    
  Feb 22, 2020 30   Michigan W 65-61 65%    
  Feb 27, 2020 38   Indiana W 65-60 68%    
  Mar 03, 2020 16   @ Iowa L 67-71 37%    
  Mar 07, 2020 32   Rutgers W 63-59 66%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.2 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.2 0.1 4.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.3 2.5 0.3 6.4 3rd
4th 0.0 2.0 4.8 0.8 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.3 6.1 2.6 0.1 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 3.0 6.2 0.4 9.6 6th
7th 0.5 7.3 2.8 0.0 10.6 7th
8th 0.1 3.1 7.3 0.3 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 7.3 3.1 11.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 4.3 6.1 0.5 11.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.5 1.6 0.0 10.2 11th
12th 0.3 1.6 3.1 1.8 0.1 6.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.1 6.4 12.6 18.7 21.5 17.7 11.8 6.1 2.2 0.3 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 69.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-6 30.3% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-7 8.3% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.3% 100.0% 27.3% 72.7% 2.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 2.2% 100.0% 17.4% 82.6% 3.5 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 100.0%
13-7 6.1% 99.8% 17.8% 82.1% 4.5 0.2 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 99.8%
12-8 11.8% 99.5% 10.8% 88.7% 5.9 0.0 0.5 1.2 2.8 3.5 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.4%
11-9 17.7% 94.7% 5.7% 89.0% 7.4 0.2 0.4 1.6 2.7 3.9 4.0 2.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.9 94.4%
10-10 21.5% 76.2% 4.6% 71.7% 8.8 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.9 3.2 3.7 2.9 0.3 0.0 5.1 75.1%
9-11 18.7% 25.2% 3.2% 22.0% 9.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.7 0.4 14.0 22.8%
8-12 12.6% 6.8% 2.4% 4.4% 10.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 11.8 4.5%
7-13 6.4% 2.5% 2.4% 0.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.2 0.2%
6-14 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 2.1
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 59.3% 5.9% 53.4% 7.3 0.1 0.5 2.8 4.4 7.0 8.5 8.7 8.7 6.6 6.0 5.3 0.9 0.0 40.7 56.8%