UMKC
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#267
Expected Predictive Rating-10.5#305
Pace65.8#284
Improvement-0.4#237

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#285
First Shot-1.6#224
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#272
Layup/Dunks+0.6#147
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#94
Freethrows-3.3#319
Improvement-0.3#222

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#227
First Shot-2.6#254
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#146
Layups/Dunks-6.7#333
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#205
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#24
Freethrows-1.7#262
Improvement-0.1#205
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 4.9% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 16.1% 23.5% 9.2%
.500 or above in Conference 46.6% 53.8% 39.9%
Conference Champion 3.5% 4.6% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 1.9% 3.4%
First Four1.8% 1.8% 1.8%
First Round3.3% 4.1% 2.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Neutral) - 48.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 12
Quad 48 - 610 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 48   @ Oklahoma St. L 51-69 5%     0 - 1 -5.1 -9.8 +3.4
  Nov 13, 2019 133   @ Drake L 58-76 16%     0 - 2 -13.0 -11.6 -1.9
  Nov 15, 2019 247   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 52-61 35%     0 - 3 -10.6 -14.9 +3.2
  Nov 22, 2019 258   George Washington L 65-66 48%    
  Nov 30, 2019 313   Western Illinois W 74-67 75%    
  Dec 04, 2019 37   @ Iowa St. L 60-80 3%    
  Dec 10, 2019 301   @ McNeese St. L 69-70 50%    
  Dec 14, 2019 4   @ Kansas L 56-84 1%    
  Dec 17, 2019 86   Toledo L 64-73 22%    
  Dec 22, 2019 149   @ South Dakota L 65-74 19%    
  Jan 02, 2020 240   Seattle W 67-65 56%    
  Jan 04, 2020 196   Utah Valley L 67-68 49%    
  Jan 09, 2020 282   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 11, 2020 93   @ New Mexico St. L 60-74 11%    
  Jan 16, 2020 244   Cal St. Bakersfield W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 18, 2020 155   Grand Canyon L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 25, 2020 222   @ California Baptist L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 01, 2020 353   @ Chicago St. W 78-66 85%    
  Feb 06, 2020 282   UT Rio Grande Valley W 70-66 64%    
  Feb 08, 2020 93   New Mexico St. L 63-71 25%    
  Feb 13, 2020 155   @ Grand Canyon L 64-73 22%    
  Feb 15, 2020 244   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 19, 2020 222   California Baptist W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 29, 2020 353   Chicago St. W 81-63 94%    
  Mar 05, 2020 196   @ Utah Valley L 64-71 29%    
  Mar 07, 2020 240   @ Seattle L 64-68 36%    
Projected Record 10 - 16 7 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.3 2.2 0.5 0.1 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 11.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.3 5.8 2.1 0.2 0.0 13.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 5.1 6.8 2.0 0.1 14.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.9 7.2 2.3 0.1 15.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 5.2 6.8 2.0 0.1 16.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 3.9 5.5 4.2 1.2 0.1 16.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.6 1.6 4.5 7.7 10.4 13.6 15.0 14.0 11.5 8.9 6.1 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
14-2 89.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1
13-3 67.8% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1
12-4 28.5% 1.0    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-5 9.0% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 26.6% 26.6% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.6% 28.2% 28.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
13-3 1.7% 23.9% 23.9% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.3
12-4 3.6% 16.8% 16.8% 15.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 3.0
11-5 6.1% 10.9% 10.9% 15.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 5.5
10-6 8.9% 5.8% 5.8% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 8.4
9-7 11.5% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.5 10.9
8-8 14.0% 3.4% 3.4% 15.9 0.0 0.4 13.5
7-9 15.0% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 14.7
6-10 13.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 13.4
5-11 10.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.4
4-12 7.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 7.7
3-13 4.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.5
2-14 1.6% 1.6
1-15 0.6% 0.6
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.6 96.0 0.0%