UMKC
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#241
Expected Predictive Rating-2.5#209
Pace66.9#247
Improvement+0.7#153

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#248
First Shot-2.0#243
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#213
Layup/Dunks+1.1#123
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#180
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#204
Freethrows-1.9#308
Improvement+1.1#114

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#228
First Shot-2.6#251
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#133
Layups/Dunks-3.8#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#65
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#27
Freethrows-4.5#344
Improvement-0.4#206
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 4.9% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 22.1% 31.0% 10.3%
.500 or above in Conference 50.9% 64.9% 32.3%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four2.3% 2.2% 2.3%
First Round3.3% 3.9% 2.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grand Canyon (Home) - 57.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 43 - 10
Quad 410 - 613 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 68   @ Oklahoma St. L 51-69 8%     0 - 1 -7.2 -9.4 +0.8
  Nov 13, 2019 145   @ Drake L 58-76 20%     0 - 2 -13.6 -11.1 -3.0
  Nov 15, 2019 250   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 52-61 41%     0 - 3 -11.1 -15.0 +2.8
  Nov 22, 2019 211   George Washington W 74-68 44%     1 - 3 +2.9 +0.2 +2.7
  Nov 23, 2019 221   East Carolina W 74-68 46%     2 - 3 +2.4 +0.8 +1.7
  Nov 24, 2019 59   Liberty L 49-62 11%     2 - 4 -4.4 -9.7 +3.1
  Nov 30, 2019 330   Western Illinois W 68-67 80%     3 - 4 -12.6 -15.2 +2.6
  Dec 04, 2019 50   @ Iowa St. L 61-79 7%     3 - 5 -5.6 -9.8 +4.8
  Dec 10, 2019 289   @ McNeese St. L 73-82 50%     3 - 6 -13.4 -8.8 -4.3
  Dec 14, 2019 1   @ Kansas L 57-98 1%     3 - 7 -16.9 -4.0 -11.7
  Dec 17, 2019 125   Toledo W 72-57 35%     4 - 7 +14.5 +1.3 +13.8
  Dec 22, 2019 203   @ South Dakota W 78-75 33%     5 - 7 +3.1 +3.9 -0.7
  Jan 02, 2020 197   Seattle W 90-86 3OT 53%     6 - 7 1 - 0 -1.2 -5.0 +2.9
  Jan 04, 2020 277   Utah Valley W 68-63 68%     7 - 7 2 - 0 -4.4 -11.2 +6.6
  Jan 09, 2020 258   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 64-76 43%     7 - 8 2 - 1 -14.6 -2.2 -13.7
  Jan 11, 2020 93   @ New Mexico St. L 71-74 12%     7 - 9 2 - 2 +5.1 +4.5 +0.5
  Jan 16, 2020 217   Cal St. Bakersfield L 64-74 OT 57%     7 - 10 2 - 3 -16.3 -11.8 -4.6
  Jan 18, 2020 218   Grand Canyon W 69-67 57%    
  Jan 25, 2020 181   @ California Baptist L 69-76 26%    
  Feb 01, 2020 353   @ Chicago St. W 80-66 90%    
  Feb 06, 2020 258   UT Rio Grande Valley W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 08, 2020 93   New Mexico St. L 62-69 27%    
  Feb 13, 2020 218   @ Grand Canyon L 66-70 35%    
  Feb 15, 2020 217   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 64-68 35%    
  Feb 19, 2020 181   California Baptist L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 29, 2020 353   Chicago St. W 83-63 97%    
  Mar 05, 2020 277   @ Utah Valley L 69-70 46%    
  Mar 07, 2020 197   @ Seattle L 65-70 32%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 1st
2nd 0.4 2.4 2.1 0.6 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 5.1 5.0 0.9 0.0 11.6 3rd
4th 0.5 6.7 8.3 1.4 0.0 16.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 6.4 10.7 2.3 0.1 19.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.7 10.9 3.7 0.1 19.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.9 8.8 3.8 0.2 17.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.0 2.2 0.1 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 2.5 8.3 16.2 21.8 21.9 16.1 8.8 3.2 0.8 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 56.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0
12-4 23.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0
11-5 6.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.1% 17.6% 17.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.8% 12.7% 12.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
11-5 3.2% 11.5% 11.5% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 2.8
10-6 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 15.7 0.2 0.5 8.1
9-7 16.1% 5.1% 5.1% 15.8 0.2 0.6 15.3
8-8 21.9% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.1 1.0 20.8
7-9 21.8% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.7 21.1
6-10 16.2% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.3 15.8
5-11 8.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 8.2
4-12 2.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
3-13 0.3% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.8 3.6 95.6 0.0%