Missouri
Southeastern
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.4#44
Expected Predictive Rating+7.2#78
Pace69.6#181
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#106
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+8.2#13
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Top 2 Seed 1.8% 2.1% 0.4%
Top 4 Seed 7.2% 8.3% 2.3%
Top 6 Seed 15.6% 17.5% 6.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.6% 50.6% 28.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 43.8% 47.7% 26.1%
Average Seed 7.6 7.5 8.3
.500 or above 77.2% 81.5% 57.4%
.500 or above in Conference 58.7% 61.8% 44.4%
Conference Champion 5.4% 6.0% 2.6%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 4.1% 7.4%
First Four5.9% 6.2% 4.5%
First Round43.5% 47.4% 25.7%
Second Round25.2% 27.8% 13.7%
Sweet Sixteen10.0% 11.2% 4.4%
Elite Eight4.0% 4.5% 1.6%
Final Four1.5% 1.6% 0.7%
Championship Game0.6% 0.6% 0.4%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Wofford (Home) - 82.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 44 - 9
Quad 26 - 310 - 12
Quad 34 - 114 - 13
Quad 45 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 347   Incarnate Word W 82-42 99%     1 - 0 +22.3 -10.2 +28.4
  Nov 08, 2019 139   Northern Kentucky W 71-56 86%     2 - 0 +13.5 +1.2 +13.2
  Nov 12, 2019 27   @ Xavier L 58-63 OT 31%     2 - 1 +10.5 -13.3 +24.4
  Nov 18, 2019 110   Wofford W 75-65 82%    
  Nov 20, 2019 215   Morehead St. W 76-60 94%    
  Nov 25, 2019 39   Butler L 64-65 48%    
  Dec 03, 2019 296   Charleston Southern W 77-56 97%    
  Dec 07, 2019 93   @ Temple W 69-67 56%    
  Dec 15, 2019 207   Southern Illinois W 70-54 93%    
  Dec 21, 2019 54   Illinois W 72-71 55%    
  Dec 30, 2019 353   Chicago St. W 91-57 99.9%   
  Jan 04, 2020 5   @ Kentucky L 61-72 16%    
  Jan 07, 2020 29   Tennessee W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 11, 2020 22   Florida W 63-62 50%    
  Jan 14, 2020 57   @ Mississippi St. L 65-67 45%    
  Jan 18, 2020 52   @ Alabama L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 21, 2020 74   Texas A&M W 70-64 71%    
  Jan 25, 2020 48   @ West Virginia L 75-78 40%    
  Jan 28, 2020 65   Georgia W 76-70 69%    
  Feb 01, 2020 63   @ South Carolina L 68-69 47%    
  Feb 04, 2020 74   @ Texas A&M W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 08, 2020 31   Arkansas W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 11, 2020 26   @ LSU L 73-78 33%    
  Feb 15, 2020 33   Auburn W 70-69 55%    
  Feb 18, 2020 51   Mississippi W 71-67 62%    
  Feb 22, 2020 31   @ Arkansas L 68-73 34%    
  Feb 26, 2020 121   @ Vanderbilt W 70-65 66%    
  Feb 29, 2020 57   Mississippi St. W 68-64 65%    
  Mar 04, 2020 51   @ Mississippi L 68-70 41%    
  Mar 07, 2020 52   Alabama W 75-71 62%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.1 5.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.9 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.0 3.7 2.3 0.5 0.0 8.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.4 2.7 0.4 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.4 3.4 0.6 0.0 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.0 1.0 0.1 8.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.9 4.6 1.7 0.1 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 4.6 2.6 0.3 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 7.6 9th
10th 0.2 2.2 3.7 1.2 0.0 7.4 10th
11th 0.2 1.5 3.3 1.5 0.1 6.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.4 1.7 0.2 5.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 1.3 0.2 4.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 3.6 5.6 7.9 9.6 11.6 12.2 12.3 11.0 8.7 6.4 4.3 2.3 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 97.3% 0.4    0.3 0.0
16-2 87.0% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-3 66.6% 1.5    0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 37.9% 1.6    0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 12.6% 0.8    0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.4% 5.4 2.8 1.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 41.9% 58.1% 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.1% 100.0% 23.6% 76.4% 2.8 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.3% 99.8% 19.9% 79.9% 3.6 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
14-4 4.3% 99.5% 16.5% 83.1% 4.8 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
13-5 6.4% 98.6% 13.3% 85.3% 6.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 98.4%
12-6 8.7% 92.2% 10.3% 81.9% 7.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.7 91.3%
11-7 11.0% 81.6% 6.4% 75.2% 8.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.2 2.0 80.3%
10-8 12.3% 63.2% 3.7% 59.5% 9.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.9 0.3 4.5 61.8%
9-9 12.2% 40.0% 2.5% 37.5% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.8 0.4 0.0 7.3 38.5%
8-10 11.6% 17.3% 0.7% 16.6% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.3 9.6 16.7%
7-11 9.6% 4.6% 0.5% 4.1% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 9.1 4.1%
6-12 7.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.6% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.9 0.6%
5-13 5.6% 0.2% 0.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 5.5
4-14 3.6% 3.6
3-15 1.9% 1.9
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 46.6% 5.0% 41.6% 7.6 0.6 1.3 2.4 3.0 3.8 4.7 5.6 5.9 5.8 5.8 6.5 1.4 0.0 53.4 43.8%