Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#251
Expected Predictive Rating+3.7#127
Pace67.9#234
Improvement-0.7#252

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#285
First Shot-6.3#329
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#68
Layup/Dunks+1.6#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#210
3 Pt Jumpshots-10.1#347
Freethrows+3.1#40
Improvement-0.8#287

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#194
First Shot+0.6#146
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#254
Layups/Dunks-3.7#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#188
3 Pt Jumpshots+11.9#3
Freethrows-7.5#349
Improvement+0.1#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.6% 11.7% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.5 15.1
.500 or above 53.6% 76.9% 49.3%
.500 or above in Conference 57.7% 72.6% 54.9%
Conference Champion 8.5% 14.9% 7.3%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 2.3% 6.6%
First Four1.1% 0.9% 1.2%
First Round7.0% 11.1% 6.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Away) - 15.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 62 - 8
Quad 412 - 615 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2019 272   UC Riverside W 62-49 66%     1 - 0 +4.1 -3.6 +9.5
  Nov 20, 2019 316   UC Davis W 61-51 69%     2 - 0 +0.1 -8.0 +9.1
  Nov 23, 2019 118   @ Pepperdine L 69-80 16%    
  Nov 30, 2019 27   @ Colorado L 57-77 3%    
  Dec 07, 2019 215   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 65-70 33%    
  Dec 14, 2019 140   @ Santa Clara L 64-73 20%    
  Dec 18, 2019 315   Cal Poly W 72-64 77%    
  Dec 28, 2019 208   @ Montana St. L 66-71 32%    
  Dec 30, 2019 202   @ Montana L 64-70 31%    
  Jan 04, 2020 308   Idaho St. W 72-64 75%    
  Jan 09, 2020 292   Northern Arizona W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 11, 2020 277   Weber St. W 73-69 65%    
  Jan 16, 2020 181   @ Northern Colorado L 63-69 28%    
  Jan 18, 2020 192   @ Southern Utah L 66-72 30%    
  Jan 23, 2020 286   Portland St. W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 27, 2020 292   @ Northern Arizona L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 01, 2020 191   Eastern Washington L 71-72 50%    
  Feb 03, 2020 334   Idaho W 71-61 81%    
  Feb 06, 2020 277   @ Weber St. L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 08, 2020 308   @ Idaho St. W 69-67 55%    
  Feb 13, 2020 192   Southern Utah L 68-69 50%    
  Feb 15, 2020 181   Northern Colorado L 65-66 48%    
  Feb 20, 2020 191   @ Eastern Washington L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 22, 2020 334   @ Idaho W 68-64 64%    
  Feb 27, 2020 208   Montana St. W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 29, 2020 202   Montana W 67-66 52%    
  Mar 07, 2020 286   @ Portland St. L 72-73 47%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.1 2.1 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 8.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.2 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 3.3 4.0 1.9 0.4 0.0 10.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 3.4 4.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.5 1.9 0.2 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.2 4.2 1.8 0.2 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.2 3.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.9 2.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 8.5 9th
10th 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.2 1.7 0.6 0.1 6.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.6 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.6 4.3 6.1 7.8 9.0 10.3 10.9 10.6 10.3 8.6 6.6 4.8 3.0 1.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3
18-2 98.8% 0.8    0.8 0.0
17-3 90.4% 1.5    1.3 0.2
16-4 71.9% 2.1    1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0
15-5 43.8% 2.1    1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-6 18.2% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.5% 8.5 5.2 2.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 42.9% 42.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 43.5% 43.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 0.9% 38.1% 38.1% 13.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
17-3 1.7% 33.6% 33.6% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1
16-4 3.0% 28.8% 28.8% 14.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 2.1
15-5 4.8% 20.8% 20.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.1 3.8
14-6 6.6% 17.7% 17.7% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 5.4
13-7 8.6% 12.5% 12.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 7.6
12-8 10.3% 9.3% 9.3% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 9.4
11-9 10.6% 6.0% 6.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 10.0
10-10 10.9% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 10.4
9-11 10.3% 2.4% 2.4% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.0
8-12 9.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.9
7-13 7.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 7.8
6-14 6.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.1
5-15 4.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.2
4-16 2.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-17 1.4% 1.4
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.6% 7.6% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.8 2.7 92.4 0.0%