Sacramento St.
Big Sky
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#199
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#206
Pace60.4#341
Improvement-0.4#192

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#275
First Shot-5.5#322
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#61
Layup/Dunks-2.0#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#322
Freethrows+0.6#133
Improvement+3.2#37

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#114
First Shot+0.6#141
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#54
Layups/Dunks-1.3#230
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#210
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#15
Freethrows-2.4#315
Improvement-3.6#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 30 - 91 - 12
Quad 413 - 214 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2019 220   UC Riverside W 62-49 67%     1 - 0 +6.4 -2.2 +10.5
  Nov 20, 2019 221   UC Davis W 61-51 56%     2 - 0 +6.4 -9.8 +17.3
  Nov 23, 2019 135   @ Pepperdine W 77-72 25%     3 - 0 +10.2 +0.0 +9.9
  Nov 30, 2019 38   @ Colorado L 45-59 8%     3 - 1 -0.1 -19.1 +18.7
  Dec 07, 2019 269   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 62-59 55%     4 - 1 -0.1 -6.8 +6.9
  Dec 14, 2019 162   @ Santa Clara L 58-60 30%     4 - 2 +1.5 -9.7 +11.1
  Dec 18, 2019 317   Cal Poly W 57-56 83%     5 - 2 -11.3 -14.9 +3.7
  Dec 28, 2019 239   @ Montana St. L 51-66 47%     5 - 3 0 - 1 -16.2 -16.4 -1.0
  Dec 30, 2019 153   @ Montana L 50-52 29%     5 - 4 0 - 2 +1.9 -16.3 +18.1
  Jan 04, 2020 307   Idaho St. W 68-49 81%     6 - 4 1 - 2 +7.9 +2.5 +9.7
  Jan 09, 2020 229   Northern Arizona W 64-57 68%     7 - 4 2 - 2 +0.1 -7.3 +8.1
  Jan 11, 2020 275   Weber St. W 71-57 76%     8 - 4 3 - 2 +4.6 +8.0 -0.4
  Jan 16, 2020 99   @ Northern Colorado L 52-71 17%     8 - 5 3 - 3 -10.9 -11.4 -2.0
  Jan 18, 2020 177   @ Southern Utah L 49-74 33%     8 - 6 3 - 4 -22.5 -18.9 -4.3
  Jan 23, 2020 185   Portland St. W 66-55 58%     9 - 6 4 - 4 +7.0 -6.7 +14.8
  Jan 27, 2020 229   @ Northern Arizona L 54-69 46%     9 - 7 4 - 5 -15.8 -13.1 -4.9
  Feb 01, 2020 133   Eastern Washington L 54-59 45%     9 - 8 4 - 6 -5.7 -11.8 +5.4
  Feb 03, 2020 324   Idaho L 53-67 86%     9 - 9 4 - 7 -27.5 -23.8 -4.0
  Feb 06, 2020 275   @ Weber St. L 66-70 55%     9 - 10 4 - 8 -7.3 -2.5 -5.2
  Feb 08, 2020 307   @ Idaho St. W 63-59 62%     10 - 10 5 - 8 -1.1 -2.5 +2.2
  Feb 13, 2020 177   Southern Utah W 70-55 56%     11 - 10 6 - 8 +11.5 +2.5 +10.0
  Feb 15, 2020 99   Northern Colorado L 65-68 35%     11 - 11 6 - 9 -0.9 +1.1 -2.5
  Feb 20, 2020 133   @ Eastern Washington L 76-77 24%     11 - 12 6 - 10 +4.4 +9.7 -5.4
  Feb 22, 2020 324   @ Idaho W 67-56 70%     12 - 12 7 - 10 +3.6 -8.6 +12.1
  Feb 27, 2020 239   Montana St. W 81-52 70%     13 - 12 8 - 10 +21.7 +9.2 +13.5
  Feb 29, 2020 153   Montana L 71-79 51%     13 - 13 8 - 11 -10.1 +2.4 -13.1
  Mar 07, 2020 185   @ Portland St. L 72-76 35%     13 - 14 8 - 12 -1.9 -3.0 +1.0
  Mar 11, 2020 275   Weber St. W 62-54 67%     14 - 14 +1.6 -8.8 +11.2
Projected Record 14 - 14 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 100.0% 100.0
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%