Pepperdine
West Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#141
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#160
Pace75.0#51
Improvement+2.5#80

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#65
First Shot+4.1#61
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#174
Layup/Dunks-3.6#307
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#75
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#55
Freethrows+2.3#37
Improvement-2.3#292

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#244
First Shot-2.0#228
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#222
Layups/Dunks+2.5#79
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#299
Freethrows-0.9#246
Improvement+4.8#8
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.0 13.2
.500 or above 46.2% 75.6% 42.5%
.500 or above in Conference 55.5% 83.9% 52.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.3% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: BYU (Away) - 11.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 21 - 42 - 9
Quad 35 - 46 - 14
Quad 49 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 182   @ California L 71-87 48%     0 - 1 -13.9 -0.2 -13.6
  Nov 09, 2019 122   UC Irvine W 77-73 56%     1 - 1 +4.0 +5.4 -1.4
  Nov 12, 2019 263   @ Cal St. Northridge W 94-82 66%     2 - 1 +9.4 +7.6 +0.7
  Nov 16, 2019 210   @ Abilene Christian W 73-69 57%     3 - 1 +3.8 +0.1 +3.6
  Nov 19, 2019 56   @ USC L 84-91 16%     3 - 2 +5.3 +12.2 -6.3
  Nov 23, 2019 209   Sacramento St. L 72-77 76%     3 - 3 -10.9 -4.1 -6.5
  Nov 28, 2019 11   Arizona L 91-93 11%     3 - 4 +13.0 +19.2 -6.1
  Nov 29, 2019 112   Central Florida L 65-78 40%     3 - 5 -9.0 -2.9 -6.2
  Dec 01, 2019 62   Providence L 77-80 26%     3 - 6 +5.2 +8.1 -2.9
  Dec 06, 2019 317   Idaho St. W 77-65 90%     4 - 6 -0.4 -7.0 +6.0
  Dec 14, 2019 306   Central Arkansas W 92-79 88%     5 - 6 +1.5 +1.6 -1.5
  Dec 17, 2019 217   Portland St. W 77-71 78%     6 - 6 -0.4 -4.3 +3.8
  Dec 21, 2019 218   Northern Arizona W 75-73 78%     7 - 6 -4.4 +0.6 -5.0
  Dec 28, 2019 288   @ San Jose St. L 68-83 71%     7 - 7 -19.3 -10.7 -7.8
  Jan 02, 2020 162   Pacific L 56-59 66%     7 - 8 0 - 1 -5.8 -16.7 +11.0
  Jan 04, 2020 3   @ Gonzaga L 70-75 4%     7 - 9 0 - 2 +17.4 +0.4 +17.4
  Jan 11, 2020 199   @ San Diego W 85-78 54%     8 - 9 1 - 2 +7.4 +9.1 -2.2
  Jan 16, 2020 196   Loyola Marymount W 75-67 74%     9 - 9 2 - 2 +2.8 +1.2 +1.8
  Jan 18, 2020 37   St. Mary's L 69-78 25%     9 - 10 2 - 3 -0.4 +5.2 -6.4
  Jan 23, 2020 137   @ Santa Clara W 90-86 OT 38%     10 - 10 3 - 3 +8.7 +6.9 +1.3
  Jan 25, 2020 280   Portland W 80-69 85%     11 - 10 4 - 3 +1.5 -1.2 +2.1
  Jan 30, 2020 36   @ BYU L 74-87 11%    
  Feb 01, 2020 196   @ Loyola Marymount W 71-70 53%    
  Feb 06, 2020 137   Santa Clara W 80-77 60%    
  Feb 08, 2020 162   @ Pacific L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 13, 2020 199   San Diego W 78-71 75%    
  Feb 15, 2020 3   Gonzaga L 75-90 8%    
  Feb 20, 2020 280   @ Portland W 77-72 68%    
  Feb 22, 2020 100   @ San Francisco L 77-83 28%    
  Feb 29, 2020 36   BYU L 77-84 25%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 1.0 0.4 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 4.0 1.2 0.0 7.6 3rd
4th 0.2 4.9 10.6 3.4 0.1 19.2 4th
5th 0.1 4.2 13.5 5.1 0.1 23.1 5th
6th 0.1 3.5 12.5 7.3 0.4 23.7 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 10.6 7.1 0.7 20.8 7th
8th 0.4 1.7 1.0 0.0 3.1 8th
9th 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.8 4.5 15.2 24.1 26.3 18.4 8.1 2.3 0.4 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
12-4 0.0%
11-5 0.0%
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 0.0% 0.0
12-4 0.4% 0.4
11-5 2.3% 1.3% 1.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 2.3
10-6 8.1% 1.1% 1.1% 12.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.0
9-7 18.4% 0.6% 0.6% 12.5 0.1 0.1 18.3
8-8 26.3% 0.4% 0.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 26.2
7-9 24.1% 0.2% 0.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 24.0
6-10 15.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 15.1
5-11 4.5% 4.5
4-12 0.8% 0.8
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 13.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%