Pepperdine
West Coast
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#119
Expected Predictive Rating+5.9#95
Pace74.6#74
Improvement+0.0#181

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#60
First Shot+6.8#28
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#283
Layup/Dunks-1.2#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#26
Freethrows+2.5#59
Improvement-1.1#319

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#233
First Shot-3.6#279
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#85
Layups/Dunks+2.7#90
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#216
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#254
Freethrows-3.4#310
Improvement+1.1#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 5.5% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.1% 3.1% 0.6%
Average Seed 11.2 10.8 11.4
.500 or above 74.3% 89.2% 71.2%
.500 or above in Conference 53.8% 64.5% 51.5%
Conference Champion 1.2% 2.3% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 3.5% 5.8%
First Four0.8% 2.0% 0.5%
First Round2.0% 4.2% 1.6%
Second Round0.5% 1.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 17.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 5
Quad 21 - 32 - 8
Quad 34 - 36 - 11
Quad 411 - 217 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 133   @ California L 71-87 41%     0 - 1 -11.2 -0.2 -10.7
  Nov 09, 2019 100   UC Irvine W 77-73 54%     1 - 1 +5.7 +6.4 -0.7
  Nov 12, 2019 292   @ Cal St. Northridge W 94-82 75%     2 - 1 +7.6 +6.3 +0.2
  Nov 16, 2019 287   @ Abilene Christian W 73-69 73%     3 - 1 +0.2 -2.7 +2.8
  Nov 19, 2019 53   @ USC L 75-85 18%    
  Nov 23, 2019 266   Sacramento St. W 81-70 85%    
  Nov 28, 2019 13   Arizona L 71-84 11%    
  Dec 06, 2019 310   Idaho St. W 84-69 92%    
  Dec 14, 2019 308   Central Arkansas W 89-74 91%    
  Dec 17, 2019 274   Portland St. W 86-75 85%    
  Dec 21, 2019 289   Northern Arizona W 86-73 88%    
  Dec 28, 2019 325   @ San Jose St. W 83-73 82%    
  Jan 02, 2020 235   Pacific W 76-67 80%    
  Jan 04, 2020 5   @ Gonzaga L 72-92 4%    
  Jan 11, 2020 159   @ San Diego L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 16, 2020 169   Loyola Marymount W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 18, 2020 32   St. Mary's L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 23, 2020 137   @ Santa Clara L 76-78 43%    
  Jan 25, 2020 246   Portland W 80-70 81%    
  Jan 30, 2020 71   @ BYU L 78-86 23%    
  Feb 01, 2020 169   @ Loyola Marymount W 71-70 50%    
  Feb 06, 2020 137   Santa Clara W 79-75 63%    
  Feb 08, 2020 235   @ Pacific W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 13, 2020 159   San Diego W 76-70 68%    
  Feb 15, 2020 5   Gonzaga L 75-89 12%    
  Feb 20, 2020 246   @ Portland W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 22, 2020 98   @ San Francisco L 75-80 34%    
  Feb 29, 2020 71   BYU L 81-83 43%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 2.2 2.5 1.2 0.2 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.5 2.7 5.4 4.0 1.4 0.1 14.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.9 7.5 4.0 0.9 0.0 18.0 4th
5th 0.7 5.3 7.7 3.3 0.4 0.0 17.4 5th
6th 0.4 4.5 6.8 2.4 0.2 14.3 6th
7th 0.3 3.2 5.7 2.0 0.1 11.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.2 4.4 1.4 0.1 8.3 8th
9th 0.2 1.6 2.6 1.0 0.1 5.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.8 5.5 9.2 12.4 14.8 15.7 13.7 10.6 7.1 4.2 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 62.7% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
13-3 24.6% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
12-4 6.7% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-5 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 67.2% 26.2% 41.0% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.6%
14-2 0.6% 51.4% 13.6% 37.9% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 43.8%
13-3 1.8% 28.0% 7.6% 20.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.3 22.1%
12-4 4.2% 12.9% 7.2% 5.7% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 3.6 6.1%
11-5 7.1% 5.3% 3.4% 1.9% 11.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.7 2.0%
10-6 10.6% 2.9% 2.8% 0.2% 12.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.3 0.2%
9-7 13.7% 1.2% 1.1% 0.1% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.6 0.1%
8-8 15.7% 0.6% 0.6% 12.6 0.0 0.1 15.6
7-9 14.8% 0.6% 0.6% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.7
6-10 12.4% 0.1% 0.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 12.3
5-11 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 9.2
4-12 5.5% 5.5
3-13 2.8% 2.8
2-14 1.0% 1.0
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.5% 1.4% 1.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.5 1.1%