Colorado
Pac-12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.8#36
Expected Predictive Rating+20.3#10
Pace74.7#76
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#66
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+7.2#26
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.2%
#1 Seed 2.9% 3.0% 0.6%
Top 2 Seed 6.8% 7.2% 1.2%
Top 4 Seed 18.5% 19.5% 3.9%
Top 6 Seed 31.0% 32.5% 9.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 69.0% 70.7% 45.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 64.2% 65.9% 41.2%
Average Seed 6.9 6.8 8.7
.500 or above 94.0% 94.9% 81.8%
.500 or above in Conference 81.8% 82.8% 67.3%
Conference Champion 17.2% 17.9% 6.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 1.3% 2.8%
First Four8.5% 8.3% 11.2%
First Round64.5% 66.2% 38.9%
Second Round40.4% 41.7% 21.8%
Sweet Sixteen17.8% 18.6% 6.2%
Elite Eight8.1% 8.4% 2.6%
Final Four3.3% 3.4% 1.1%
Championship Game1.4% 1.5% 0.2%
National Champion0.6% 0.6% 0.0%

Next Game: San Diego (Home) - 93.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 23 - 6
Quad 26 - 39 - 8
Quad 37 - 117 - 9
Quad 46 - 022 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 73   Arizona St. W 81-71 66%     1 - 0 +17.4 -2.1 +17.9
  Nov 16, 2019 176   San Diego W 79-63 94%    
  Nov 18, 2019 104   UC Irvine W 75-64 85%    
  Nov 24, 2019 283   Wyoming W 70-52 95%    
  Nov 30, 2019 286   Sacramento St. W 82-60 98%    
  Dec 04, 2019 146   Loyola Marymount W 73-59 89%    
  Dec 07, 2019 4   @ Kansas L 70-80 18%    
  Dec 10, 2019 98   Northern Iowa W 71-61 82%    
  Dec 13, 2019 190   @ Colorado St. W 78-68 81%    
  Dec 19, 2019 288   Prairie View W 86-64 97%    
  Dec 21, 2019 64   Dayton W 73-69 63%    
  Dec 29, 2019 198   Iona W 86-69 93%    
  Jan 02, 2020 12   Oregon L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 05, 2020 70   Oregon St. W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 12, 2020 82   Utah W 81-73 76%    
  Jan 16, 2020 73   @ Arizona St. W 78-77 55%    
  Jan 18, 2020 18   @ Arizona L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 23, 2020 131   Washington St. W 82-69 86%    
  Jan 25, 2020 46   Washington W 69-64 65%    
  Jan 30, 2020 88   @ UCLA W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 01, 2020 60   @ USC W 76-75 50%    
  Feb 06, 2020 134   California W 79-66 87%    
  Feb 08, 2020 94   Stanford W 77-68 79%    
  Feb 13, 2020 12   @ Oregon L 68-75 27%    
  Feb 15, 2020 70   @ Oregon St. W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 20, 2020 60   USC W 78-72 69%    
  Feb 22, 2020 88   UCLA W 79-70 77%    
  Feb 27, 2020 134   @ California W 76-69 72%    
  Mar 01, 2020 94   @ Stanford W 74-71 62%    
  Mar 07, 2020 82   @ Utah W 78-76 57%    
Projected Record 21 - 9 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.7 4.7 4.4 2.0 0.5 17.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.0 5.9 5.2 2.3 0.5 0.0 17.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 3.9 5.9 3.9 1.0 0.1 15.5 3rd
4th 0.4 3.2 5.5 3.1 0.5 0.1 12.8 4th
5th 0.3 2.3 5.0 2.6 0.3 0.0 10.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 3.8 2.1 0.2 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 2.8 2.1 0.2 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 4.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 3.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.4 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 3.3 5.0 6.6 8.8 11.3 12.7 12.7 11.8 10.0 7.2 4.9 2.0 0.5 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 99.0% 2.0    1.9 0.1
16-2 90.0% 4.4    3.4 1.0 0.0
15-3 66.0% 4.7    2.9 1.6 0.3
14-4 36.9% 3.7    1.4 1.8 0.4 0.1
13-5 12.7% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1
12-6 2.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.2% 17.2 10.4 5.3 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 100.0% 58.8% 41.2% 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 2.0% 100.0% 41.8% 58.2% 2.0 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 4.9% 99.8% 37.6% 62.2% 2.6 1.1 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
15-3 7.2% 100.0% 30.8% 69.2% 3.8 0.5 1.1 1.8 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 10.0% 99.1% 23.5% 75.6% 5.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.3 1.8 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.8%
13-5 11.8% 98.0% 18.8% 79.2% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.8 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.2 97.5%
12-6 12.7% 92.0% 13.0% 79.0% 8.2 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.1 2.2 1.8 1.3 0.2 1.0 90.8%
11-7 12.7% 79.5% 9.1% 70.4% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.3 2.2 2.1 2.5 0.4 0.0 2.6 77.5%
10-8 11.3% 59.9% 5.7% 54.2% 10.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.4 0.7 4.5 57.5%
9-9 8.8% 37.6% 2.6% 35.0% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.5 0.7 0.0 5.5 36.0%
8-10 6.6% 14.3% 0.9% 13.4% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.6 13.5%
7-11 5.0% 3.8% 1.2% 2.6% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 4.8 2.7%
6-12 3.3% 1.5% 0.3% 1.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 3.2 1.2%
5-13 1.8% 0.5% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 1.8
4-14 1.0% 1.0
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 69.0% 13.6% 55.5% 6.9 2.9 4.0 5.1 6.6 6.0 6.5 6.1 6.4 7.4 7.0 8.8 2.3 0.1 31.0 64.2%