UT Rio Grande Valley
Western Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#254
Expected Predictive Rating-12.3#314
Pace74.2#85
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#296
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#169
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 6.1% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 26.0% 41.5% 18.0%
.500 or above in Conference 50.8% 61.5% 45.3%
Conference Champion 4.1% 6.4% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 1.4% 2.7%
First Four1.3% 1.2% 1.4%
First Round4.0% 5.5% 3.2%
Second Round0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Dakota St. (Neutral) - 33.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 62 - 11
Quad 49 - 611 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 202   @ South Dakota St. L 57-70 30%     0 - 1 -12.3 -18.2 +6.3
  Nov 15, 2019 161   North Dakota St. L 68-73 34%    
  Nov 16, 2019 208   Stony Brook L 69-71 42%    
  Nov 17, 2019 303   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 67-66 51%    
  Nov 30, 2019 303   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 70-64 71%    
  Dec 03, 2019 181   Sam Houston St. L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 13, 2019 43   @ Creighton L 66-84 6%    
  Dec 15, 2019 198   @ Nebraska Omaha L 70-76 31%    
  Dec 21, 2019 11   @ Texas Tech L 59-83 2%    
  Dec 30, 2019 30   @ Oklahoma L 62-82 4%    
  Jan 02, 2020 197   @ California Baptist L 74-80 31%    
  Jan 09, 2020 258   UMKC W 71-68 61%    
  Jan 11, 2020 353   Chicago St. W 87-68 95%    
  Jan 16, 2020 240   @ Seattle L 67-70 38%    
  Jan 18, 2020 275   @ Utah Valley L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 25, 2020 71   New Mexico St. L 65-74 22%    
  Jan 30, 2020 163   Grand Canyon L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 01, 2020 213   Cal St. Bakersfield W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 06, 2020 258   @ UMKC L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 08, 2020 353   @ Chicago St. W 84-71 87%    
  Feb 13, 2020 275   Utah Valley W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 15, 2020 240   Seattle W 70-67 59%    
  Feb 22, 2020 71   @ New Mexico St. L 62-77 10%    
  Feb 27, 2020 213   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 29, 2020 163   @ Grand Canyon L 69-76 27%    
  Mar 07, 2020 197   California Baptist W 77-76 51%    
Projected Record 11 - 15 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 4.1 1st
2nd 0.4 2.1 3.8 2.8 1.0 0.2 10.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.4 2.8 0.5 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.6 4.0 6.3 2.3 0.2 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.7 6.9 2.0 0.2 14.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 5.1 6.4 1.8 0.1 14.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.0 5.4 6.0 1.8 0.1 15.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.3 4.8 3.3 1.1 0.1 13.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.8 7.0 9.9 13.0 13.6 13.2 12.1 10.0 7.2 4.4 2.4 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
14-2 81.6% 0.9    0.7 0.3
13-3 56.4% 1.3    0.7 0.6 0.1
12-4 25.3% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-5 5.5% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 2.1 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.3% 41.8% 41.8% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.1% 26.3% 26.3% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8
13-3 2.4% 22.6% 22.6% 14.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 1.8
12-4 4.4% 14.7% 14.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 3.8
11-5 7.2% 12.0% 12.0% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 6.3
10-6 10.0% 7.0% 7.0% 15.5 0.1 0.3 0.4 9.3
9-7 12.1% 4.0% 4.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 11.6
8-8 13.2% 2.5% 2.5% 15.9 0.0 0.3 12.8
7-9 13.6% 2.1% 2.1% 15.9 0.0 0.3 13.3
6-10 13.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.9
5-11 9.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.8
4-12 7.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.9
3-13 3.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 3.8
2-14 1.6% 1.6
1-15 0.4% 0.4
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.0 95.5 0.0%