Oklahoma
Big 12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.3#40
Expected Predictive Rating+17.9#7
Pace72.9#100
Improvement-0.6#249

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#55
First Shot+6.5#34
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#251
Layup/Dunks+4.2#56
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#44
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#253
Freethrows+1.2#110
Improvement+0.2#134

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#38
First Shot+2.5#98
After Offensive Rebounds+3.8#20
Layups/Dunks-3.8#295
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#157
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#147
Freethrows+5.1#8
Improvement-0.8#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.9% 1.9% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 5.3% 5.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 17.6% 17.6% 5.2%
Top 6 Seed 33.6% 33.6% 7.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 61.5% 61.5% 18.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 59.4% 59.5% 16.8%
Average Seed 6.2 6.2 6.8
.500 or above 79.5% 79.6% 29.6%
.500 or above in Conference 47.3% 47.4% 15.7%
Conference Champion 5.2% 5.2% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 12.5% 40.9%
First Four2.5% 2.5% 0.9%
First Round60.2% 60.3% 18.3%
Second Round38.2% 38.3% 12.2%
Sweet Sixteen16.5% 16.6% 0.9%
Elite Eight6.7% 6.7% 0.9%
Final Four2.6% 2.6% 0.0%
Championship Game1.0% 1.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 99.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 10
Quad 26 - 212 - 12
Quad 34 - 115 - 13
Quad 44 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 216   Texas San Antonio W 85-67 94%     1 - 0 +12.1 -5.2 +14.5
  Nov 09, 2019 73   Minnesota W 71-62 66%     2 - 0 +16.1 +1.4 +14.5
  Nov 12, 2019 68   Oregon St. W 77-69 62%     3 - 0 +16.1 +9.1 +7.4
  Nov 18, 2019 150   William & Mary W 75-70 90%     4 - 0 +2.5 -5.0 +7.2
  Nov 21, 2019 349   Maryland Eastern Shore W 70-39 99.8%   
  Nov 25, 2019 81   Stanford W 75-70 68%    
  Dec 05, 2019 151   @ North Texas W 67-59 77%    
  Dec 14, 2019 54   @ Wichita St. L 69-70 46%    
  Dec 17, 2019 44   @ Creighton L 75-77 41%    
  Dec 21, 2019 115   Central Florida W 74-63 85%    
  Dec 30, 2019 281   UT Rio Grande Valley W 82-61 97%    
  Jan 04, 2020 58   Kansas St. W 66-61 69%    
  Jan 08, 2020 24   @ Texas L 65-70 34%    
  Jan 11, 2020 38   @ Iowa St. L 72-75 39%    
  Jan 14, 2020 3   Kansas L 72-77 33%    
  Jan 18, 2020 55   TCU W 75-70 67%    
  Jan 20, 2020 19   @ Baylor L 73-78 32%    
  Jan 25, 2020 50   Mississippi St. W 72-67 66%    
  Jan 29, 2020 58   @ Kansas St. L 63-64 48%    
  Feb 01, 2020 48   Oklahoma St. W 71-67 65%    
  Feb 04, 2020 11   @ Texas Tech L 67-75 25%    
  Feb 08, 2020 46   West Virginia W 78-74 63%    
  Feb 12, 2020 38   Iowa St. W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 15, 2020 3   @ Kansas L 69-80 17%    
  Feb 18, 2020 19   Baylor W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 22, 2020 48   @ Oklahoma St. L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 25, 2020 11   Texas Tech L 70-72 44%    
  Feb 29, 2020 46   @ West Virginia L 75-77 42%    
  Mar 03, 2020 24   Texas W 68-67 54%    
  Mar 07, 2020 55   @ TCU L 72-73 46%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 5.2 1st
2nd 0.3 1.6 3.0 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 8.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.2 2.9 0.7 0.1 10.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.3 5.0 2.6 0.5 0.0 11.7 4th
5th 0.4 3.3 5.8 2.6 0.4 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.3 2.9 6.0 2.6 0.3 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.5 3.0 0.3 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.1 0.9 2.6 3.7 2.1 0.3 9.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.3 2.0 1.1 0.2 7.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.3 5.1 7.9 9.6 11.8 13.0 12.3 10.5 8.8 7.0 4.4 2.5 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 96.3% 0.5    0.4 0.1
15-3 85.9% 1.0    0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 61.4% 1.6    0.9 0.6 0.1
13-5 30.6% 1.3    0.5 0.6 0.3 0.0
12-6 8.0% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.2% 5.2 2.9 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 47.4% 52.6% 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.5% 100.0% 30.7% 69.3% 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.2% 100.0% 24.1% 75.9% 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.5% 100.0% 21.0% 79.0% 2.4 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 4.4% 100.0% 15.6% 84.4% 3.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 7.0% 100.0% 11.9% 88.1% 4.1 0.1 0.6 1.9 1.8 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 8.8% 99.7% 8.5% 91.2% 5.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 2.3 1.8 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
10-8 10.5% 98.3% 6.5% 91.8% 6.3 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.1 2.5 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 98.2%
9-9 12.3% 92.8% 4.4% 88.4% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 2.5 2.2 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.9 92.4%
8-10 13.0% 70.0% 2.2% 67.8% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.5 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.1 3.9 69.3%
7-11 11.8% 38.6% 1.1% 37.4% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.2 7.2 37.9%
6-12 9.6% 13.8% 0.9% 12.9% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 8.3 13.0%
5-13 7.9% 2.6% 0.5% 2.1% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.7 2.1%
4-14 5.1% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1 0.2%
3-15 3.3% 3.3
2-16 1.4% 1.4
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 61.5% 5.1% 56.4% 6.2 1.9 3.4 6.0 6.4 7.6 8.4 7.6 6.9 5.4 4.2 3.2 0.5 38.5 59.4%