Oklahoma
Big 12
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#49
Expected Predictive Rating+12.8#32
Pace73.3#74
Improvement-0.3#199

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#44
First Shot+7.8#8
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#321
Layup/Dunks+0.1#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#32
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#127
Freethrows+2.6#21
Improvement+1.1#117

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#62
First Shot+3.8#74
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#96
Layups/Dunks+3.1#67
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#324
Freethrows+3.1#27
Improvement-1.4#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 1.3% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 3.1% 8.5% 2.1%
Top 6 Seed 13.3% 29.0% 10.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 53.1% 79.1% 48.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 51.9% 78.4% 47.1%
Average Seed 8.1 7.4 8.3
.500 or above 89.4% 97.7% 87.9%
.500 or above in Conference 47.2% 72.3% 42.5%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.1% 0.5% 3.6%
First Four7.5% 6.4% 7.7%
First Round49.2% 76.0% 44.2%
Second Round25.2% 41.9% 22.1%
Sweet Sixteen8.5% 14.7% 7.3%
Elite Eight3.1% 5.8% 2.6%
Final Four1.0% 2.0% 0.9%
Championship Game0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Baylor (Away) - 15.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b3 - 45 - 11
Quad 27 - 312 - 14
Quad 34 - 015 - 14
Quad 43 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 161   Texas San Antonio W 85-67 88%     1 - 0 +15.4 -4.6 +17.2
  Nov 09, 2019 35   Minnesota W 71-62 44%     2 - 0 +20.7 +0.9 +19.6
  Nov 12, 2019 75   Oregon St. W 77-69 61%     3 - 0 +15.2 +7.5 +8.1
  Nov 18, 2019 163   William & Mary W 75-70 88%     4 - 0 +2.3 -5.6 +7.6
  Nov 21, 2019 351   Maryland Eastern Shore W 91-64 99%     5 - 0 +4.5 +11.5 -8.2
  Nov 25, 2019 44   Stanford L 54-73 48%     5 - 1 -8.3 -13.7 +6.6
  Nov 26, 2019 64   Missouri W 77-66 58%     6 - 1 +18.9 +8.6 +10.2
  Dec 05, 2019 93   @ North Texas W 82-80 57%     7 - 1 +10.3 +17.7 -7.3
  Dec 14, 2019 42   @ Wichita St. L 75-80 36%     7 - 2 +8.6 +8.4 +0.4
  Dec 17, 2019 33   @ Creighton L 73-83 33%     7 - 3 +4.6 -0.8 +6.2
  Dec 21, 2019 109   Central Florida W 53-52 80%     8 - 3 +2.2 -13.1 +15.4
  Dec 30, 2019 261   UT Rio Grande Valley W 91-72 95%     9 - 3 +10.7 +1.3 +6.6
  Jan 04, 2020 82   Kansas St. W 66-61 72%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +8.8 +1.7 +7.5
  Jan 08, 2020 54   @ Texas W 72-62 42%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +22.1 +7.5 +14.7
  Jan 11, 2020 56   @ Iowa St. L 68-81 44%     11 - 4 2 - 1 -1.4 +1.7 -3.5
  Jan 14, 2020 1   Kansas L 52-66 22%     11 - 5 2 - 2 +4.2 -4.9 +7.7
  Jan 18, 2020 67   TCU W 83-63 69%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +24.9 +20.3 +6.1
  Jan 20, 2020 5   @ Baylor L 64-74 16%    
  Jan 25, 2020 41   Mississippi St. W 72-70 58%    
  Jan 29, 2020 82   @ Kansas St. W 68-67 51%    
  Feb 01, 2020 65   Oklahoma St. W 72-67 69%    
  Feb 04, 2020 18   @ Texas Tech L 64-71 26%    
  Feb 08, 2020 11   West Virginia L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 12, 2020 56   Iowa St. W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 15, 2020 1   @ Kansas L 63-77 10%    
  Feb 18, 2020 5   Baylor L 67-72 34%    
  Feb 22, 2020 65   @ Oklahoma St. L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 25, 2020 18   Texas Tech L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 29, 2020 11   @ West Virginia L 67-75 23%    
  Mar 03, 2020 54   Texas W 70-66 64%    
  Mar 07, 2020 67   @ TCU L 68-69 48%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.5 2.7 0.6 0.0 0.0 10.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.4 7.6 3.3 0.5 0.0 17.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 8.9 10.4 3.8 0.5 0.0 25.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 7.2 8.6 2.2 0.2 19.3 6th
7th 0.4 4.5 6.1 1.6 0.1 12.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 2.0 3.9 1.1 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.3 9th
10th 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.0 10th
Total 0.2 1.5 4.5 10.2 16.3 20.1 18.4 14.2 8.6 4.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 60.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 35.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 25.0% 75.0% 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.4% 100.0% 11.4% 88.6% 3.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.4% 100.0% 7.4% 92.6% 4.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 4.2% 100.0% 6.7% 93.3% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 8.6% 99.4% 5.0% 94.4% 6.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.4 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.3%
10-8 14.2% 95.8% 3.8% 92.0% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 3.3 3.5 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.0 0.6 95.7%
9-9 18.4% 79.6% 2.3% 77.3% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.0 3.5 3.1 2.5 0.3 0.0 3.8 79.1%
8-10 20.1% 41.4% 1.4% 39.9% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.9 3.7 0.9 0.0 11.8 40.5%
7-11 16.3% 10.7% 0.8% 10.0% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.0 14.5 10.0%
6-12 10.2% 1.8% 0.6% 1.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.0 1.1%
5-13 4.5% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5 0.1%
4-14 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 1.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 53.1% 2.3% 50.7% 8.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 4.0 6.1 7.8 8.4 7.8 6.3 7.7 1.9 0.0 0.0 46.9 51.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%