Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#88
Expected Predictive Rating+9.5#59
Pace68.6#187
Improvement+0.4#159

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#116
First Shot+1.3#128
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#118
Layup/Dunks+1.3#112
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#226
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#266
Freethrows+3.7#6
Improvement-2.8#304

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#68
First Shot+2.0#103
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#24
Layups/Dunks+1.6#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#142
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#254
Freethrows+1.6#66
Improvement+3.1#28
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 7.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four7.0% n/a n/a
First Round2.6% n/a n/a
Second Round0.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 3
Quad 23 - 14 - 4
Quad 37 - 311 - 7
Quad 49 - 020 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 156   Northern Iowa W 93-87 71%     1 - 0 +6.5 +9.4 -3.5
  Nov 26, 2020 32   Memphis W 75-69 28%     2 - 0 +18.5 +12.0 +6.5
  Nov 27, 2020 26   West Virginia L 64-70 23%     2 - 1 +8.1 +0.2 +7.6
  Dec 01, 2020 61   @ Louisville L 54-75 32%     2 - 2 -10.0 -12.1 +2.1
  Dec 06, 2020 347   Mississippi Valley W 96-69 99.8%    3 - 2 -5.6 +0.3 -8.1
  Dec 10, 2020 198   Gardner-Webb W 86-84 84%     4 - 2 -2.5 +3.5 -6.1
  Dec 13, 2020 106   Rhode Island W 68-65 63%     5 - 2 +5.8 -1.7 +7.5
  Dec 19, 2020 7   @ Alabama W 73-71 11%     6 - 2 +21.7 +7.9 +13.7
  Dec 22, 2020 307   Tennessee Tech W 88-68 94%     7 - 2 +8.7 +5.2 +2.6
  Jan 01, 2021 221   @ Charlotte W 67-63 79%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +1.7 -3.1 +5.0
  Jan 02, 2021 221   @ Charlotte L 71-75 OT 79%     8 - 3 1 - 1 -6.3 -5.1 -0.9
  Jan 08, 2021 78   Louisiana Tech W 66-64 52%     9 - 3 2 - 1 +7.7 -1.9 +9.5
  Jan 09, 2021 78   Louisiana Tech L 58-63 52%     9 - 4 2 - 2 +0.7 -4.5 +4.7
  Jan 15, 2021 90   Marshall W 81-73 59%     10 - 4 3 - 2 +11.9 +2.7 +8.7
  Jan 17, 2021 90   @ Marshall W 69-67 45%     11 - 4 4 - 2 +9.7 -0.8 +10.5
  Jan 23, 2021 292   @ Middle Tennessee W 82-67 88%     12 - 4 5 - 2 +8.3 +10.7 -1.9
  Jan 24, 2021 292   @ Middle Tennessee W 68-52 88%     13 - 4 6 - 2 +9.3 -4.0 +13.7
  Feb 12, 2021 186   Rice W 77-71 82%     14 - 4 7 - 2 +2.4 -1.5 +3.8
  Feb 13, 2021 186   Rice W 89-66 82%     15 - 4 8 - 2 +19.4 +13.2 +6.4
  Feb 25, 2021 6   @ Houston L 57-81 9%     15 - 5 -3.1 -3.4 -1.5
  Feb 28, 2021 295   Florida International W 91-58 93%     16 - 5 9 - 2 +22.5 +9.0 +12.2
  Mar 01, 2021 295   Florida International W 71-59 93%     17 - 5 10 - 2 +1.5 -6.3 +8.0
  Mar 05, 2021 140   Old Dominion L 69-71 75%     17 - 6 10 - 3 -2.7 -3.4 +0.8
  Mar 06, 2021 140   Old Dominion W 60-57 75%     18 - 6 11 - 3 +2.3 -7.2 +9.8
  Mar 11, 2021 146   Texas San Antonio W 80-67 70%     19 - 6 +14.0 +5.6 +8.5
  Mar 12, 2021 93   UAB W 64-60 53%     20 - 6 +9.6 +1.1 +8.9
  Mar 13, 2021 77   North Texas L 57-61 OT 45%     20 - 7 +3.7 -5.8 +9.2
Projected Record 20 - 7 11 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 0.0%
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 7.2% 7.2% 12.0 0.0 0.9 5.7 0.6 92.8 7.2%
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 7.2% 0.0% 7.2% 12.0 0.0 0.9 5.7 0.6 92.8 7.2%