Pre-tourney Rankings
UAB
Conference USA
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#93
Expected Predictive Rating+5.6#98
Pace67.1#225
Improvement-2.3#276

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#141
First Shot-0.8#207
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#61
Layup/Dunks-0.3#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+7.0#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#333
Freethrows-1.0#246
Improvement-0.8#221

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#63
First Shot+4.4#51
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#160
Layups/Dunks+3.9#49
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#102
Freethrows+1.9#53
Improvement-1.4#255
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b2 - 02 - 0
Quad 21 - 33 - 3
Quad 34 - 47 - 7
Quad 413 - 020 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 339   Alcorn St. W 99-50 97%     1 - 0 +32.0 +9.7 +17.8
  Nov 28, 2020 329   SE Louisiana W 84-59 96%     2 - 0 +10.2 -4.1 +11.9
  Dec 02, 2020 326   Kennesaw St. W 73-48 96%     3 - 0 +10.9 -2.1 +13.5
  Dec 06, 2020 274   Troy W 77-55 91%     4 - 0 +12.6 +0.9 +11.5
  Dec 12, 2020 131   @ East Tennessee St. W 65-61 55%     5 - 0 +8.3 -5.7 +13.9
  Dec 16, 2020 312   Southern W 88-46 94%     6 - 0 +30.0 +1.9 +23.2
  Dec 19, 2020 164   Chattanooga L 66-69 76%     6 - 1 -4.7 -5.6 +0.9
  Jan 08, 2021 240   Southern Miss W 72-60 88%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +5.1 +12.1 -4.9
  Jan 09, 2021 240   Southern Miss W 62-58 88%     8 - 1 2 - 0 -2.9 -0.2 -2.1
  Jan 15, 2021 221   @ Charlotte W 61-37 77%     9 - 1 3 - 0 +21.7 -2.6 +27.9
  Jan 16, 2021 221   @ Charlotte L 55-70 77%     9 - 2 3 - 1 -17.3 -6.9 -13.3
  Jan 22, 2021 186   Rice W 78-68 81%     10 - 2 4 - 1 +6.4 +0.8 +5.5
  Jan 23, 2021 186   Rice W 86-74 81%     11 - 2 5 - 1 +8.4 +5.3 +2.6
  Jan 28, 2021 292   @ Middle Tennessee W 70-59 87%     12 - 2 6 - 1 +4.3 +0.9 +4.1
  Jan 31, 2021 292   Middle Tennessee W 63-52 92%     13 - 2 7 - 1 +0.5 -5.4 +7.2
  Feb 05, 2021 138   UTEP W 63-51 71%     14 - 2 8 - 1 +11.9 -7.0 +19.3
  Feb 06, 2021 138   UTEP W 75-60 71%     15 - 2 9 - 1 +14.9 +5.9 +9.7
  Feb 12, 2021 78   @ Louisiana Tech L 58-70 35%     15 - 3 9 - 2 -2.5 -2.4 -1.2
  Feb 13, 2021 78   @ Louisiana Tech L 64-69 35%     15 - 4 9 - 3 +4.5 +0.5 +3.9
  Feb 19, 2021 140   Old Dominion W 76-69 73%     16 - 4 10 - 3 +6.3 +2.8 +3.4
  Feb 20, 2021 140   Old Dominion L 58-65 73%     16 - 5 10 - 4 -7.7 -13.9 +6.2
  Feb 26, 2021 146   @ Texas San Antonio W 64-57 61%     17 - 5 11 - 4 +9.9 -15.8 +25.0
  Feb 27, 2021 146   @ Texas San Antonio L 79-96 61%     17 - 6 11 - 5 -14.1 +1.5 -14.9
  Mar 05, 2021 77   @ North Texas W 65-51 35%     18 - 6 12 - 5 +23.6 +4.6 +20.3
  Mar 06, 2021 77   @ North Texas W 65-61 35%     19 - 6 13 - 5 +13.6 +12.7 +1.7
  Mar 11, 2021 186   Rice W 73-60 76%     20 - 6 +11.3 +5.3 +7.4
  Mar 12, 2021 88   Western Kentucky L 60-64 47%     20 - 7 +2.3 -3.6 +5.6
Projected Record 20 - 7 13 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%