IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Minnesota
Big Ten
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+11.2	#37
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.3	#246
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+5.5	#43

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.7	#40

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
#1 Seed	2.1%	2.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	5.2%	5.4%	0.8%
Top 4 Seed	13.8%	14.2%	3.1%
Top 6 Seed	24.1%	24.7%	6.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	47.3%	48.3%	20.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	45.0%	46.0%	19.3%
Average Seed	6.6	6.5	8.2

.500 or above	62.5%	63.7%	29.9%
.500 or above in Conference	47.2%	48.0%	25.4%
Conference Champion	4.5%	4.7%	1.4%
Last Place in Conference	6.8%	6.3%	18.9%

First Four	3.8%	3.8%	3.7%
First Round	45.6%	46.5%	18.9%
Second Round	29.6%	30.3%	10.0%
Sweet Sixteen	14.2%	14.6%	4.0%
Elite Eight	6.6%	6.8%	1.8%
Final Four	2.9%	3.0%	0.9%
Championship Game	1.3%	1.3%	0.3%
National Champion	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%

Next Game: Green Bay (Home) - 96.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 6	2 - 6
Quad 1b	2 - 3	5 - 9
Quad 2	4 - 2	8 - 12
Quad 3	3 - 1	11 - 12
Quad 4	3 - 0	15 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	240	Green Bay	W	89-70	96%
Dec 04, 2020	248	North Dakota	W	82-62	96%
Dec 08, 2020	101	Boston College	W	76-67	81%
Dec 10, 2020	275	UMKC	W	77-56	97%
Dec 15, 2020	13	@ Illinois	L	66-73	27%
Dec 20, 2020	52	Saint Louis	W	71-67	65%
Dec 25, 2020	9	Iowa	L	76-78	45%
Dec 28, 2020	10	Michigan St.	L	72-73	45%
Dec 31, 2020	8	@ Wisconsin	L	61-69	26%
Jan 03, 2021	17	Ohio St.	L	68-69	49%
Jan 06, 2021	19	@ Michigan	L	69-75	30%
Jan 10, 2021	9	@ Iowa	L	73-81	27%
Jan 15, 2021	19	Michigan	L	71-72	50%
Jan 20, 2021	113	@ Nebraska	W	78-74	63%
Jan 22, 2021	39	Maryland	W	71-68	61%
Jan 30, 2021	28	@ Purdue	L	64-68	36%
Feb 04, 2021	33	@ Rutgers	L	67-70	38%
Feb 07, 2021	113	Nebraska	W	81-71	80%
Feb 11, 2021	28	Purdue	W	67-65	56%
Feb 14, 2021	39	@ Maryland	L	68-71	41%
Feb 17, 2021	24	@ Indiana	L	67-72	33%
Feb 20, 2021	13	Illinois	L	69-70	47%
Feb 27, 2021	80	Northwestern	W	72-65	73%
Mar 03, 2021	62	@ Penn St.	L	73-74	48%
Mar 06, 2021	33	Rutgers	W	70-67	58%
Projected Record						14 - 11	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.1	0.4	0.9	1.4	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.0		4.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.8	1.7	1.5	0.9	0.2	0.1				5.3	2nd
3rd												0.1	0.8	2.3	2.2	0.7	0.2	0.0					6.2	3rd
4th											0.0	0.7	2.7	2.3	0.8	0.0	0.0						6.6	4th
5th										0.0	0.4	2.4	3.1	1.0	0.1								7.0	5th
6th									0.0	0.2	2.2	3.7	1.5	0.1	0.0								7.8	6th
7th								0.0	0.2	1.8	3.8	2.1	0.3	0.0									8.2	7th
8th								0.1	1.4	3.9	2.8	0.3	0.0										8.6	8th
9th						0.0	0.1	1.0	3.8	3.4	0.7	0.0											9.1	9th
10th						0.1	1.1	3.3	3.6	0.9	0.0												9.2	10th
11th				0.0	0.1	1.0	3.1	3.5	1.3	0.1													9.2	11th
12th			0.0	0.2	1.1	2.6	2.9	1.1	0.1														8.1	12th
13th		0.0	0.3	1.1	2.0	2.1	0.8	0.1	0.0														6.4	13th
14th	0.1	0.4	1.0	1.1	1.0	0.3	0.0																4.0	14th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.3	2.5	4.1	6.2	8.1	9.2	10.5	10.4	10.0	9.4	8.4	6.5	5.2	3.2	2.4	1.3	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
18-2	85.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
17-3	82.7%	1.1		0.7	0.3	0.0
16-4	56.8%	1.4		0.7	0.6	0.1	0.0
15-5	28.7%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0
14-6	7.9%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-7	0.8%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	4.5%	4.5		2.5	1.4	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%		100.0%	23.9%	76.1%	1.0		0.0																		100.0%
19-1	0.2%		100.0%	47.0%	53.0%	1.2		0.1	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.6%		100.0%	35.0%	65.0%	1.4		0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0															100.0%
17-3	1.3%		100.0%	24.9%	75.1%	1.7		0.5	0.6	0.1	0.0															100.0%
16-4	2.4%		100.0%	22.1%	77.9%	2.2		0.7	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0													100.0%
15-5	3.2%		100.0%	17.0%	83.0%	3.1		0.2	0.7	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0											100.0%
14-6	5.2%		100.0%	15.3%	84.7%	4.0		0.1	0.6	1.3	1.4	1.1	0.4	0.2	0.0											100.0%
13-7	6.5%		99.5%	7.9%	91.6%	5.3		0.0	0.1	0.8	1.2	1.6	1.3	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.4%
12-8	8.4%		98.7%	5.6%	93.1%	6.6			0.0	0.2	0.6	1.3	2.0	1.9	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.1					0.1		98.6%
11-9	9.4%		91.6%	3.1%	88.5%	8.1				0.1	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.6	1.8	1.4	1.0	0.6	0.4	0.0	0.0			0.8		91.4%
10-10	10.0%		71.0%	1.8%	69.2%	9.6				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	1.0	1.0	1.5	1.3	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0		2.9		70.4%
9-11	10.4%		30.3%	1.3%	29.0%	11.1						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.8	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0		7.3		29.4%
8-12	10.5%		6.7%	0.5%	6.2%	12.1							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		9.8		6.2%
7-13	9.2%		1.0%	0.5%	0.5%	11.3									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		9.1		0.5%
6-14	8.1%		0.2%	0.2%		13.5														0.0	0.0			8.1
5-15	6.2%																							6.2
4-16	4.1%																							4.1
3-17	2.5%																							2.5
2-18	1.3%																							1.3
1-19	0.4%																							0.4
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		47.3%	4.2%	43.1%	6.6		2.1	3.1	4.3	4.3	4.9	5.4	5.4	4.5	3.4	3.1	3.0	2.8	0.8	0.2	0.1		52.7		45.0%