IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Northwestern
Big Ten
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+7.0	#80
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	65.4	#265
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.2	#92

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+3.8	#77

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	2.0%	2.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	5.3%	5.3%	0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid	15.5%	15.7%	3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	14.8%	14.9%	1.7%
Average Seed	8.0	8.0	9.6

.500 or above	24.9%	25.2%	4.1%
.500 or above in Conference	15.7%	15.9%	2.6%
Conference Champion	0.5%	0.6%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	26.2%	25.9%	53.2%

First Four	2.4%	2.4%	0.2%
First Round	14.4%	14.6%	3.1%
Second Round	7.8%	7.9%	1.4%
Sweet Sixteen	3.0%	3.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	1.1%	1.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 98.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 8	1 - 8
Quad 1b	2 - 4	3 - 12
Quad 2	3 - 3	6 - 15
Quad 3	2 - 1	7 - 15
Quad 4	3 - 0	10 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Dec 02, 2020	338	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	77-52	99%
Dec 05, 2020	345	Chicago St.	W	77-49	99%
Dec 09, 2020	87	Pittsburgh	W	68-64	63%
Dec 13, 2020	331	SIU Edwardsville	W	81-59	98%
Dec 20, 2020	10	Michigan St.	L	69-75	31%
Dec 23, 2020	24	@ Indiana	L	65-74	21%
Dec 26, 2020	17	Ohio St.	L	66-70	35%
Dec 29, 2020	9	@ Iowa	L	70-82	16%
Jan 03, 2021	19	@ Michigan	L	66-76	19%
Jan 07, 2021	13	Illinois	L	66-71	33%
Jan 13, 2021	17	@ Ohio St.	L	63-73	18%
Jan 17, 2021	9	Iowa	L	73-79	32%
Jan 23, 2021	62	@ Penn St.	L	70-75	33%
Jan 27, 2021	8	@ Wisconsin	L	59-71	16%
Jan 31, 2021	33	Rutgers	L	67-69	45%
Feb 03, 2021	19	Michigan	L	69-73	36%
Feb 06, 2021	28	@ Purdue	L	62-70	24%
Feb 10, 2021	24	Indiana	L	68-71	39%
Feb 13, 2021	33	@ Rutgers	L	64-72	26%
Feb 16, 2021	13	@ Illinois	L	63-74	18%
Feb 21, 2021	8	Wisconsin	L	62-68	31%
Feb 27, 2021	37	@ Minnesota	L	65-72	27%
Mar 02, 2021	39	Maryland	L	68-69	46%
Mar 06, 2021	113	Nebraska	W	78-72	69%
Projected Record						10 - 14	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.5	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0					1.1	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.3	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0						1.5	3rd
4th											0.0	0.3	0.9	0.6	0.1	0.0							1.9	4th
5th											0.3	1.2	1.0	0.1	0.0								2.7	5th
6th									0.0	0.2	1.3	1.5	0.4	0.0									3.4	6th
7th								0.0	0.1	1.4	2.2	0.7	0.0										4.4	7th
8th							0.0	0.1	1.2	2.7	1.4	0.1											5.6	8th
9th							0.1	1.1	3.0	2.4	0.3												6.9	9th
10th						0.1	1.2	3.5	3.0	0.7	0.0												8.6	10th
11th				0.0	0.3	1.8	4.0	3.9	1.1	0.1													11.1	11th
12th			0.0	0.7	2.5	5.1	4.6	1.6	0.1	0.0													14.7	12th
13th		0.4	2.2	4.6	6.4	4.3	1.7	0.2															19.9	13th
14th	1.3	3.7	5.1	4.3	2.4	0.7	0.1																17.6	14th

Total	1.3	4.1	7.3	9.7	11.6	12.0	11.8	10.4	8.6	7.5	5.5	3.9	2.7	1.7	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-3	88.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-4	64.5%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-5	23.0%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0
14-6	9.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.4%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%	0.0						0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%		100.0%	42.9%	57.1%	1.0		0.0																		100.0%
18-2	0.0%		100.0%	29.6%	70.4%	1.6		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
17-3	0.1%		100.0%	36.9%	63.1%	1.5		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
16-4	0.2%		100.0%	10.3%	89.7%	2.6		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
15-5	0.5%		100.0%	13.0%	87.0%	3.1		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0													100.0%
14-6	1.1%		100.0%	12.4%	87.6%	4.4		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0										100.0%
13-7	1.7%		100.0%	7.8%	92.2%	5.5			0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0									100.0%
12-8	2.7%		99.3%	4.4%	94.9%	6.9				0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.2%
11-9	3.9%		90.8%	2.6%	88.2%	8.2				0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.8	0.6	0.4	0.3	0.2	0.0				0.4		90.5%
10-10	5.5%		66.2%	1.6%	64.6%	10.0						0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.6	0.8	0.8	0.1	0.0			1.9		65.6%
9-11	7.5%		21.5%	0.7%	20.9%	11.3							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0		5.9		21.0%
8-12	8.6%		4.3%	0.7%	3.6%	11.9							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		8.2		3.6%
7-13	10.4%		0.5%	0.3%	0.2%	12.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		10.4		0.2%
6-14	11.8%		0.1%	0.1%		15.0															0.0	0.0	0.0	11.8
5-15	12.0%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.0
4-16	11.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.6
3-17	9.7%																							9.7
2-18	7.3%																							7.3
1-19	4.1%																							4.1
0-20	1.3%																							1.3

Total	100%		15.5%	0.9%	14.6%	8.0		0.2	0.3	0.7	0.9	1.3	1.9	1.7	1.9	1.6	1.3	1.6	1.7	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	84.5		14.8%