Preseason Rankings
Quinnipiac
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#288
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.6#150
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#268
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#287
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.6% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.0 15.5
.500 or above 35.9% 47.4% 23.2%
.500 or above in Conference 35.3% 42.6% 27.2%
Conference Champion 3.2% 4.4% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 19.2% 14.4% 24.6%
First Four1.0% 1.1% 0.9%
First Round2.8% 4.1% 1.5%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 52.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 31 - 52 - 7
Quad 49 - 811 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 233   Fairleigh Dickinson W 76-75 53%    
  Nov 29, 2020 328   Maine W 72-64 77%    
  Dec 02, 2020 190   Drexel L 71-76 32%    
  Dec 12, 2020 329   @ Binghamton W 75-73 58%    
  Dec 18, 2020 251   Manhattan W 68-67 55%    
  Dec 19, 2020 251   Manhattan W 68-67 55%    
  Jan 01, 2021 284   @ Marist L 65-68 39%    
  Jan 02, 2021 284   @ Marist L 65-68 39%    
  Jan 08, 2021 222   Iona L 73-74 50%    
  Jan 09, 2021 222   Iona L 73-74 50%    
  Jan 15, 2021 176   @ Monmouth L 73-82 22%    
  Jan 16, 2021 176   @ Monmouth L 73-82 21%    
  Jan 22, 2021 273   Rider W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 23, 2021 273   Rider W 77-75 59%    
  Jan 29, 2021 221   @ Canisius L 72-78 31%    
  Jan 30, 2021 221   @ Canisius L 72-78 30%    
  Feb 05, 2021 259   Niagara W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 06, 2021 259   Niagara W 73-71 55%    
  Feb 12, 2021 195   St. Peter's L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 13, 2021 195   St. Peter's L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 19, 2021 149   @ Siena L 67-78 19%    
  Feb 20, 2021 149   @ Siena L 67-78 18%    
  Mar 05, 2021 268   @ Fairfield L 61-65 37%    
  Mar 06, 2021 268   @ Fairfield L 61-65 38%    
Projected Record 10 - 14 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 1.4 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.2 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 6.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 3.2 2.8 0.8 0.1 7.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.4 3.1 0.9 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.2 4.0 3.4 0.9 0.0 9.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.4 4.0 4.1 1.1 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.1 3.9 1.2 0.1 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.2 3.8 1.1 0.1 11.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.0 4.2 3.2 1.0 0.1 12.8 10th
11th 0.4 1.3 2.4 3.4 3.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 13.3 11th
Total 0.4 1.3 2.6 4.6 6.8 8.4 9.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 9.1 8.0 6.3 4.5 3.2 2.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
18-2 99.6% 0.3    0.2 0.0
17-3 80.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1
16-4 72.5% 0.8    0.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 39.8% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.1
14-6 16.9% 0.5    0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.1% 47.0% 47.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-2 0.3% 50.0% 50.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.6% 23.0% 23.0% 13.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
16-4 1.1% 24.3% 24.3% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
15-5 2.1% 16.6% 16.6% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.8
14-6 3.2% 11.9% 11.9% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.8
13-7 4.5% 10.3% 10.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 4.0
12-8 6.3% 7.1% 7.1% 15.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 5.8
11-9 8.0% 5.9% 5.9% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 7.6
10-10 9.1% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 8.8
9-11 10.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 10.2
8-12 10.4% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.3
7-13 10.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.3
6-14 9.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.4
5-15 8.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.4
4-16 6.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.8
3-17 4.6% 4.6
2-18 2.6% 2.6
1-19 1.3% 1.3
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.6 96.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%