IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Temple
American Athletic
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.1	#145
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.6	#80
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.1	#201

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+2.2	#104

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.3%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.3%	0.8%	0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.9%	8.3%	2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	2.5%	6.3%	1.5%
Average Seed	10.6	10.2	11.1

.500 or above	17.0%	33.1%	12.7%
.500 or above in Conference	21.5%	32.0%	18.7%
Conference Champion	0.9%	1.8%	0.7%
Last Place in Conference	17.0%	9.7%	18.9%

First Four	1.0%	2.0%	0.7%
First Round	3.4%	7.0%	2.4%
Second Round	1.1%	2.3%	0.7%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.7%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Final Four	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Neutral) - 21.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 2	2 - 6	3 - 12
Quad 3	4 - 4	7 - 17
Quad 4	2 - 1	9 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 28, 2020	56	Virginia Tech	L	64-72	21%
Nov 29, 2020	93	Rhode Island	L	72-77	34%
Dec 03, 2020	3	@ Villanova	L	61-81	4%
Dec 06, 2020	157	La Salle	W	75-71	64%
Dec 12, 2020	174	@ Saint Joseph's	L	78-79	46%
Dec 22, 2020	18	@ Houston	L	62-78	8%
Dec 30, 2020	65	SMU	L	68-73	34%
Jan 02, 2021	40	Memphis	L	72-79	28%
Jan 06, 2021	210	@ Tulane	W	73-72	55%
Jan 09, 2021	65	@ SMU	L	65-76	18%
Jan 13, 2021	111	Central Florida	W	71-70	50%
Jan 16, 2021	151	@ East Carolina	L	73-76	41%
Jan 20, 2021	55	Cincinnati	L	69-74	33%
Jan 27, 2021	97	@ South Florida	L	63-70	27%
Jan 31, 2021	210	Tulane	W	76-69	73%
Feb 04, 2021	55	@ Cincinnati	L	66-77	17%
Feb 07, 2021	77	@ Wichita St.	L	68-77	22%
Feb 10, 2021	18	Houston	L	65-75	20%
Feb 13, 2021	151	East Carolina	W	76-73	61%
Feb 17, 2021	98	@ Tulsa	L	64-71	28%
Feb 21, 2021	40	@ Memphis	L	69-82	14%
Feb 24, 2021	97	South Florida	L	66-67	46%
Feb 27, 2021	111	@ Central Florida	L	67-73	31%
Mar 02, 2021	98	Tulsa	L	67-68	46%
Mar 06, 2021	77	Wichita St.	L	71-74	39%
Projected Record						9 - 16	7 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0			0.9	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.5	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0				1.9	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	0.9	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.0						3.1	3rd
4th										0.1	0.5	1.6	1.8	0.8	0.1	0.0							4.8	4th
5th									0.2	1.2	2.6	2.3	0.9	0.0	0.0								7.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	1.9	3.2	2.9	0.9	0.1										9.4	6th
7th						0.1	0.7	2.8	4.7	3.5	1.0	0.1											12.8	7th
8th					0.2	1.5	4.5	5.3	3.0	0.8	0.1												15.3	8th
9th			0.1	0.9	3.1	5.9	5.4	2.7	0.5	0.0	0.0												18.6	9th
10th		0.1	1.5	3.9	4.8	3.3	1.2	0.2	0.0														15.0	10th
11th	0.6	2.2	3.4	2.7	1.6	0.5	0.0																11.0	11th

Total	0.6	2.3	4.9	7.5	9.7	11.3	11.8	11.3	10.3	8.8	7.1	5.1	3.9	2.4	1.5	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0				Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	98.2%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-3	74.9%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-4	66.9%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0
15-5	28.3%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-6	6.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	1.0%	0.0			0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%								0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	0.1%		100.0%	33.0%	67.0%	4.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
17-3	0.2%		91.6%	29.8%	61.8%	6.6					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		88.1%
16-4	0.4%		87.5%	17.4%	70.1%	8.3				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.1		84.9%
15-5	0.8%		71.2%	11.2%	60.0%	9.8				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0				0.2		67.6%
14-6	1.5%		49.4%	9.8%	39.7%	10.5						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1				0.7		43.9%
13-7	2.4%		30.1%	7.6%	22.5%	11.1								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.0				1.7		24.4%
12-8	3.9%		11.8%	4.6%	7.2%	11.7									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0			3.4		7.5%
11-9	5.1%		6.0%	4.0%	2.0%	12.3										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		4.8		2.1%
10-10	7.1%		1.8%	1.8%	0.1%	13.1												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		6.9		0.1%
9-11	8.8%		1.4%	1.4%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	8.7
8-12	10.3%		0.7%	0.7%		15.4															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.2
7-13	11.3%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.2
6-14	11.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.8
5-15	11.3%																							11.3
4-16	9.7%																							9.7
3-17	7.5%																							7.5
2-18	4.9%																							4.9
1-19	2.3%																							2.3
0-20	0.6%																							0.6

Total	100%		3.9%	1.4%	2.5%	10.6		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.7	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.1	96.1		2.5%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%