IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Tulane
American Athletic
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.3	#210
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.8	#148
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.2	#237

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.1	#203

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.4%	0.6%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.1	10.8	13.3

.500 or above	9.2%	12.5%	2.9%
.500 or above in Conference	2.0%	2.7%	0.8%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	55.7%	50.6%	65.4%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Lamar (Home) - 65.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 2	1 - 6	1 - 11
Quad 3	2 - 4	4 - 15
Quad 4	4 - 1	7 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 27, 2020	236	Lamar	W	74-70	66%
Nov 29, 2020	170	Lipscomb	W	74-73	51%
Dec 09, 2020	229	Southern Miss	W	72-68	64%
Dec 12, 2020	338	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	73-59	90%
Dec 16, 2020	40	Memphis	L	70-81	15%
Dec 19, 2020	316	Grambling St.	W	75-65	81%
Dec 30, 2020	111	@ Central Florida	L	65-75	18%
Jan 06, 2021	145	Temple	L	72-73	45%
Jan 09, 2021	18	@ Houston	L	59-79	4%
Jan 16, 2021	55	@ Cincinnati	L	63-79	9%
Jan 20, 2021	65	SMU	L	66-75	22%
Jan 23, 2021	98	@ Tulsa	L	61-73	17%
Jan 27, 2021	18	Houston	L	62-76	12%
Jan 31, 2021	145	@ Temple	L	69-76	27%
Feb 03, 2021	77	@ Wichita St.	L	65-79	12%
Feb 06, 2021	55	Cincinnati	L	66-76	21%
Feb 10, 2021	98	Tulsa	L	64-70	32%
Feb 13, 2021	97	@ South Florida	L	60-72	16%
Feb 17, 2021	65	@ SMU	L	63-78	11%
Feb 19, 2021	111	Central Florida	L	68-72	36%
Feb 24, 2021	40	@ Memphis	L	67-84	8%
Mar 03, 2021	77	Wichita St.	L	68-76	26%
Mar 05, 2021	97	South Florida	L	63-69	33%
Projected Record						7 - 16	4 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected American Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0								0.3	3rd
4th										0.1	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.0									0.6	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0										1.1	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	0.6	0.9	0.3	0.0	0.0										2.0	6th
7th						0.1	0.4	1.4	1.7	0.8	0.1	0.0											4.5	7th
8th					0.2	1.1	2.6	2.5	1.0	0.1													7.6	8th
9th			0.1	0.9	3.3	4.8	3.9	1.3	0.2														14.4	9th
10th	0.2	1.4	4.4	7.3	7.4	4.5	1.2	0.2	0.0														26.6	10th
11th	6.8	12.3	12.4	7.4	3.2	0.8	0.1																42.9	11th

Total	7.0	13.7	16.9	15.6	14.0	11.2	8.3	5.5	3.5	2.2	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0							Total

American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4	100.0%	0.0			0.0
15-5	44.4%	0.0		0.0
14-6	14.3%	0.0		0.0		0.0
13-7	6.9%	0.0		0.0		0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4	0.0%									0.0
15-5	0.0%													0.0			0.0
14-6	0.1%		98.4%	27.0%	71.4%	8.0					0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		97.8%
13-7	0.1%		39.2%	1.5%	37.7%	10.8								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.1		38.3%
12-8	0.2%		34.2%	11.3%	22.9%	10.6									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.2		25.9%
11-9	0.6%		12.4%	3.8%	8.6%	12.2											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.5		8.9%
10-10	1.0%		4.9%	0.4%	4.5%	12.1											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		0.9		4.5%
9-11	2.2%		2.4%	1.6%	0.8%	12.3													0.0	0.0				2.1		0.8%
8-12	3.5%		0.4%	0.4%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0			3.5
7-13	5.5%		0.3%	0.3%		14.5														0.0		0.0	0.0	5.5
6-14	8.3%		0.2%	0.2%		15.5																0.0	0.0	8.3
5-15	11.2%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		11.2
4-16	14.0%																							14.0
3-17	15.6%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	15.6
2-18	16.9%																							16.9
1-19	13.7%																							13.7
0-20	7.0%																							7.0

Total	100%		0.4%	0.2%	0.3%	11.1				0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	99.6		0.3%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%