Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#191
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#174
Pace69.8#119
Improvement+1.2#130

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#245
First Shot-0.7#207
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#313
Layup/Dunks+2.0#96
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#82
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#295
Freethrows-0.6#233
Improvement-1.5#259

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#135
First Shot+1.9#113
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#254
Layups/Dunks-0.5#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#173
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#141
Freethrows+1.2#89
Improvement+2.7#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 73 - 10
Quad 412 - 115 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 15   @ Illinois L 53-92 6%     0 - 1 -22.2 -16.5 -2.5
  Nov 19, 2021 245   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 72-60 54%     1 - 1 +9.5 +1.1 +9.4
  Nov 26, 2021 134   Morehead St. L 51-75 45%     1 - 2 -24.1 -18.4 -6.8
  Nov 28, 2021 217   UMKC W 66-55 64%     2 - 2 +6.1 -1.1 +8.4
  Dec 04, 2021 316   Central Arkansas W 95-82 84%     3 - 2 +0.9 +11.6 -11.1
  Dec 08, 2021 354   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 84-73 88%     4 - 2 -3.4 -2.7 -1.1
  Dec 11, 2021 356   @ Mississippi Valley W 82-77 90%     5 - 2 -10.4 -9.0 -2.0
  Dec 14, 2021 9   @ Texas Tech L 62-75 4%     5 - 3 +6.6 +8.3 -2.8
  Dec 19, 2021 249   Air Force W 68-46 71%     6 - 3 +14.9 +0.7 +16.5
  Jan 01, 2022 258   Georgia Southern W 74-56 72%     7 - 3 1 - 0 +10.4 -5.4 +14.6
  Jan 06, 2022 188   @ Louisiana L 77-83 OT 41%     7 - 4 1 - 1 -4.9 -2.8 -1.6
  Jan 08, 2022 270   @ Louisiana Monroe W 90-83 60%     8 - 4 2 - 1 +3.1 +9.2 -6.4
  Jan 20, 2022 227   Texas Arlington W 75-70 66%     9 - 4 3 - 1 -0.5 +3.4 -3.8
  Jan 22, 2022 144   Texas St. W 67-60 48%     10 - 4 4 - 1 +6.1 +2.4 +4.7
  Jan 27, 2022 159   @ Appalachian St. L 54-61 35%     10 - 5 4 - 2 -4.4 -13.4 +8.6
  Jan 29, 2022 163   @ Coastal Carolina W 73-66 36%     11 - 5 5 - 2 +9.4 +6.5 +3.3
  Feb 03, 2022 270   Louisiana Monroe L 59-60 75%     11 - 6 5 - 3 -9.3 -14.9 +5.5
  Feb 05, 2022 188   Louisiana W 67-58 58%     12 - 6 6 - 3 +5.6 -6.0 +11.8
  Feb 10, 2022 193   @ Troy L 77-79 42%     12 - 7 6 - 4 -1.2 +6.9 -8.2
  Feb 12, 2022 152   @ South Alabama L 51-70 33%     12 - 8 6 - 5 -15.9 -16.8 -0.3
  Feb 17, 2022 144   @ Texas St. L 67-84 32%     12 - 9 6 - 6 -13.4 -7.0 -5.8
  Feb 19, 2022 227   @ Texas Arlington W 58-49 49%     13 - 9 7 - 6 +7.9 -9.4 +17.9
  Feb 23, 2022 163   Coastal Carolina L 69-74 53%     13 - 10 7 - 7 -7.1 -8.3 +1.5
  Feb 25, 2022 159   Appalachian St. W 62-60 52%     14 - 10 8 - 7 +0.1 -6.9 +7.1
  Mar 03, 2022 270   Louisiana Monroe W 81-77 68%     15 - 10 -2.1 +0.9 -3.2
  Mar 05, 2022 146   Georgia St. L 62-65 40%     15 - 11 -1.8 -6.3 +4.4
Projected Record 15 - 11 8 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%