IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Fordham
Atlantic 10
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.1	#275
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	60.0	#349
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.9	#348

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.8	#121

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.0	13.0	14.7

.500 or above	18.7%	24.5%	5.6%
.500 or above in Conference	11.0%	14.0%	4.3%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	35.0%	28.6%	49.3%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Home) - 69.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 3	2 - 7	3 - 15
Quad 4	8 - 5	11 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	315	Columbia	W	64-58	69%
Nov 12, 2021	278	@ Manhattan	L	57-60	40%
Nov 15, 2021	353	St. Thomas	W	71-55	92%
Nov 19, 2021	356	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	68-50	94%
Nov 22, 2021	128	Akron	L	58-67	22%
Nov 28, 2021	346	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	68-63	66%
Dec 01, 2021	320	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	70-64	70%
Dec 05, 2021	52	@ St. John's	L	58-77	6%
Dec 09, 2021	254	LIU Brooklyn	W	67-65	57%
Dec 12, 2021	85	Miami (FL)	L	56-69	15%
Dec 22, 2021	245	Georgia Southern	W	61-59	55%
Dec 30, 2021	210	@ La Salle	L	59-66	29%
Jan 02, 2022	119	Massachusetts	L	62-69	30%
Jan 05, 2022	28	@ St. Bonaventure	L	48-69	4%
Jan 08, 2022	57	Richmond	L	57-69	16%
Jan 12, 2022	162	Duquesne	L	60-63	39%
Jan 15, 2022	79	@ Saint Louis	L	54-70	10%
Jan 19, 2022	87	@ Dayton	L	52-67	11%
Jan 22, 2022	98	Davidson	L	55-63	25%
Jan 30, 2022	238	@ George Washington	L	60-65	35%
Feb 02, 2022	101	Rhode Island	L	59-67	25%
Feb 05, 2022	193	@ Saint Joseph's	L	63-70	28%
Feb 12, 2022	162	@ Duquesne	L	57-66	23%
Feb 15, 2022	77	Virginia Commonwealth	L	57-67	21%
Feb 20, 2022	169	George Mason	L	60-63	40%
Feb 23, 2022	210	La Salle	L	62-63	48%
Feb 26, 2022	98	@ Davidson	L	52-66	13%
Mar 02, 2022	119	@ Massachusetts	L	59-72	16%
Mar 05, 2022	238	George Washington	W	63-62	54%
Projected Record						11 - 18	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.5	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0					0.9	3rd
4th										0.0	0.2	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0						1.4	4th
5th									0.0	0.2	0.9	0.7	0.2	0.0							2.0	5th
6th								0.0	0.2	1.1	1.1	0.3	0.0								2.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	1.2	1.6	0.6	0.1	0.0								3.7	7th
8th						0.0	0.1	1.2	2.4	1.0	0.1										4.8	8th
9th					0.0	0.1	1.4	3.2	1.7	0.2	0.0										6.7	9th
10th					0.1	1.5	4.0	2.5	0.3	0.0											8.5	10th
11th				0.1	1.8	4.7	3.6	0.7	0.0												11.0	11th
12th			0.3	2.5	5.9	4.5	1.1	0.0													14.3	12th
13th		0.7	4.3	7.5	4.8	1.3	0.1	0.0													18.7	13th
14th	4.3	8.1	7.7	3.6	0.8	0.1	0.0														24.5	14th

Total	4.3	8.8	12.2	13.8	13.5	12.2	10.4	7.9	5.9	4.2	2.9	1.8	1.1	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0				Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	66.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	79.1%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
15-3	50.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	18.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	5.5%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%		30.8%	15.4%	15.4%	10.5										0.0			0.0					0.0		18.2%
16-2	0.0%		37.2%	16.3%	20.9%	10.5										0.0		0.0	0.0					0.0		25.0%
15-3	0.1%		17.3%	11.9%	5.3%	11.9											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.1		6.1%
14-4	0.3%		12.3%	10.7%	1.6%	12.1										0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.2		1.8%
13-5	0.5%		5.1%	4.6%	0.4%	12.8												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.5		0.5%
12-6	1.1%		2.4%	2.4%		13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.1
11-7	1.8%		1.2%	1.2%		13.5													0.0	0.0	0.0			1.8
10-8	2.9%		0.4%	0.4%		13.7														0.0	0.0	0.0		2.9
9-9	4.2%		0.4%	0.4%		14.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	4.2
8-10	5.9%		0.1%	0.1%		15.3															0.0		0.0	5.9
7-11	7.9%		0.1%	0.1%		14.5															0.0	0.0		7.9
6-12	10.4%		0.1%	0.1%		15.8																0.0	0.0	10.4
5-13	12.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	12.2
4-14	13.5%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.4
3-15	13.8%																							13.8
2-16	12.2%																							12.2
1-17	8.8%																							8.8
0-18	4.3%																							4.3

Total	100%		0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	13.0										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	99.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%