Preseason Rankings
Georgia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.9#60
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace67.8#217
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#77
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.5#45
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 2.6% 3.0% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 7.4% 8.5% 1.0%
Top 6 Seed 13.8% 15.8% 2.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 36.0% 40.0% 13.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 33.3% 37.2% 12.1%
Average Seed 7.3 7.2 8.7
.500 or above 69.6% 74.8% 39.6%
.500 or above in Conference 51.1% 55.2% 27.7%
Conference Champion 4.7% 5.3% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 4.5% 13.2%
First Four3.5% 3.8% 2.0%
First Round34.1% 38.0% 12.0%
Second Round19.8% 22.3% 5.7%
Sweet Sixteen8.3% 9.5% 1.8%
Elite Eight3.6% 4.1% 0.5%
Final Four1.5% 1.7% 0.1%
Championship Game0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Home) - 85.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 24 - 47 - 12
Quad 35 - 212 - 14
Quad 46 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 152   Miami (OH) W 74-63 85%    
  Nov 12, 2021 251   Stetson W 79-62 94%    
  Nov 15, 2021 308   Lamar W 80-60 96%    
  Nov 19, 2021 133   @ Georgia W 78-74 62%    
  Nov 22, 2021 335   Charleston Southern W 83-60 98%    
  Nov 26, 2021 245   Georgia Southern W 76-59 92%    
  Dec 01, 2021 43   Wisconsin W 65-64 54%    
  Dec 05, 2021 22   North Carolina L 74-76 45%    
  Dec 11, 2021 36   LSU L 74-77 41%    
  Dec 18, 2021 20   USC L 66-71 36%    
  Dec 21, 2021 121   Georgia St. W 79-70 76%    
  Dec 23, 2021 340   Alabama A&M W 77-53 98%    
  Dec 29, 2021 44   @ Syracuse L 70-75 36%    
  Jan 01, 2022 27   Louisville L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 04, 2022 10   @ Duke L 66-76 21%    
  Jan 08, 2022 45   Notre Dame W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 12, 2022 144   @ Boston College W 76-72 63%    
  Jan 15, 2022 22   @ North Carolina L 71-79 27%    
  Jan 19, 2022 103   Wake Forest W 73-66 71%    
  Jan 26, 2022 18   Florida St. L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 29, 2022 85   Miami (FL) W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 02, 2022 34   @ Virginia Tech L 65-71 32%    
  Feb 05, 2022 55   Clemson W 66-63 58%    
  Feb 09, 2022 85   @ Miami (FL) L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 12, 2022 29   @ Virginia L 56-62 31%    
  Feb 15, 2022 59   North Carolina St. W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 19, 2022 117   @ Pittsburgh W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 23, 2022 34   Virginia Tech W 68-67 50%    
  Feb 26, 2022 45   @ Notre Dame L 69-74 36%    
  Mar 02, 2022 55   @ Clemson L 63-66 40%    
  Mar 05, 2022 144   Boston College W 79-69 79%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 4.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.1 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.3 2.5 0.4 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.2 2.9 0.7 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.0 3.5 0.9 0.1 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.7 1.3 0.1 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.9 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 6.2 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.9 14th
15th 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.5 15th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.5 4.0 5.8 7.0 8.2 9.2 9.8 9.7 9.1 8.4 7.2 5.9 4.3 2.9 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 98.1% 0.4    0.4 0.0 0.0
18-2 88.8% 1.0    0.7 0.2 0.0
17-3 67.4% 1.3    0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 37.0% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 14.6% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 56.6% 43.4% 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.4% 100.0% 43.6% 56.4% 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.1% 100.0% 33.6% 66.4% 2.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.0% 100.0% 22.5% 77.5% 3.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.9% 99.3% 18.4% 80.9% 4.2 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.1%
15-5 4.3% 98.5% 13.8% 84.7% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.3%
14-6 5.9% 94.2% 9.7% 84.5% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 93.6%
13-7 7.2% 87.1% 7.2% 79.9% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 86.1%
12-8 8.4% 68.4% 3.3% 65.1% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.0 2.7 67.3%
11-9 9.1% 46.2% 2.0% 44.2% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.9 45.1%
10-10 9.7% 25.3% 1.1% 24.2% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 7.2 24.5%
9-11 9.8% 8.0% 0.6% 7.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 9.0 7.4%
8-12 9.2% 1.7% 0.3% 1.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.0 1.4%
7-13 8.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.2 0.2%
6-14 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 7.0
5-15 5.8% 0.1% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 5.8
4-16 4.0% 4.0
3-17 2.5% 2.5
2-18 1.5% 1.5
1-19 0.7% 0.7
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 36.0% 3.9% 32.0% 7.3 1.0 1.6 2.3 2.5 3.0 3.4 3.9 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.8 2.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 64.0 33.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.2 84.4 15.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0