Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#160
Expected Predictive Rating+1.7#153
Pace68.5#203
Improvement+1.8#41

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#79
First Shot+3.2#87
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#132
Layup/Dunks+0.6#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#224
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#193
Freethrows+4.3#7
Improvement+0.1#165

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#281
First Shot-2.7#262
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#223
Layups/Dunks+0.5#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#211
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#253
Freethrows-1.2#256
Improvement+1.7#42
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.7% 14.5% 10.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 86.4% 89.4% 72.5%
.500 or above in Conference 78.2% 79.8% 71.0%
Conference Champion 16.8% 18.0% 11.7%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 1.0% 2.0%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.6%
First Round13.5% 14.4% 9.8%
Second Round1.1% 1.2% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 81.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 35 - 66 - 10
Quad 414 - 319 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 83   @ Davidson L 71-93 20%     0 - 1 -12.7 +1.9 -15.0
  Nov 13, 2021 293   @ Siena W 83-63 68%     1 - 1 +15.6 +11.5 +5.1
  Nov 17, 2021 234   La Salle W 85-82 OT 75%     2 - 1 -3.6 +1.2 -5.1
  Nov 22, 2021 172   Appalachian St. W 75-68 54%     3 - 1 +6.6 +10.2 -2.9
  Nov 23, 2021 246   Fordham W 81-71 68%     4 - 1 +5.6 +7.8 -2.4
  Nov 24, 2021 125   Oakland L 73-81 41%     4 - 2 -5.2 +2.5 -7.7
  Nov 27, 2021 151   @ Temple L 74-75 36%     4 - 3 +3.1 +3.2 -0.1
  Nov 30, 2021 275   LIU Brooklyn W 83-73 82%    
  Dec 02, 2021 356   @ Delaware St. W 87-70 94%    
  Dec 05, 2021 210   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-72 69%    
  Dec 08, 2021 304   Lafayette W 81-70 85%    
  Dec 21, 2021 111   Iona L 70-74 38%    
  Dec 29, 2021 279   @ UNC Wilmington W 73-69 64%    
  Dec 31, 2021 206   @ College of Charleston L 83-84 49%    
  Jan 03, 2022 165   James Madison W 78-74 63%    
  Jan 05, 2022 164   Towson W 74-70 62%    
  Jan 11, 2022 167   @ Drexel L 71-73 41%    
  Jan 15, 2022 137   @ Hofstra L 74-79 33%    
  Jan 17, 2022 149   @ Northeastern L 66-70 37%    
  Jan 20, 2022 338   William & Mary W 81-66 91%    
  Jan 22, 2022 265   Elon W 80-71 80%    
  Jan 27, 2022 164   @ Towson L 71-73 41%    
  Jan 29, 2022 165   @ James Madison L 75-77 41%    
  Feb 05, 2022 167   Drexel W 74-70 62%    
  Feb 10, 2022 149   Northeastern W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 12, 2022 137   Hofstra W 77-76 54%    
  Feb 17, 2022 265   @ Elon W 77-74 61%    
  Feb 19, 2022 338   @ William & Mary W 78-69 79%    
  Feb 24, 2022 206   College of Charleston W 87-81 68%    
  Feb 26, 2022 279   UNC Wilmington W 76-66 81%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 3.8 4.8 4.1 2.0 0.8 0.1 16.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.8 6.0 5.6 2.3 0.6 0.0 16.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.8 6.2 5.5 1.5 0.2 15.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 5.6 5.0 1.2 0.1 13.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.3 5.1 4.6 0.9 0.1 12.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 3.8 3.9 1.0 0.0 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.0 3.1 0.8 7.9 7th
8th 0.2 1.1 1.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.2 2.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 3.7 6.0 8.7 11.5 13.1 14.0 13.8 10.9 7.2 4.7 2.1 0.8 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 98.1% 2.0    1.9 0.1
15-3 88.2% 4.1    3.5 0.6
14-4 66.5% 4.8    3.0 1.6 0.3 0.0
13-5 34.4% 3.8    1.2 1.8 0.6 0.1
12-6 7.8% 1.1    0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-7 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 16.8% 16.8 10.7 4.5 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.8% 57.3% 57.3% 12.7 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-2 2.1% 33.8% 33.8% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.4
15-3 4.7% 35.3% 35.1% 0.2% 13.6 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 3.0 0.3%
14-4 7.2% 26.6% 26.6% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.5 0.0 5.3
13-5 10.9% 21.4% 21.4% 14.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.0 0.1 8.6
12-6 13.8% 16.0% 16.0% 14.6 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.2 11.6
11-7 14.0% 11.9% 11.9% 15.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.3 12.4
10-8 13.1% 9.1% 9.1% 15.2 0.2 0.6 0.4 11.9
9-9 11.5% 6.7% 6.7% 15.5 0.4 0.4 10.7
8-10 8.7% 5.0% 5.0% 15.7 0.1 0.3 8.2
7-11 6.0% 2.3% 2.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 5.9
6-12 3.7% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.1 3.6
5-13 2.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 2.1
4-14 0.9% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.9
3-15 0.3% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 13.7% 13.7% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.3 5.1 2.0 86.3 0.0%