Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2020-21 - 2021-22 - 2022-23
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#111
Expected Predictive Rating+13.7#33
Pace70.5#147
Improvement+0.5#125

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#174
First Shot-1.7#225
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#92
Layup/Dunks+4.6#51
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#341
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#335
Freethrows+3.5#23
Improvement-0.7#264

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#64
First Shot+2.2#100
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#64
Layups/Dunks-7.5#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#79
3 Pt Jumpshots+11.8#1
Freethrows-3.8#338
Improvement+1.2#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.8% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.1% 45.1% 36.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.3% 8.0% 1.6%
Average Seed 12.4 11.6 12.5
.500 or above 98.6% 99.9% 98.5%
.500 or above in Conference 97.2% 98.8% 97.0%
Conference Champion 51.6% 59.4% 50.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.9% 2.4% 0.7%
First Round36.6% 43.4% 35.7%
Second Round6.7% 10.5% 6.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.6% 2.6% 1.4%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas (Neutral) - 11.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 2
Quad 21 - 12 - 3
Quad 37 - 38 - 7
Quad 416 - 224 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 172   Appalachian St. W 65-53 76%     1 - 0 +8.6 -4.3 +13.7
  Nov 13, 2021 136   Harvard W 90-87 OT 68%     2 - 0 +2.4 -0.3 +2.1
  Nov 16, 2021 137   Hofstra W 82-74 68%     3 - 0 +7.3 +1.8 +5.2
  Nov 19, 2021 173   Liberty W 54-50 67%     4 - 0 +3.6 -10.0 +14.2
  Nov 20, 2021 321   North Alabama W 81-65 89%     5 - 0 +6.7 +0.1 +5.6
  Nov 25, 2021 18   Alabama W 72-68 17%     6 - 0 +18.5 +0.9 +17.4
  Nov 26, 2021 63   Belmont L 65-72 37%     6 - 1 +0.6 -6.9 +7.7
  Nov 28, 2021 9   Kansas L 66-79 11%    
  Dec 01, 2021 248   @ Marist W 69-63 71%    
  Dec 03, 2021 273   Rider W 74-61 89%    
  Dec 12, 2021 113   Yale W 69-68 51%    
  Dec 18, 2021 27   Seton Hall L 64-73 20%    
  Dec 21, 2021 160   Delaware W 74-70 62%    
  Dec 31, 2021 293   Siena W 74-59 91%    
  Jan 02, 2022 222   @ Fairfield W 68-64 64%    
  Jan 07, 2022 199   @ St. Peter's W 67-64 60%    
  Jan 09, 2022 134   @ Monmouth L 72-73 45%    
  Jan 14, 2022 251   Manhattan W 71-59 85%    
  Jan 16, 2022 224   Niagara W 70-60 82%    
  Jan 21, 2022 248   Marist W 72-60 85%    
  Jan 23, 2022 276   @ Quinnipiac W 76-69 74%    
  Jan 30, 2022 199   St. Peter's W 70-61 78%    
  Feb 04, 2022 260   @ Canisius W 74-68 71%    
  Feb 06, 2022 224   @ Niagara W 67-63 64%    
  Feb 11, 2022 293   @ Siena W 71-62 77%    
  Feb 13, 2022 134   Monmouth W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 20, 2022 222   Fairfield W 71-61 81%    
  Feb 25, 2022 260   Canisius W 77-65 86%    
  Feb 27, 2022 273   @ Rider W 71-64 74%    
  Mar 03, 2022 251   @ Manhattan W 68-62 71%    
  Mar 05, 2022 276   Quinnipiac W 79-66 87%    
Projected Record 22 - 9 15 - 5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 3.2 7.4 11.1 12.0 10.1 5.7 1.6 51.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 3.2 6.6 6.9 3.8 1.3 0.2 22.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 2.8 4.4 3.1 1.0 0.1 12.0 3rd
4th 0.3 1.7 2.6 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 0.6 0.1 3.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 1.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 1.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.3 4.5 6.8 9.5 13.1 15.2 15.0 13.3 10.3 5.7 1.6 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 1.6    1.6
19-1 100.0% 5.7    5.6 0.0
18-2 98.0% 10.1    9.5 0.6
17-3 90.1% 12.0    10.4 1.6 0.0
16-4 74.1% 11.1    7.7 3.2 0.2
15-5 48.5% 7.4    3.8 2.9 0.7 0.1
14-6 24.4% 3.2    0.9 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-7 6.5% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 51.6% 51.6 39.5 10.0 1.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 1.6% 84.6% 64.1% 20.5% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 57.1%
19-1 5.7% 69.9% 61.6% 8.3% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 0.4 0.0 1.7 21.7%
18-2 10.3% 58.1% 53.4% 4.7% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.9 1.2 0.1 4.3 10.2%
17-3 13.3% 45.7% 44.8% 0.9% 12.3 0.1 0.6 3.1 2.1 0.2 7.2 1.6%
16-4 15.0% 42.2% 41.9% 0.3% 12.6 0.0 0.2 2.7 2.7 0.7 0.0 8.7 0.5%
15-5 15.2% 33.2% 33.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 1.4 2.6 1.0 0.1 10.2 0.2%
14-6 13.1% 29.1% 29.1% 13.3 0.5 1.9 1.2 0.2 9.3
13-7 9.5% 23.4% 23.4% 13.5 0.2 1.0 0.9 0.2 7.3
12-8 6.8% 18.5% 18.5% 13.8 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.6
11-9 4.5% 17.4% 17.4% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 3.7
10-10 2.3% 8.8% 8.8% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.1
9-11 1.5% 5.5% 5.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
8-12 0.8% 3.7% 3.7% 15.0 0.0 0.8
7-13 0.3% 3.2% 3.2% 15.0 0.0 0.3
6-14 0.1% 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 37.1% 35.7% 1.5% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.2 3.5 12.3 12.3 5.4 1.0 0.0 62.9 2.3%