Pre-tourney Rankings
Alabama
Southeastern
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.7#1
Expected Predictive Rating+20.2#1
Pace79.7#4
Improvement+0.2#163

Offense
Total Offense+8.4#16
First Shot+6.3#26
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#38
Layup/Dunks+2.8#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#359
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#20
Freethrows+2.2#31
Improvement-0.2#201

Defense
Total Defense+11.3#3
First Shot+9.0#3
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#12
Layups/Dunks+4.8#27
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#303
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.4#5
Freethrows-0.8#252
Improvement+0.4#127
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 46.7% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 90.6% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round98.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen77.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight57.8% n/a n/a
Final Four38.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game25.1% n/a n/a
National Champion15.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 44 - 4
Quad 1b9 - 113 - 5
Quad 26 - 019 - 5
Quad 37 - 026 - 5
Quad 43 - 029 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 175   Longwood W 75-54 97%     1 - 0 +17.5 -6.9 +22.2
  Nov 11, 2022 69   Liberty W 95-59 90%     2 - 0 +41.3 +20.9 +19.1
  Nov 15, 2022 110   @ South Alabama W 65-55 88%     3 - 0 +17.0 -6.8 +23.3
  Nov 18, 2022 233   Jacksonville St. W 104-62 98%     4 - 0 +35.5 +28.9 +6.9
  Nov 24, 2022 31   Michigan St. W 81-70 77%     5 - 0 +22.9 +11.8 +10.7
  Nov 25, 2022 4   Connecticut L 67-82 58%     5 - 1 +2.7 -1.3 +4.7
  Nov 27, 2022 39   North Carolina W 103-101 4OT 80%     6 - 1 +13.0 +4.1 +8.3
  Dec 03, 2022 181   South Dakota St. W 78-65 97%     7 - 1 +9.3 +3.7 +5.6
  Dec 10, 2022 2   @ Houston W 71-65 41%     8 - 1 +28.1 +8.0 +19.9
  Dec 13, 2022 22   Memphis W 91-88 82%     9 - 1 +13.1 +8.3 +4.3
  Dec 17, 2022 8   Gonzaga L 90-100 61%     9 - 2 +6.8 +7.1 +1.2
  Dec 20, 2022 311   Jackson St. W 84-64 99%     10 - 2 +8.7 -3.7 +10.1
  Dec 28, 2022 49   @ Mississippi St. W 78-67 75%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +23.7 +9.6 +13.1
  Jan 03, 2023 106   Mississippi W 84-62 95%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +23.3 +9.1 +13.3
  Jan 07, 2023 26   Kentucky W 78-52 83%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +35.6 +10.6 +25.9
  Jan 11, 2023 17   @ Arkansas W 84-69 63%     14 - 2 4 - 0 +31.2 +13.3 +16.6
  Jan 14, 2023 126   LSU W 106-66 96%     15 - 2 5 - 0 +39.3 +28.5 +9.4
  Jan 17, 2023 79   @ Vanderbilt W 78-66 81%     16 - 2 6 - 0 +22.4 +1.1 +20.4
  Jan 21, 2023 51   @ Missouri W 85-64 75%     17 - 2 7 - 0 +33.6 +6.1 +25.7
  Jan 25, 2023 49   Mississippi St. W 66-63 88%     18 - 2 8 - 0 +9.7 +3.0 +6.8
  Jan 28, 2023 53   @ Oklahoma L 69-93 76%     18 - 3 -11.5 -1.1 -9.0
  Jan 31, 2023 79   Vanderbilt W 101-44 92%     19 - 3 9 - 0 +61.4 +27.1 +34.3
  Feb 04, 2023 126   @ LSU W 79-69 90%     20 - 3 10 - 0 +15.3 +7.3 +7.8
  Feb 08, 2023 54   Florida W 97-69 89%     21 - 3 11 - 0 +34.3 +22.7 +9.6
  Feb 11, 2023 29   @ Auburn W 77-69 67%     22 - 3 12 - 0 +23.2 +14.2 +9.2
  Feb 15, 2023 6   @ Tennessee L 59-68 49%     22 - 4 12 - 1 +10.9 +0.0 +10.7
  Feb 18, 2023 142   Georgia W 108-59 96%     23 - 4 13 - 1 +47.6 +34.1 +12.9
  Feb 22, 2023 199   @ South Carolina W 78-76 OT 94%     24 - 4 14 - 1 +3.5 +1.2 +2.2
  Feb 25, 2023 17   Arkansas W 86-83 81%     25 - 4 15 - 1 +13.3 +7.4 +5.5
  Mar 01, 2023 29   Auburn W 90-85 OT 84%     26 - 4 16 - 1 +14.3 +10.9 +2.7
  Mar 04, 2023 27   @ Texas A&M L 61-67 66%     26 - 5 16 - 2 +9.5 -7.3 +17.1
  Mar 10, 2023 49   Mississippi St. W 72-49 83%     27 - 5 +32.7 +15.4 +19.4
  Mar 11, 2023 51   Missouri W 72-61 83%     28 - 5 +20.6 -0.6 +21.3
  Mar 12, 2023 27   Texas A&M W 82-63 75%     29 - 5 +31.5 +16.0 +15.7
Projected Record 29 - 5 16 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.1 90.6 9.4 0.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.1 90.6 9.4 0.0