Pre-tourney Rankings
Austin Peay
Atlantic Sun
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#323
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#329
Pace63.1#310
Improvement-2.2#336

Offense
Total Offense-5.5#323
First Shot-4.5#312
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#253
Layup/Dunks-4.7#337
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#56
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#213
Freethrows-1.6#310
Improvement-1.6#327

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#291
First Shot-4.0#313
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#145
Layups/Dunks-5.8#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#29
Freethrows-2.5#338
Improvement-0.6#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 81 - 13
Quad 45 - 96 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 45   @ North Carolina St. L 50-99 3%     0 - 1 -35.6 -19.7 -13.8
  Nov 11, 2022 7   @ Purdue L 44-63 1%     0 - 2 +0.8 -11.0 +7.7
  Nov 17, 2022 148   @ South Florida W 62-60 11%     1 - 2 +6.3 -2.2 +8.6
  Nov 21, 2022 341   Albany W 74-59 59%     2 - 2 +3.6 +1.7 +3.4
  Nov 22, 2022 300   Bucknell L 65-79 43%     2 - 3 -21.4 -7.6 -14.6
  Nov 26, 2022 228   Howard L 55-56 38%     2 - 4 -7.1 -17.4 +10.2
  Nov 30, 2022 170   Western Kentucky L 74-75 28%     2 - 5 -4.3 +3.9 -8.2
  Dec 03, 2022 298   Tennessee St. W 77-61 54%     3 - 5 +5.8 +6.5 +1.0
  Dec 16, 2022 217   @ Murray St. L 60-68 18%     3 - 6 -7.4 -11.5 +3.8
  Dec 21, 2022 6   @ Tennessee L 44-86 1%     3 - 7 -22.1 -12.8 -12.1
  Dec 29, 2022 214   @ Queens L 77-81 17%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -3.2 +2.1 -5.2
  Dec 31, 2022 234   @ North Florida L 85-90 OT 21%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -5.7 +1.5 -6.8
  Jan 05, 2023 190   Florida Gulf Coast W 61-59 31%     4 - 9 1 - 2 -1.9 -9.7 +7.9
  Jan 07, 2023 336   Central Arkansas W 86-62 68%     5 - 9 2 - 2 +10.1 +12.3 -0.4
  Jan 12, 2023 159   Lipscomb L 65-87 27%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -24.7 -9.9 -14.4
  Jan 14, 2023 159   @ Lipscomb L 72-86 13%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -10.8 +1.0 -11.7
  Jan 19, 2023 256   Bellarmine L 45-56 46%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -19.1 -22.0 +0.2
  Jan 21, 2023 176   Eastern Kentucky L 59-74 29%     5 - 13 2 - 6 -18.6 -13.4 -5.5
  Jan 26, 2023 131   @ Kennesaw St. L 57-84 10%     5 - 14 2 - 7 -22.0 -17.5 -2.4
  Jan 28, 2023 233   @ Jacksonville St. L 53-70 21%     5 - 15 2 - 8 -17.6 -13.9 -5.6
  Feb 02, 2023 69   Liberty L 70-82 9%     5 - 16 2 - 9 -6.7 +6.5 -14.3
  Feb 04, 2023 214   Queens L 69-70 35%     5 - 17 2 - 10 -6.1 -12.9 +6.9
  Feb 09, 2023 258   @ North Alabama L 57-70 25%     5 - 18 2 - 11 -15.3 -13.1 -3.6
  Feb 11, 2023 336   @ Central Arkansas L 69-76 45%     5 - 19 2 - 12 -15.0 -4.3 -11.0
  Feb 16, 2023 230   Jacksonville L 56-60 39%     5 - 20 2 - 13 -10.4 -8.7 -2.4
  Feb 18, 2023 234   North Florida W 73-71 40%     6 - 20 3 - 13 -4.7 +0.9 -5.3
  Feb 22, 2023 174   @ Stetson L 51-76 14%     6 - 21 3 - 14 -22.5 -18.0 -8.5
  Feb 24, 2023 190   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 71-89 15%     6 - 22 3 - 15 -16.0 -0.4 -15.7
Projected Record 6 - 22 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 100.0 100.0 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 100.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%