Pre-tourney Rankings
California
Pac-12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#243
Expected Predictive Rating-9.3#326
Pace60.8#342
Improvement-1.3#293

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#304
First Shot-3.3#286
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#282
Layup/Dunks+0.8#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#204
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#341
Freethrows+1.3#77
Improvement-1.4#319

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#168
First Shot-0.2#182
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#127
Layups/Dunks-1.0#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#208
Freethrows+0.0#187
Improvement+0.1#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 60 - 9
Quad 21 - 101 - 19
Quad 31 - 62 - 25
Quad 41 - 43 - 29


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 160   UC Davis L 65-75 44%     0 - 1 -12.7 -8.6 -4.1
  Nov 11, 2022 23   Kansas St. L 54-63 10%     0 - 2 +0.9 -11.6 +12.3
  Nov 15, 2022 253   @ UC San Diego L 62-64 41%     0 - 3 -4.1 -3.6 -0.8
  Nov 18, 2022 291   Southern L 66-74 70%     0 - 4 -17.7 -3.5 -14.9
  Nov 21, 2022 197   Texas St. L 55-59 50%     0 - 5 -8.3 -10.2 +1.2
  Nov 25, 2022 21   TCU L 48-59 6%     0 - 6 +2.1 -9.9 +10.4
  Nov 26, 2022 50   Clemson L 59-67 10%     0 - 7 +1.6 +2.0 -1.8
  Nov 30, 2022 42   USC L 51-66 13%     0 - 8 -7.3 -11.9 +2.8
  Dec 04, 2022 10   @ Arizona L 68-81 2%     0 - 9 0 - 1 +6.3 +6.0 -0.3
  Dec 07, 2022 138   Eastern Washington L 48-50 38%     0 - 10 -3.2 -24.0 +20.6
  Dec 10, 2022 102   Butler L 58-82 28%     0 - 11 -22.4 -9.3 -13.7
  Dec 18, 2022 85   @ Santa Clara L 62-71 10%     0 - 12 +0.8 -5.1 +5.7
  Dec 21, 2022 242   Texas Arlington W 73-51 61%     1 - 12 +14.9 +8.7 +9.4
  Dec 29, 2022 70   Utah L 43-58 18%     1 - 13 0 - 2 -9.8 -18.2 +5.9
  Dec 31, 2022 59   Colorado W 80-76 17%     2 - 13 1 - 2 +10.0 +11.4 -1.5
  Jan 06, 2023 86   Stanford W 92-70 22%     3 - 13 2 - 2 +25.8 +34.0 -4.5
  Jan 11, 2023 62   @ Washington St. L 51-66 8%     3 - 14 2 - 3 -3.4 -9.1 +3.7
  Jan 14, 2023 100   @ Washington L 78-81 OT 13%     3 - 15 2 - 4 +4.7 +5.3 -0.4
  Jan 18, 2023 47   Oregon L 58-87 14%     3 - 16 2 - 5 -22.0 -3.7 -22.7
  Jan 22, 2023 196   Oregon St. L 48-68 50%     3 - 17 2 - 6 -24.3 -16.2 -11.7
  Jan 28, 2023 86   @ Stanford L 46-75 10%     3 - 18 2 - 7 -19.2 -19.5 -2.9
  Feb 02, 2023 59   @ Colorado L 46-59 7%     3 - 19 2 - 8 -1.0 -13.6 +11.3
  Feb 05, 2023 70   @ Utah L 46-61 8%     3 - 20 2 - 9 -3.9 -11.2 +4.8
  Feb 09, 2023 10   Arizona L 62-85 6%     3 - 21 2 - 10 -9.6 -7.3 -2.1
  Feb 11, 2023 66   Arizona St. L 62-70 OT 18%     3 - 22 2 - 11 -2.5 -5.5 +3.1
  Feb 16, 2023 42   @ USC L 60-97 6%     3 - 23 2 - 12 -23.3 -5.8 -17.8
  Feb 18, 2023 3   @ UCLA L 43-78 2%     3 - 24 2 - 13 -13.4 -13.9 -1.7
  Feb 23, 2023 100   Washington L 56-65 28%     3 - 25 2 - 14 -7.2 -15.0 +7.9
  Feb 25, 2023 62   Washington St. L 57-63 17%     3 - 26 2 - 15 -0.3 -7.1 +6.2
  Mar 02, 2023 47   @ Oregon L 51-84 6%     3 - 27 2 - 16 -20.0 -10.0 -14.3
  Mar 04, 2023 196   @ Oregon St. L 66-69 28%     3 - 28 2 - 17 -1.3 +1.4 -2.9
  Mar 08, 2023 62   Washington St. L 52-69 12%     3 - 29 -8.4 -12.0 +2.2
Projected Record 3 - 29 2 - 17




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18 100.0% 100.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%