Pre-tourney Rankings
Cincinnati
American Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#52
Expected Predictive Rating+7.4#74
Pace70.3#122
Improvement+1.9#45

Offense
Total Offense+5.2#52
First Shot+3.2#81
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#46
Layup/Dunks+0.3#164
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#93
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#49
Freethrows-2.2#334
Improvement+0.9#80

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#62
First Shot+3.4#71
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#83
Layups/Dunks-0.5#198
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#288
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#12
Freethrows+0.2#166
Improvement+1.0#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.7% n/a n/a
First Round0.3% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 7
Quad 22 - 33 - 10
Quad 36 - 29 - 12
Quad 411 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 189   Cleveland St. W 69-58 89%     1 - 0 +7.1 +2.9 +5.5
  Nov 13, 2022 176   Eastern Kentucky W 87-69 89%     2 - 0 +14.4 +6.1 +6.8
  Nov 16, 2022 172   @ Northern Kentucky L 51-64 75%     2 - 1 -10.4 -13.4 +1.6
  Nov 21, 2022 10   Arizona L 93-101 26%     2 - 2 +8.4 +17.6 -8.5
  Nov 22, 2022 46   Ohio St. L 53-81 47%     2 - 3 -17.7 -9.1 -13.0
  Nov 23, 2022 261   Louisville W 81-62 91%     3 - 3 +13.7 +5.8 +8.1
  Nov 30, 2022 328   NJIT W 86-60 97%     4 - 3 +13.2 +11.6 +2.8
  Dec 04, 2022 208   Bryant W 97-71 90%     5 - 3 +21.1 +0.2 +15.5
  Dec 10, 2022 13   Xavier L 77-80 42%     5 - 4 +8.5 +1.0 +7.8
  Dec 14, 2022 270   Miami (OH) W 103-76 95%     6 - 4 +18.3 +26.8 -7.8
  Dec 17, 2022 218   La Salle W 78-60 91%     7 - 4 +12.6 -6.5 +17.1
  Dec 21, 2022 202   Detroit Mercy W 72-54 90%     8 - 4 +13.5 -4.7 +19.0
  Dec 29, 2022 97   Tulane W 88-77 77%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +12.8 +4.7 +6.9
  Jan 01, 2023 112   @ Temple L 61-70 61%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -2.2 -3.4 +0.5
  Jan 05, 2023 99   @ Wichita St. W 70-61 57%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +16.7 +5.2 +11.9
  Jan 08, 2023 2   Houston L 59-72 26%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +3.1 -1.4 +3.7
  Jan 11, 2023 173   East Carolina W 83-55 88%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +24.7 +11.6 +13.9
  Jan 14, 2023 169   @ SMU W 54-52 74%     12 - 6 4 - 2 +4.7 -13.8 +18.6
  Jan 18, 2023 148   @ South Florida W 85-69 70%     13 - 6 5 - 2 +20.3 +15.9 +4.6
  Jan 22, 2023 22   Memphis L 68-75 48%     13 - 7 5 - 3 +3.1 -0.2 +3.3
  Jan 28, 2023 2   @ Houston L 69-75 12%     13 - 8 5 - 4 +16.1 +15.5 -0.1
  Feb 01, 2023 297   Tulsa W 81-55 96%     14 - 8 6 - 4 +15.8 +5.8 +10.9
  Feb 04, 2023 63   Central Florida W 73-64 65%     15 - 8 7 - 4 +14.6 +0.6 +13.6
  Feb 07, 2023 97   @ Tulane L 94-101 OT 57%     15 - 9 7 - 5 +0.8 +5.4 -3.3
  Feb 11, 2023 148   South Florida W 84-65 85%     16 - 9 8 - 5 +17.3 +11.2 +6.3
  Feb 15, 2023 173   @ East Carolina L 71-75 75%     16 - 10 8 - 6 -1.4 +2.9 -4.5
  Feb 19, 2023 63   @ Central Florida W 73-71 42%     17 - 10 9 - 6 +13.6 +15.3 -1.5
  Feb 22, 2023 112   Temple W 88-83 OT 80%     18 - 10 10 - 6 +5.8 +12.3 -6.7
  Feb 26, 2023 22   @ Memphis L 73-76 27%     18 - 11 10 - 7 +13.1 +6.2 +6.9
  Mar 05, 2023 169   SMU W 97-74 88%     19 - 11 11 - 7 +19.8 +21.8 -2.5
  Mar 10, 2023 112   Temple W 84-54 71%     20 - 11 +33.8 +13.6 +20.2
  Mar 11, 2023 2   Houston L 48-69 18%     20 - 12 -1.9 -11.2 +7.8
Projected Record 20 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 0.7% 0.7% 11.6 0.3 0.4 0.0 99.3 0.7%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.7% 0.0% 0.7% 11.6 0.3 0.4 0.0 99.3 0.7%