Pre-tourney Rankings
Dayton
Atlantic 10
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#78
Expected Predictive Rating+5.0#101
Pace59.3#352
Improvement+0.2#165

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#93
First Shot+3.9#71
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#229
Layup/Dunks+3.1#58
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#147
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#223
Freethrows+1.0#96
Improvement+2.8#13

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#65
First Shot+7.1#16
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#358
Layups/Dunks+5.6#14
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#97
Freethrows+2.7#15
Improvement-2.6#354
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 21 - 72 - 8
Quad 39 - 311 - 11
Quad 411 - 122 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 346   Lindenwood W 73-46 97%     1 - 0 +12.0 -3.2 +16.4
  Nov 11, 2022 169   SMU W 74-62 84%     2 - 0 +8.8 +3.7 +5.5
  Nov 15, 2022 91   @ UNLV L 52-60 46%     2 - 1 +0.6 -14.4 +14.9
  Nov 19, 2022 240   Robert Morris W 60-51 91%     3 - 1 +2.0 -6.9 +10.0
  Nov 23, 2022 61   Wisconsin L 42-43 45%     3 - 2 +7.9 -18.9 +26.7
  Nov 24, 2022 45   North Carolina St. L 64-76 39%     3 - 3 -1.6 -3.9 +2.2
  Nov 25, 2022 77   BYU L 75-79 OT 49%     3 - 4 +3.6 +8.0 -4.4
  Nov 30, 2022 313   Western Michigan W 67-47 95%     4 - 4 +8.6 -3.0 +15.0
  Dec 03, 2022 266   SE Louisiana W 80-74 93%     5 - 4 -2.7 +6.5 -8.8
  Dec 07, 2022 74   @ Virginia Tech L 49-77 38%     5 - 5 -17.3 -17.5 -1.6
  Dec 10, 2022 156   UNC Asheville W 79-56 82%     6 - 5 +20.6 +7.2 +13.7
  Dec 17, 2022 150   Wyoming W 66-49 73%     7 - 5 +18.2 +4.3 +17.0
  Dec 20, 2022 262   Alcorn St. W 88-46 92%     8 - 5 +33.5 +16.2 +19.8
  Dec 28, 2022 121   Duquesne W 69-57 77%     9 - 5 1 - 0 +11.9 -1.9 +14.3
  Dec 31, 2022 124   @ Davidson W 69-55 58%     10 - 5 2 - 0 +19.3 +8.5 +12.9
  Jan 04, 2023 171   Saint Joseph's W 76-56 84%     11 - 5 3 - 0 +16.7 +12.5 +7.1
  Jan 10, 2023 128   @ Fordham W 82-58 59%     12 - 5 4 - 0 +29.2 +14.6 +14.7
  Jan 13, 2023 60   Virginia Commonwealth L 62-63 56%     12 - 6 4 - 1 +5.0 -1.2 +6.1
  Jan 17, 2023 124   Davidson W 68-61 78%     13 - 6 5 - 1 +6.3 +0.7 +6.3
  Jan 21, 2023 207   @ George Washington L 69-76 73%     13 - 7 5 - 2 -5.9 -7.1 +1.2
  Jan 25, 2023 239   @ Rhode Island L 70-75 79%     13 - 8 5 - 3 -5.9 +4.8 -11.1
  Jan 28, 2023 147   Richmond W 86-60 81%     14 - 8 6 - 3 +24.3 +20.1 +6.1
  Jan 31, 2023 238   Loyola Chicago W 85-81 OT 90%     15 - 8 7 - 3 -2.9 +8.9 -11.7
  Feb 04, 2023 182   @ St. Bonaventure L 59-68 70%     15 - 9 7 - 4 -6.8 -1.4 -6.9
  Feb 07, 2023 60   @ Virginia Commonwealth W 62-58 33%     16 - 9 8 - 4 +15.9 +4.8 +11.6
  Feb 10, 2023 92   Saint Louis W 70-56 69%     17 - 9 9 - 4 +16.5 +8.5 +10.4
  Feb 17, 2023 238   @ Loyola Chicago W 65-49 79%     18 - 9 10 - 4 +15.1 -4.8 +20.8
  Feb 22, 2023 195   @ Massachusetts W 72-54 71%     19 - 9 11 - 4 +19.8 +10.5 +11.5
  Feb 25, 2023 141   George Mason L 69-74 80%     19 - 10 11 - 5 -6.4 +10.6 -18.0
  Feb 28, 2023 218   La Salle W 77-53 88%     20 - 10 12 - 5 +18.6 +16.5 +6.8
  Mar 03, 2023 92   @ Saint Louis L 61-65 46%     20 - 11 12 - 6 +4.4 +2.5 +1.2
  Mar 09, 2023 171   Saint Joseph's W 60-54 77%     21 - 11 +5.7 -4.6 +11.1
  Mar 11, 2023 128   Fordham W 78-68 70%     22 - 11 +12.2 +22.2 -8.3
  Mar 12, 2023 60   Virginia Commonwealth L 56-68 44%     22 - 12 -3.0 +3.7 -9.5
Projected Record 22 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%