Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida St.
Atlantic Coast
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#179
Expected Predictive Rating-1.5#191
Pace71.0#105
Improvement+0.1#177

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#156
First Shot+0.9#150
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#207
Layup/Dunks+0.7#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#124
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#260
Freethrows+1.0#93
Improvement+0.1#164

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#213
First Shot+0.4#157
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#333
Layups/Dunks+1.0#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#320
Freethrows+0.3#154
Improvement+0.0#198
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 7
Quad 20 - 102 - 17
Quad 31 - 43 - 21
Quad 46 - 29 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 174   Stetson L 74-83 61%     0 - 1 -12.5 +0.0 -13.1
  Nov 11, 2022 63   @ Central Florida L 54-68 13%     0 - 2 -2.4 -8.7 +5.4
  Nov 14, 2022 135   Troy L 72-79 51%     0 - 3 -8.0 -3.4 -4.2
  Nov 18, 2022 54   Florida L 67-76 25%     0 - 4 -2.7 -4.7 +2.7
  Nov 21, 2022 226   Mercer W 81-72 70%     1 - 4 +3.0 +8.9 -5.7
  Nov 24, 2022 205   Siena L 63-80 54%     1 - 5 -18.8 -13.3 -4.6
  Nov 25, 2022 86   Stanford L 60-70 24%     1 - 6 -3.2 -12.0 +8.8
  Nov 27, 2022 89   Nebraska L 58-75 26%     1 - 7 -11.0 -10.8 +0.0
  Nov 30, 2022 7   Purdue L 69-79 9%     1 - 8 +3.8 +0.0 +4.1
  Dec 03, 2022 32   @ Virginia L 57-62 8%     1 - 9 0 - 1 +9.8 -2.0 +11.3
  Dec 10, 2022 261   Louisville W 75-53 77%     2 - 9 1 - 1 +13.7 -1.5 +15.5
  Dec 13, 2022 259   South Carolina Upstate W 80-63 76%     3 - 9 +8.8 +3.7 +4.9
  Dec 17, 2022 80   St. John's L 79-93 22%     3 - 10 -6.6 +8.5 -14.7
  Dec 21, 2022 149   Notre Dame W 73-72 54%     4 - 10 2 - 1 -0.7 +6.9 -7.5
  Dec 31, 2022 19   @ Duke L 67-86 7%     4 - 11 2 - 2 -2.9 +5.7 -9.2
  Jan 07, 2023 143   Georgia Tech W 75-64 53%     5 - 11 3 - 2 +9.5 +6.3 +3.8
  Jan 11, 2023 84   @ Wake Forest L 75-90 16%     5 - 12 3 - 3 -5.2 +3.8 -8.7
  Jan 14, 2023 32   Virginia L 58-67 19%     5 - 13 3 - 4 -0.2 +1.2 -3.0
  Jan 17, 2023 149   @ Notre Dame W 84-71 32%     6 - 13 4 - 4 +17.2 +9.9 +7.2
  Jan 21, 2023 67   @ Pittsburgh W 71-64 13%     7 - 13 5 - 4 +18.4 +6.5 +12.4
  Jan 24, 2023 37   Miami (FL) L 63-86 20%     7 - 14 5 - 5 -14.7 -10.6 -3.7
  Jan 28, 2023 50   Clemson L 81-82 24%     7 - 15 5 - 6 +5.6 +4.8 +1.0
  Feb 01, 2023 45   @ North Carolina St. L 66-94 10%     7 - 16 5 - 7 -14.6 -0.8 -14.1
  Feb 04, 2023 261   @ Louisville W 81-78 57%     8 - 16 6 - 7 +0.7 +7.4 -6.7
  Feb 08, 2023 103   Syracuse L 67-76 42%     8 - 17 6 - 8 -7.5 -8.3 +1.0
  Feb 11, 2023 67   Pittsburgh L 75-83 28%     8 - 18 6 - 9 -2.6 +2.4 -5.0
  Feb 15, 2023 50   @ Clemson L 54-94 11%     8 - 19 6 - 10 -27.4 -9.8 -19.5
  Feb 18, 2023 154   Boston College L 69-75 55%     8 - 20 6 - 11 -8.1 -6.2 -1.6
  Feb 25, 2023 37   @ Miami (FL) W 85-84 9%     9 - 20 7 - 11 +15.3 +9.8 +5.4
  Feb 27, 2023 39   North Carolina L 66-77 20%     9 - 21 7 - 12 -3.0 -2.3 -0.7
  Mar 04, 2023 74   @ Virginia Tech L 60-82 14%     9 - 22 7 - 13 -11.3 -4.7 -8.4
  Mar 07, 2023 143   Georgia Tech L 60-61 42%     9 - 23 +0.5 -0.4 +0.7
Projected Record 9 - 23 7 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%