Pre-tourney Rankings
Grand Canyon
Western Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#113
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#107
Pace63.7#299
Improvement+0.0#186

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#59
First Shot+2.9#88
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#50
Layup/Dunks-1.2#231
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#61
Freethrows+1.0#97
Improvement+3.0#8

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#207
First Shot-1.5#223
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#126
Layups/Dunks-2.1#270
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#99
Freethrows-0.7#247
Improvement-3.0#362
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round13.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 22 - 13 - 3
Quad 38 - 711 - 10
Quad 410 - 121 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 117   Montana St. W 60-54 64%     1 - 0 +6.1 -2.4 +9.3
  Nov 12, 2022 56   @ Nevada L 46-59 22%     1 - 1 -0.9 -12.9 +9.8
  Nov 18, 2022 210   Grambling St. W 81-48 80%     2 - 1 +28.1 +6.3 +20.8
  Nov 21, 2022 99   Wichita St. L 43-55 46%     2 - 2 -7.2 -17.8 +8.2
  Nov 22, 2022 203   Northern Iowa W 69-67 70%     3 - 2 +0.3 +3.8 -3.3
  Nov 29, 2022 262   Alcorn St. W 80-72 87%     4 - 2 -0.5 +12.9 -12.4
  Dec 03, 2022 150   @ Wyoming W 66-58 48%     5 - 2 +12.2 -0.1 +13.1
  Dec 07, 2022 111   Loyola Marymount L 65-69 61%     5 - 3 -3.0 -5.5 +2.3
  Dec 10, 2022 65   North Texas L 58-60 32%     5 - 4 +6.5 +1.0 +5.2
  Dec 17, 2022 185   Pepperdine W 83-73 OT 77%     6 - 4 +6.2 -2.7 +7.6
  Dec 20, 2022 257   Idaho St. W 68-66 87%     7 - 4 -6.2 -2.2 -3.8
  Dec 29, 2022 161   California Baptist W 73-59 73%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +11.3 +2.0 +9.6
  Jan 05, 2023 81   @ Sam Houston St. W 72-68 OT 27%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +14.2 +0.9 +12.9
  Jan 07, 2023 144   @ Stephen F. Austin L 68-73 48%     9 - 5 2 - 1 -0.6 +3.5 -4.5
  Jan 12, 2023 242   Texas Arlington W 80-48 85%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +24.9 +10.9 +16.3
  Jan 14, 2023 161   @ California Baptist L 74-79 52%     10 - 6 3 - 2 -1.8 +10.4 -12.6
  Jan 18, 2023 158   Utah Tech W 89-85 73%     11 - 6 4 - 2 +1.3 +18.5 -16.9
  Jan 21, 2023 82   Utah Valley L 74-76 49%     11 - 7 4 - 3 +2.1 +10.2 -8.3
  Jan 26, 2023 204   @ Abilene Christian W 75-73 60%     12 - 7 5 - 3 +3.2 +6.1 -2.8
  Jan 28, 2023 164   @ Tarleton St. L 62-81 53%     12 - 8 5 - 4 -16.0 +4.3 -24.0
  Feb 04, 2023 144   Stephen F. Austin W 86-83 70%     13 - 8 6 - 4 +1.4 +11.3 -10.0
  Feb 08, 2023 184   New Mexico St. W 78-67 77%     14 - 8 7 - 4 +7.2 +3.8 +3.5
  Feb 11, 2023 153   @ Seattle L 58-63 49%     14 - 9 7 - 5 -1.0 -7.6 +6.4
  Feb 15, 2023 254   UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-77 86%     14 - 10 7 - 6 -9.1 +1.0 -10.1
  Feb 17, 2023 204   Abilene Christian W 94-84 79%     15 - 10 8 - 6 +5.3 +17.9 -12.6
  Feb 24, 2023 153   Seattle L 54-65 71%     15 - 11 8 - 7 -12.9 -13.6 +0.0
  Mar 01, 2023 115   @ Southern Utah W 83-78 40%     16 - 11 9 - 7 +11.4 +10.4 +1.0
  Mar 03, 2023 158   @ Utah Tech W 71-61 52%     17 - 11 10 - 7 +13.3 -0.2 +13.7
  Mar 07, 2023 242   Texas Arlington W 82-77 77%     18 - 11 +0.9 +12.2 -11.1
  Mar 09, 2023 153   Seattle W 84-79 60%     19 - 11 +6.1 +13.5 -7.5
  Mar 10, 2023 81   Sam Houston St. W 78-75 37%     20 - 11 +10.2 +23.0 -12.4
  Mar 11, 2023 115   Southern Utah W 84-66 51%     21 - 11 +21.5 +12.6 +9.2
  Mar 17, 2023 8   Gonzaga L 72-85 12%    
Projected Record 21 - 12 10 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.7 0.8 39.9 48.9 10.4 0.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.7 0.8 39.9 48.9 10.4 0.0