Pre-tourney Rankings
Portland St.
Big Sky
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#245
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#246
Pace78.7#10
Improvement-1.5#305

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#238
First Shot+0.7#158
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#343
Layup/Dunks+1.0#127
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#294
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#163
Freethrows+1.3#76
Improvement-1.5#323

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#261
First Shot-1.7#233
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#287
Layups/Dunks-3.0#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#30
Freethrows-3.7#357
Improvement+0.0#183
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 34 - 84 - 13
Quad 46 - 610 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 155   @ Portland L 91-98 21%     0 - 1 -3.2 +5.5 -7.8
  Nov 13, 2022 153   @ Seattle L 71-83 21%     0 - 2 -8.0 -2.0 -5.2
  Nov 19, 2022 196   @ Oregon St. W 79-66 28%     1 - 2 +14.7 +6.5 +7.7
  Nov 24, 2022 8   Gonzaga L 78-102 3%     1 - 3 -7.2 +5.5 -11.6
  Nov 25, 2022 16   West Virginia L 71-89 5%     1 - 4 -4.3 -2.4 -0.5
  Nov 27, 2022 196   Oregon St. W 83-71 38%     2 - 4 +10.7 +6.5 +3.5
  Dec 03, 2022 152   Air Force W 68-64 40%     3 - 4 +2.1 -6.0 +8.1
  Dec 10, 2022 278   @ Cal Poly L 49-72 45%     3 - 5 -26.3 -18.4 -9.5
  Dec 13, 2022 85   @ Santa Clara L 75-78 10%     3 - 6 +6.8 +2.4 +4.6
  Dec 17, 2022 108   UC Santa Barbara L 73-85 29%     3 - 7 -10.9 -6.4 -3.6
  Dec 22, 2022 161   @ California Baptist W 74-72 23%     4 - 7 +5.2 -0.3 +5.4
  Dec 31, 2022 231   @ Sacramento St. L 63-74 35%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -11.5 -7.7 -4.3
  Jan 05, 2023 138   @ Eastern Washington L 80-92 19%     4 - 9 0 - 2 -7.3 +0.7 -7.0
  Jan 07, 2023 305   @ Idaho W 74-58 51%     5 - 9 1 - 2 +11.3 +3.0 +9.6
  Jan 12, 2023 224   Northern Arizona W 75-74 56%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -5.0 -7.4 +2.4
  Jan 14, 2023 227   Northern Colorado L 67-69 56%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -8.1 -9.9 +1.8
  Jan 19, 2023 198   @ Weber St. L 68-84 28%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -14.5 -6.6 -6.7
  Jan 21, 2023 257   @ Idaho St. W 72-65 41%     7 - 11 3 - 4 +4.7 +8.7 -2.9
  Jan 26, 2023 117   Montana St. L 66-75 33%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -8.9 -1.1 -8.4
  Jan 28, 2023 168   Montana L 67-73 45%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -9.1 -2.9 -6.8
  Feb 02, 2023 305   Idaho W 69-66 72%     8 - 13 4 - 6 -7.7 -13.4 +5.6
  Feb 04, 2023 138   Eastern Washington L 88-98 37%     8 - 14 4 - 7 -11.2 +2.3 -12.4
  Feb 09, 2023 227   @ Northern Colorado L 79-88 33%     8 - 15 4 - 8 -9.1 -2.6 -5.9
  Feb 11, 2023 224   @ Northern Arizona W 88-87 33%     9 - 15 5 - 8 +1.0 +6.8 -5.9
  Feb 16, 2023 257   Idaho St. W 79-70 64%     10 - 15 6 - 8 +0.8 +4.6 -3.5
  Feb 18, 2023 198   Weber St. L 57-65 50%     10 - 16 6 - 9 -12.4 -13.5 +0.8
  Feb 25, 2023 117   @ Montana St. L 78-91 16%     10 - 17 6 - 10 -7.0 +0.8 -6.3
  Feb 27, 2023 231   Sacramento St. L 74-76 57%     10 - 18 6 - 11 -8.4 -5.2 -3.2
  Mar 04, 2023 227   Northern Colorado L 80-84 44%     10 - 19 -7.1 -4.3 -2.4
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%