Pre-tourney Rankings
Stephen F. Austin
Western Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#144
Expected Predictive Rating+1.2#146
Pace71.9#77
Improvement-0.2#200

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#174
First Shot-1.7#240
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#69
Layup/Dunks+1.7#102
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#90
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#346
Freethrows+0.8#103
Improvement-1.2#304

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#122
First Shot+0.9#139
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#107
Layups/Dunks+1.2#128
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#124
Freethrows-1.7#308
Improvement+1.0#74
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 37 - 47 - 10
Quad 49 - 316 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 215   Gardner-Webb W 86-71 73%     1 - 0 +9.9 +15.7 -5.6
  Nov 15, 2022 262   Alcorn St. L 60-69 82%     1 - 1 -17.5 -17.8 +0.5
  Nov 19, 2022 181   @ South Dakota St. W 93-82 47%     2 - 1 +13.3 +15.6 -3.0
  Nov 25, 2022 187   Quinnipiac L 44-58 59%     2 - 2 -14.9 -29.6 +14.9
  Nov 26, 2022 122   Middle Tennessee L 63-75 45%     2 - 3 -9.2 -11.0 +2.3
  Nov 27, 2022 119   UNC Greensboro W 75-58 44%     3 - 3 +20.0 +8.0 +12.4
  Dec 01, 2022 225   Northwestern St. L 96-102 76%     3 - 4 -12.0 +11.3 -22.9
  Dec 14, 2022 163   @ Louisiana Tech W 80-79 OT 44%     4 - 4 +4.1 -1.4 +5.3
  Dec 17, 2022 90   Furman L 70-72 33%     4 - 5 +3.8 -1.1 +4.9
  Dec 22, 2022 311   Jackson St. W 80-69 88%     5 - 5 -0.3 +1.8 -2.1
  Dec 29, 2022 204   Abilene Christian W 75-68 72%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +2.3 +1.6 +1.0
  Dec 31, 2022 242   @ Texas Arlington W 66-62 60%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +2.8 +2.9 +0.5
  Jan 04, 2023 184   New Mexico St. W 69-60 69%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +5.2 -0.3 +6.3
  Jan 07, 2023 113   Grand Canyon W 73-68 52%     9 - 5 4 - 0 +5.8 +3.4 +2.8
  Jan 12, 2023 158   @ Utah Tech W 85-72 43%     10 - 5 5 - 0 +16.3 +7.8 +7.8
  Jan 14, 2023 115   @ Southern Utah L 58-67 31%     10 - 6 5 - 1 -2.6 -13.4 +10.8
  Jan 19, 2023 81   @ Sam Houston St. L 71-76 20%     10 - 7 5 - 2 +5.2 +7.6 -2.5
  Jan 25, 2023 254   UT Rio Grande Valley W 83-66 82%     11 - 7 6 - 2 +8.9 -5.6 +12.4
  Jan 28, 2023 153   Seattle W 79-65 63%     12 - 7 7 - 2 +12.1 +1.9 +9.1
  Feb 01, 2023 184   @ New Mexico St. L 67-73 47%     12 - 8 7 - 3 -3.9 -7.9 +4.2
  Feb 04, 2023 113   @ Grand Canyon L 83-86 30%     12 - 9 7 - 4 +3.8 +8.8 -5.0
  Feb 11, 2023 254   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 82-72 64%     13 - 9 8 - 4 +7.9 +4.1 +3.4
  Feb 15, 2023 164   Tarleton St. W 65-60 66%     14 - 9 9 - 4 +2.1 -3.0 +5.4
  Feb 18, 2023 242   Texas Arlington L 70-75 79%     14 - 10 9 - 5 -12.1 -3.5 -8.7
  Feb 22, 2023 204   @ Abilene Christian W 91-87 2OT 51%     15 - 10 10 - 5 +5.2 +3.5 +1.1
  Feb 26, 2023 161   California Baptist W 80-58 66%     16 - 10 11 - 5 +19.3 +14.3 +6.9
  Mar 01, 2023 81   Sam Houston St. L 59-64 OT 39%     16 - 11 11 - 6 -0.7 -14.8 +14.6
  Mar 03, 2023 82   @ Utah Valley L 69-113 21%     16 - 12 11 - 7 -34.0 -7.4 -19.6
  Mar 07, 2023 158   Utah Tech L 76-80 OT 54%     16 - 13 -3.7 -2.8 -0.6
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%