Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas
Big 12
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.0#5
Expected Predictive Rating+17.6#8
Pace70.9#109
Improvement+0.8#104

Offense
Total Offense+8.0#20
First Shot+7.7#11
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#156
Layup/Dunks+2.0#92
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#10
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#180
Freethrows+1.2#82
Improvement-0.7#256

Defense
Total Defense+9.0#10
First Shot+8.7#4
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#143
Layups/Dunks+7.1#6
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#48
Freethrows-0.1#196
Improvement+1.5#36
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 4.9% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 41.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 96.4% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round94.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen66.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight41.7% n/a n/a
Final Four23.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game12.5% n/a n/a
National Champion6.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a6 - 56 - 5
Quad 1b8 - 314 - 8
Quad 24 - 018 - 8
Quad 31 - 019 - 8
Quad 47 - 026 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 188   UTEP W 72-57 96%     1 - 0 +11.1 +5.4 +6.6
  Nov 10, 2022 354   Houston Christian W 82-31 99%     2 - 0 +34.6 -3.0 +37.6
  Nov 16, 2022 8   Gonzaga W 93-74 62%     3 - 0 +32.8 +17.7 +14.1
  Nov 21, 2022 224   Northern Arizona W 73-48 96%     4 - 0 +22.0 -4.8 +26.7
  Nov 26, 2022 254   UT Rio Grande Valley W 91-54 98%     5 - 0 +28.9 +4.3 +21.2
  Dec 01, 2022 12   Creighton W 72-67 70%     6 - 0 +16.7 +3.4 +13.1
  Dec 06, 2022 30   Illinois L 78-85 OT 68%     6 - 1 +5.2 +1.7 +4.4
  Dec 10, 2022 331   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 88-43 99%     7 - 1 +31.9 +15.3 +18.6
  Dec 12, 2022 216   Rice W 87-81 OT 97%     8 - 1 +0.9 -1.1 +1.3
  Dec 18, 2022 86   Stanford W 72-62 83%     9 - 1 +16.8 +5.4 +12.1
  Dec 21, 2022 101   Louisiana W 100-72 92%     10 - 1 +29.8 +15.5 +11.2
  Dec 27, 2022 314   Texas A&M - Commerce W 97-72 99%     11 - 1 +13.5 +19.8 -5.7
  Dec 31, 2022 53   @ Oklahoma W 70-69 67%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +13.5 +9.6 +4.0
  Jan 03, 2023 23   Kansas St. L 103-116 75%     12 - 2 1 - 1 -3.1 +21.4 -22.6
  Jan 07, 2023 41   @ Oklahoma St. W 56-46 63%     13 - 2 2 - 1 +23.7 -3.2 +27.5
  Jan 11, 2023 21   TCU W 79-75 74%     14 - 2 3 - 1 +14.2 +10.0 +4.1
  Jan 14, 2023 48   Texas Tech W 72-70 83%     15 - 2 4 - 1 +8.9 +1.2 +7.7
  Jan 17, 2023 18   @ Iowa St. L 67-78 53%     15 - 3 4 - 2 +5.2 +9.2 -4.7
  Jan 21, 2023 16   @ West Virginia W 69-61 51%     16 - 3 5 - 2 +24.7 +1.1 +23.3
  Jan 24, 2023 41   Oklahoma St. W 89-75 81%     17 - 3 6 - 2 +21.7 +17.9 +3.0
  Jan 28, 2023 6   @ Tennessee L 71-82 39%     17 - 4 +8.9 +15.6 -7.4
  Jan 30, 2023 14   Baylor W 76-71 71%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +16.4 +5.8 +10.7
  Feb 04, 2023 23   @ Kansas St. W 69-66 54%     19 - 4 8 - 2 +18.9 +5.0 +13.8
  Feb 06, 2023 9   @ Kansas L 80-88 40%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +11.5 +11.9 +0.2
  Feb 11, 2023 16   West Virginia W 94-60 73%     20 - 5 9 - 3 +44.7 +21.5 +22.0
  Feb 13, 2023 48   @ Texas Tech L 67-74 66%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +5.8 +5.4 +0.0
  Feb 18, 2023 53   Oklahoma W 85-83 OT 84%     21 - 6 10 - 4 +8.5 +4.9 +3.4
  Feb 21, 2023 18   Iowa St. W 72-54 74%     22 - 6 11 - 4 +28.2 +18.7 +12.5
  Feb 25, 2023 14   @ Baylor L 72-81 49%     22 - 7 11 - 5 +8.4 -2.1 +11.1
  Mar 01, 2023 21   @ TCU L 73-75 53%     22 - 8 11 - 6 +14.1 +5.8 +8.4
  Mar 04, 2023 9   Kansas W 75-59 63%     23 - 8 12 - 6 +29.5 +11.0 +18.7
  Mar 09, 2023 41   Oklahoma St. W 60-47 73%     24 - 8 +23.7 -2.7 +26.7
  Mar 10, 2023 21   TCU W 66-60 65%     25 - 8 +19.1 +3.9 +15.5
  Mar 11, 2023 9   Kansas W 76-56 52%     26 - 8 +36.5 +15.2 +22.0
  Mar 16, 2023 116   Colgate W 82-68 90%    
Projected Record 27 - 8 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.6 41.3 55.1 3.6 0.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.6 41.3 55.1 3.6 0.0