Pre-tourney Rankings
Towson
Colonial Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#134
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#141
Pace63.1#311
Improvement+1.3#70

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#124
First Shot+0.0#181
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#56
Layup/Dunks+0.4#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#213
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#164
Freethrows-0.2#193
Improvement+0.3#136

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#163
First Shot+0.0#169
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#146
Layups/Dunks+0.5#158
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#71
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#254
Freethrows-0.2#212
Improvement+1.0#71
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 35 - 36 - 8
Quad 415 - 421 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 341   Albany W 67-62 93%     1 - 0 -9.4 -10.7 +1.6
  Nov 10, 2022 195   @ Massachusetts W 67-55 51%     2 - 0 +13.8 +2.7 +12.2
  Nov 13, 2022 139   @ Penn W 80-74 40%     3 - 0 +10.7 +8.3 +2.5
  Nov 17, 2022 119   @ UNC Greensboro W 56-53 35%     4 - 0 +9.0 -2.6 +12.0
  Nov 22, 2022 344   Coppin St. W 83-67 93%     5 - 0 +1.2 +9.6 -7.0
  Nov 25, 2022 255   Fairfield L 69-74 75%     5 - 1 -10.1 +4.2 -14.9
  Nov 26, 2022 110   South Alabama W 62-60 42%     6 - 1 +6.0 -6.0 +12.1
  Nov 27, 2022 226   Mercer W 70-60 69%     7 - 1 +6.9 +5.5 +2.5
  Dec 02, 2022 363   @ LIU Brooklyn W 74-64 96%     8 - 1 -7.6 +3.2 -9.6
  Dec 07, 2022 50   @ Clemson L 75-80 16%     8 - 2 +7.6 +13.8 -6.5
  Dec 11, 2022 191   Navy L 69-71 OT 72%     8 - 3 -6.0 -5.6 -0.3
  Dec 17, 2022 203   Northern Iowa L 66-83 64%     8 - 4 -18.7 -7.7 -11.0
  Dec 22, 2022 208   @ Bryant L 59-69 54%     8 - 5 -8.9 -15.9 +7.2
  Dec 31, 2022 71   College of Charleston L 74-76 OT 38%     8 - 6 0 - 1 +3.0 -1.0 +4.2
  Jan 05, 2023 201   Drexel W 64-58 73%     9 - 6 1 - 1 +1.5 +0.9 +1.5
  Jan 07, 2023 326   @ Stony Brook W 67-55 79%     10 - 6 2 - 1 +5.7 +4.8 +3.2
  Jan 11, 2023 235   @ Delaware L 59-72 61%     10 - 7 2 - 2 -13.7 -8.3 -6.7
  Jan 14, 2023 343   Monmouth W 68-48 93%     11 - 7 3 - 2 +5.4 -0.5 +8.6
  Jan 16, 2023 93   Hofstra W 68-47 49%     12 - 7 4 - 2 +23.3 +2.9 +22.7
  Jan 19, 2023 316   @ N.C. A&T W 79-67 77%     13 - 7 5 - 2 +6.3 +10.5 -3.2
  Jan 21, 2023 334   @ Elon W 66-62 82%     14 - 7 6 - 2 -3.7 -2.7 -0.5
  Jan 26, 2023 299   Northeastern W 72-63 87%     15 - 7 7 - 2 -1.4 +1.0 -1.7
  Jan 28, 2023 319   William & Mary W 92-73 90%     16 - 7 8 - 2 +7.2 +18.2 -9.8
  Feb 02, 2023 93   @ Hofstra L 72-76 27%     16 - 8 8 - 3 +4.2 +7.8 -3.9
  Feb 08, 2023 349   Hampton W 86-72 94%     17 - 8 9 - 3 -1.4 +5.1 -6.4
  Feb 11, 2023 201   @ Drexel L 66-73 OT 52%     17 - 9 9 - 4 -5.6 -2.7 -3.0
  Feb 13, 2023 319   @ William & Mary L 66-68 77%     17 - 10 9 - 5 -7.9 +0.1 -8.3
  Feb 16, 2023 235   Delaware W 95-72 80%     18 - 10 10 - 5 +16.3 +16.0 -0.3
  Feb 18, 2023 316   N.C. A&T W 87-75 89%     19 - 10 11 - 5 +0.3 +4.4 -4.7
  Feb 23, 2023 71   @ College of Charleston L 75-83 20%     19 - 11 11 - 6 +3.0 +3.4 +0.0
  Feb 25, 2023 157   @ UNC Wilmington W 57-53 45%     20 - 11 12 - 6 +7.4 -10.6 +18.1
  Mar 05, 2023 235   Delaware W 86-60 71%     21 - 11 +22.3 +12.8 +9.9
  Mar 06, 2023 71   College of Charleston L 72-77 28%     21 - 12 +3.0 -0.6 +3.8
Projected Record 21 - 12 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%