Pre-tourney Rankings
Utah Valley
Western Athletic
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.1#82
Expected Predictive Rating+8.1#66
Pace73.1#50
Improvement+1.8#47

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#141
First Shot+0.9#149
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#140
Layup/Dunks+3.3#54
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#261
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#295
Freethrows+1.9#43
Improvement+0.3#142

Defense
Total Defense+5.7#40
First Shot+6.8#21
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#305
Layups/Dunks+2.1#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#241
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#39
Freethrows+1.8#49
Improvement+1.6#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.5% n/a n/a
First Round0.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 2
Quad 23 - 24 - 4
Quad 39 - 313 - 7
Quad 49 - 122 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 28   @ Utah St. L 58-75 22%     0 - 1 -1.7 -11.1 +9.9
  Nov 12, 2022 224   Northern Arizona W 73-69 88%     1 - 1 -2.0 -0.5 -1.2
  Nov 15, 2022 84   @ Wake Forest L 65-68 OT 39%     1 - 2 +6.8 -8.6 +15.6
  Nov 18, 2022 322   Morgan St. L 72-73 OT 93%     1 - 3 -10.2 -6.8 -3.3
  Nov 20, 2022 361   Green Bay W 79-56 98%     2 - 3 +5.7 -0.8 +6.8
  Nov 26, 2022 38   @ Boise St. L 69-87 25%     2 - 4 -3.9 +6.8 -11.1
  Dec 03, 2022 162   Long Beach St. W 88-78 82%     3 - 4 +7.2 +5.6 +0.7
  Dec 07, 2022 77   @ BYU W 75-60 36%     4 - 4 +25.6 +12.4 +13.9
  Dec 10, 2022 224   @ Northern Arizona W 80-75 OT 75%     5 - 4 +5.0 -4.1 +8.6
  Dec 20, 2022 47   @ Oregon W 77-72 28%     6 - 4 +18.0 +5.3 +12.5
  Dec 29, 2022 81   Sam Houston St. W 80-64 61%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +20.3 +10.5 +9.4
  Dec 31, 2022 158   Utah Tech W 71-60 82%     8 - 4 2 - 0 +8.3 -8.8 +16.4
  Jan 05, 2023 242   @ Texas Arlington W 72-64 78%     9 - 4 3 - 0 +6.8 +0.4 +6.4
  Jan 07, 2023 254   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 75-61 81%     10 - 4 4 - 0 +11.9 -1.9 +13.5
  Jan 11, 2023 161   @ California Baptist W 71-67 65%     11 - 4 5 - 0 +7.2 +5.6 +1.8
  Jan 14, 2023 153   Seattle L 80-85 80%     11 - 5 5 - 1 -6.9 +4.9 -11.6
  Jan 18, 2023 204   Abilene Christian W 84-54 86%     12 - 5 6 - 1 +25.3 +2.4 +20.9
  Jan 21, 2023 113   @ Grand Canyon W 76-74 51%     13 - 5 7 - 1 +8.8 +8.6 +0.3
  Jan 26, 2023 115   @ Southern Utah L 67-79 52%     13 - 6 7 - 2 -5.6 -8.5 +3.6
  Jan 28, 2023 184   New Mexico St. W 77-72 85%     14 - 6 8 - 2 +1.2 -3.8 +4.6
  Feb 02, 2023 158   @ Utah Tech W 76-69 64%     15 - 6 9 - 2 +10.3 -2.5 +12.2
  Feb 08, 2023 161   California Baptist W 71-55 82%     16 - 6 10 - 2 +13.3 +6.0 +9.0
  Feb 11, 2023 115   Southern Utah W 90-83 74%     17 - 6 11 - 2 +7.5 +6.5 +0.3
  Feb 18, 2023 153   @ Seattle W 67-58 62%     18 - 6 12 - 2 +13.0 -6.2 +18.5
  Feb 23, 2023 164   @ Tarleton St. L 58-77 65%     18 - 7 12 - 3 -16.0 -13.4 -2.0
  Feb 25, 2023 204   @ Abilene Christian W 66-62 71%     19 - 7 13 - 3 +5.2 -7.0 +12.2
  Mar 01, 2023 242   Texas Arlington W 78-59 90%     20 - 7 14 - 3 +11.9 +3.8 +8.3
  Mar 03, 2023 144   Stephen F. Austin W 113-69 79%     21 - 7 15 - 3 +42.4 +22.5 +13.0
  Mar 09, 2023 164   Tarleton St. W 72-58 75%     22 - 7 +14.1 +1.9 +12.4
  Mar 10, 2023 115   Southern Utah L 88-89 64%     22 - 8 +2.5 +7.6 -5.0
Projected Record 22 - 8 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Western Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Western Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.5% 0.5% 11.6 0.2 0.3 0.0 99.5 0.5%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 11.6 0.2 0.3 0.0 99.5 0.5%