Preseason Rankings
Northeast
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
252 Wagner 28.4%   16   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 10 11 - 5 -4.1      -3.1 268 -1.0 202 66.7 222 0.0 1 0.0 1
280 Merrimack 16.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 14 - 15 9 - 7 -6.8      -6.4 336 -0.3 182 59.0 353 0.0 1 0.0 1
283 Sacred Heart 14.7%   0 - 0 0 - 0 15 - 15 9 - 7 -7.0      -1.0 216 -6.0 334 68.6 163 0.0 1 0.0 1
291 St. Francis (PA) 12.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 15 9 - 7 -7.8      -3.0 263 -4.8 311 68.2 181 0.0 1 0.0 1
304 LIU Brooklyn 10.8%   0 - 0 0 - 0 10 - 15 9 - 7 -8.4      -3.8 287 -4.5 307 79.6 7 0.0 1 0.0 1
314 St. Francis Brooklyn 8.5%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 15 8 - 8 -9.2      -3.1 267 -6.2 335 67.1 208 0.0 1 0.0 1
319 Fairleigh Dickinson 7.3%   0 - 0 0 - 0 12 - 17 8 - 8 -9.8      -2.0 242 -7.8 355 73.6 52 0.0 1 0.0 1
349 Central Connecticut St. 2.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 9 - 22 6 - 10 -14.1      -6.4 335 -7.7 353 63.7 308 0.0 1 0.0 1
359 Stonehill 0.0%   0 - 0 0 - 0 4 - 26 3 - 13 -19.6      -11.9 358 -7.7 354 68.3 173 0.0 1 0.0 1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Wagner 2.9 34.2 19.9 14.5 10.5 8.0 5.9 4.1 2.2 0.7
Merrimack 3.7 19.5 16.7 15.2 13.6 11.6 9.4 7.3 4.7 1.9
Sacred Heart 3.8 18.1 16.5 15.1 13.2 12.0 10.0 7.9 5.3 2.0
St. Francis (PA) 4.1 15.2 14.7 14.4 13.4 13.0 11.2 9.2 6.4 2.6
LIU Brooklyn 4.3 13.3 13.6 13.6 13.2 13.3 12.1 10.3 7.4 3.2
St. Francis Brooklyn 4.6 10.6 11.7 13.0 13.1 13.5 13.3 11.7 9.3 4.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 4.8 9.4 10.9 11.5 13.1 13.1 13.8 12.9 10.5 4.8
Central Connecticut St. 6.3 2.4 4.3 5.8 8.2 10.5 13.6 17.8 22.7 14.9
Stonehill 7.9 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.9 6.6 11.8 22.9 50.5




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Wagner 11 - 5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.6 3.9 5.4 7.5 9.4 11.4 12.9 12.9 12.2 10.0 6.5 3.0
Merrimack 9 - 7 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.1 4.6 6.8 8.8 10.4 12.0 12.4 11.5 9.9 7.9 5.5 3.0 1.0
Sacred Heart 9 - 7 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.5 5.2 7.0 9.1 10.8 11.6 12.0 11.4 9.9 7.6 5.2 2.6 0.9
St. Francis (PA) 9 - 7 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.0 6.3 8.2 9.9 11.5 12.1 11.2 10.4 8.6 6.4 4.2 2.2 0.6
LIU Brooklyn 9 - 7 0.1 0.6 1.7 3.0 4.9 7.1 8.9 10.4 11.4 11.8 11.1 9.8 7.8 5.7 3.5 1.7 0.5
St. Francis Brooklyn 8 - 8 0.2 0.9 2.2 3.9 5.8 8.0 9.8 11.3 11.8 11.5 10.3 8.7 6.7 4.5 2.7 1.2 0.3
Fairleigh Dickinson 8 - 8 0.3 1.0 2.5 4.6 6.8 8.9 10.4 11.4 11.6 11.4 9.6 7.8 5.9 4.0 2.4 1.1 0.3
Central Connecticut St. 6 - 10 1.7 4.7 8.2 10.7 12.6 13.0 11.8 10.8 8.5 6.9 4.7 3.1 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Stonehill 3 - 13 11.2 17.2 17.8 15.4 12.5 9.4 6.5 4.1 2.6 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Wagner 34.2% 24.6 7.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Merrimack 19.5% 12.8 5.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Sacred Heart 18.1% 11.6 5.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
St. Francis (PA) 15.2% 9.7 4.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
LIU Brooklyn 13.3% 8.3 3.8 1.0 0.2 0.0
St. Francis Brooklyn 10.6% 6.5 3.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
Fairleigh Dickinson 9.4% 5.6 2.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0
Central Connecticut St. 2.4% 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Stonehill 0.3% 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Wagner 28.4% 28.4% 0.0% 16   0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 4.0 7.3 14.6 71.6 0.0%
Merrimack 16.0% 16.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.0 9.3 84.0 0.0%
Sacred Heart 14.7% 14.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.3 9.2 85.3 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 12.3% 12.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.8 7.8 87.7 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.4 7.0 89.2 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 8.5% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 6.0 91.5 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 7.3% 7.3% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 5.2 92.7 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 2.0% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.7 98.0 0.0%
Stonehill 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Wagner 28.4% 8.9% 23.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Merrimack 16.0% 6.1% 12.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sacred Heart 14.7% 6.0% 11.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis (PA) 12.3% 5.2% 9.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LIU Brooklyn 10.8% 4.8% 7.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
St. Francis Brooklyn 8.5% 4.1% 6.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Fairleigh Dickinson 7.3% 3.6% 5.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Connecticut St. 2.0% 1.5% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stonehill 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
1st Round 76.9% 0.8 23.1 76.9 0.0
2nd Round 2.2% 0.0 97.8 2.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Elite Eight 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0