IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Sacred Heart
Northeast
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.0	#283
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.6	#163
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.0	#216

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.0	#334

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.7%	19.7%	9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	15.3	15.7

.500 or above	56.6%	72.6%	39.0%
.500 or above in Conference	71.8%	81.5%	61.3%
Conference Champion	18.1%	24.1%	11.5%
Last Place in Conference	3.7%	1.8%	5.8%

First Four	6.0%	6.6%	5.3%
First Round	11.2%	15.9%	6.2%
Second Round	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Hartford (Away) - 52.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 4	14 - 9	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 08, 2022	327	@ Hartford	W	74-73	52%
Nov 10, 2022	43	@ Rutgers	L	59-80	3%
Nov 13, 2022	315	Columbia	W	80-75	67%
Nov 16, 2022	238	@ Umass Lowell	L	70-77	28%
Nov 19, 2022	323	@ Binghamton	L	74-75	50%
Nov 22, 2022	325	NJIT	W	74-68	70%
Nov 30, 2022	329	@ New Hampshire	W	68-67	53%
Dec 03, 2022	238	Umass Lowell	L	73-74	48%
Dec 07, 2022	222	@ Fairfield	L	65-73	26%
Dec 10, 2022	109	@ Pittsburgh	L	63-77	12%
Dec 12, 2022	258	@ Stony Brook	L	73-78	34%
Dec 19, 2022	149	@ Saint Joseph's	L	68-79	18%
Dec 22, 2022	317	Holy Cross	W	77-72	66%
Dec 29, 2022	359	Stonehill	W	80-64	90%
Dec 31, 2022	304	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	79-81	45%
Jan 05, 2023	280	@ Merrimack	L	64-67	39%
Jan 07, 2023	327	Hartford	W	76-70	69%
Jan 14, 2023	314	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	74-75	47%
Jan 16, 2023	291	St. Francis (PA)	W	76-72	62%
Jan 20, 2023	319	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	79-80	50%
Jan 22, 2023	252	@ Wagner	L	69-75	32%
Jan 26, 2023	304	LIU Brooklyn	W	82-78	64%
Jan 28, 2023	359	@ Stonehill	W	77-67	78%
Feb 02, 2023	252	Wagner	W	72-71	50%
Feb 04, 2023	349	Central Connecticut St.	W	77-67	79%
Feb 09, 2023	291	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	73-75	44%
Feb 16, 2023	319	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	82-76	67%
Feb 18, 2023	280	Merrimack	W	67-64	58%
Feb 23, 2023	314	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	77-72	66%
Feb 25, 2023	349	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	74-70	62%
Projected Record						15 - 15	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	1.2	3.4	5.1	4.7	2.6	0.9		18.1	1st
2nd									0.0	0.3	2.4	5.5	5.5	2.4	0.5				16.5	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.4	3.2	6.1	4.3	1.0	0.1					15.1	3rd
4th							0.0	0.6	3.4	5.7	3.1	0.4	0.0						13.2	4th
5th						0.0	0.7	3.5	5.2	2.2	0.2								12.0	5th
6th					0.1	0.9	3.2	4.0	1.6	0.1									10.0	6th
7th				0.2	1.2	2.8	2.7	1.0	0.1										7.9	7th
8th		0.0	0.4	1.2	1.9	1.4	0.3	0.0											5.3	8th
9th	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0												2.0	9th

Total	0.1	0.3	1.0	1.9	3.5	5.2	7.0	9.1	10.8	11.6	12.0	11.4	9.9	7.6	5.2	2.6	0.9			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.9		0.9
15-1	100.0%	2.6		2.5	0.1
14-2	90.9%	4.7		3.8	0.9	0.0
13-3	67.6%	5.1		3.1	1.8	0.2	0.0
12-4	34.5%	3.4		1.2	1.6	0.6	0.0
11-5	10.5%	1.2		0.2	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0
10-6	1.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	18.1%	18.1		11.6	5.0	1.2	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.9%		72.4%	72.4%		14.0					0.0	0.0						0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.2
15-1	2.6%		61.9%	61.9%		14.6												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.6	0.3	1.0
14-2	5.2%		47.3%	47.3%		15.1													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.8	1.0	2.7
13-3	7.6%		35.5%	35.5%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.3	0.9	1.5	4.9
12-4	9.9%		24.3%	24.3%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.8	7.5
11-5	11.4%		17.3%	17.3%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.7	9.4
10-6	12.0%		10.6%	10.6%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	1.2	10.7
9-7	11.6%		6.9%	6.9%		16.0																0.0	0.8	10.8
8-8	10.8%		4.5%	4.5%		16.0																0.0	0.5	10.3
7-9	9.1%		2.6%	2.6%		16.0																	0.2	8.9
6-10	7.0%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.1	6.9
5-11	5.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
4-12	3.5%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
3-13	1.9%																							1.9
2-14	1.0%																							1.0
1-15	0.3%																							0.3
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		14.7%	14.7%	0.0%	15.4					0.0	0.0						0.0	0.1	0.5	1.7	3.3	9.2	85.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%