IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Stonehill
Northeast
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-19.6	#359
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.3	#173
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-11.9	#358

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.7	#354

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	0.8%	22.3%	0.8%
.500 or above in Conference	5.9%	31.3%	5.9%
Conference Champion	0.3%	4.5%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	61.7%	19.6%	61.7%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Connecticut (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 9
Quad 4	4 - 17	4 - 26

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	31	@ Connecticut	L	50-85	0.1%
Nov 10, 2022	221	Quinnipiac	L	65-79	10%
Nov 12, 2022	266	@ Army	L	62-79	6%
Nov 15, 2022	50	@ Providence	L	50-83	0.2%
Nov 19, 2022	317	Holy Cross	L	65-75	18%
Nov 21, 2022	247	Illinois-Chicago	L	63-79	9%
Nov 22, 2022	202	@ Fordham	L	55-76	4%
Nov 27, 2022	238	@ Umass Lowell	L	59-78	5%
Dec 03, 2022	323	@ Binghamton	L	63-76	15%
Dec 07, 2022	218	Rider	L	62-76	12%
Dec 13, 2022	86	@ Boston College	L	52-81	1%
Dec 19, 2022	117	@ Bradley	L	56-82	2%
Dec 21, 2022	212	@ Valparaiso	L	56-77	5%
Dec 29, 2022	283	@ Sacred Heart	L	64-80	10%
Dec 31, 2022	291	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	62-77	12%
Jan 05, 2023	252	Wagner	L	61-74	16%
Jan 07, 2023	349	Central Connecticut St.	L	66-69	42%
Jan 14, 2023	280	Merrimack	L	56-66	21%
Jan 16, 2023	319	Fairleigh Dickinson	L	71-78	29%
Jan 20, 2023	304	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	68-82	13%
Jan 22, 2023	319	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	68-81	16%
Jan 25, 2023	327	@ Hartford	L	63-75	17%
Jan 28, 2023	283	Sacred Heart	L	67-77	22%
Feb 02, 2023	291	St. Francis (PA)	L	65-74	24%
Feb 04, 2023	314	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	63-76	14%
Feb 09, 2023	280	@ Merrimack	L	53-69	11%
Feb 11, 2023	314	St. Francis Brooklyn	L	66-73	28%
Feb 16, 2023	304	LIU Brooklyn	L	71-79	26%
Feb 18, 2023	349	@ Central Connecticut St.	L	63-72	25%
Feb 23, 2023	252	@ Wagner	L	58-77	7%
Projected Record						4 - 26	3 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3	1st
2nd									0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.7	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.1	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0						1.3	3rd
4th							0.0	0.3	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0							2.2	4th
5th						0.1	0.6	1.7	1.2	0.2	0.0								3.9	5th
6th				0.0	0.2	1.5	2.9	1.7	0.3	0.0									6.6	6th
7th			0.0	0.9	3.3	4.7	2.5	0.4	0.0										11.8	7th
8th		0.7	4.2	7.7	7.0	2.8	0.4	0.0											22.9	8th
9th	11.2	16.5	13.5	6.8	2.1	0.3	0.0												50.5	9th

Total	11.2	17.2	17.8	15.4	12.5	9.4	6.5	4.1	2.6	1.5	0.9	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
14-2	93.6%	0.0		0.0	0.0
13-3	77.2%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
12-4	40.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
11-5	17.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	2.1%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%																							0.0
15-1	0.0%																							0.0
14-2	0.0%																							0.0
13-3	0.1%																							0.1
12-4	0.2%																							0.2
11-5	0.4%																							0.4
10-6	0.9%																							0.9
9-7	1.5%																							1.5
8-8	2.6%																							2.6
7-9	4.1%																							4.1
6-10	6.5%																							6.5
5-11	9.4%																							9.4
4-12	12.5%																							12.5
3-13	15.4%																							15.4
2-14	17.8%																							17.8
1-15	17.2%																							17.2
0-16	11.2%																							11.2

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	8.2%