IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.8	#291
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.2	#181
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.0	#263

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.8	#311

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	12.3%	27.5%	11.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	15.0	15.5

.500 or above	39.5%	76.9%	36.7%
.500 or above in Conference	67.2%	88.1%	65.6%
Conference Champion	15.2%	32.3%	13.9%
Last Place in Conference	4.6%	0.6%	4.9%

First Four	5.2%	6.2%	5.1%
First Round	9.4%	23.9%	8.3%
Second Round	0.2%	1.1%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Away) - 7.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 7
Quad 4	12 - 8	12 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	103	@ St. Bonaventure	L	62-78	7%
Nov 12, 2022	327	Hartford	W	75-69	70%
Nov 14, 2022	217	Cornell	L	77-80	40%
Nov 17, 2022	80	@ Butler	L	59-77	6%
Nov 21, 2022	282	Lehigh	W	74-72	58%
Nov 26, 2022	312	American	W	71-67	64%
Nov 30, 2022	274	@ Bucknell	L	73-78	34%
Dec 03, 2022	36	@ Ohio St.	L	60-83	3%
Dec 11, 2022	157	@ Hawaii	L	63-74	17%
Dec 17, 2022	32	@ Miami (FL)	L	62-85	3%
Dec 21, 2022	277	@ Robert Morris	L	71-76	36%
Dec 29, 2022	349	Central Connecticut St.	W	74-65	77%
Dec 31, 2022	359	Stonehill	W	77-62	88%
Jan 07, 2023	252	@ Wagner	L	66-73	30%
Jan 14, 2023	304	LIU Brooklyn	W	80-76	61%
Jan 16, 2023	283	@ Sacred Heart	L	72-76	38%
Jan 20, 2023	314	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	75-71	64%
Jan 26, 2023	319	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	77-78	47%
Jan 28, 2023	349	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	71-68	60%
Feb 02, 2023	359	@ Stonehill	W	74-65	76%
Feb 04, 2023	280	@ Merrimack	L	62-66	37%
Feb 09, 2023	283	Sacred Heart	W	75-73	56%
Feb 11, 2023	280	Merrimack	W	65-63	56%
Feb 16, 2023	314	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	72-74	45%
Feb 18, 2023	304	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	77-79	43%
Feb 23, 2023	319	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	80-75	65%
Feb 25, 2023	252	Wagner	L	69-70	48%
Projected Record						12 - 15	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st										0.0	0.1	1.1	2.9	4.4	3.9	2.2	0.6		15.2	1st
2nd									0.0	0.4	2.2	5.0	4.8	2.0	0.3				14.7	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.5	3.3	5.9	3.8	0.9	0.0					14.4	3rd
4th							0.0	0.6	3.6	6.0	2.8	0.4							13.4	4th
5th						0.0	0.8	3.9	5.7	2.3	0.2	0.0							13.0	5th
6th					0.1	1.1	3.9	4.3	1.7	0.1									11.2	6th
7th				0.2	1.3	3.5	3.1	1.0	0.1										9.2	7th
8th		0.0	0.5	1.6	2.3	1.6	0.5	0.0											6.4	8th
9th	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0												2.6	9th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.3	2.6	4.0	6.3	8.2	9.9	11.5	12.1	11.2	10.4	8.6	6.4	4.2	2.2	0.6			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.6		0.6
15-1	100.0%	2.2		2.1	0.1
14-2	91.8%	3.9		3.2	0.7	0.0
13-3	68.5%	4.4		2.6	1.6	0.2	0.0
12-4	33.8%	2.9		1.0	1.4	0.5	0.0
11-5	10.9%	1.1		0.2	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0
10-6	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%	0.0							0.0
8-8	0.0%

Total	15.2%	15.2		9.7	4.2	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.6%		67.8%	67.8%		14.1										0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2
15-1	2.2%		56.5%	56.5%		14.6													0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.9
14-2	4.2%		46.3%	46.3%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.7	2.3
13-3	6.4%		34.1%	34.1%		15.4													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	1.2	4.2
12-4	8.6%		25.3%	25.3%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.4	1.6	6.4
11-5	10.4%		16.0%	16.0%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.2	1.4	8.7
10-6	11.2%		10.5%	10.5%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.1	10.0
9-7	12.1%		6.0%	6.0%		16.0																0.0	0.7	11.4
8-8	11.5%		3.5%	3.5%		16.0																	0.4	11.1
7-9	9.9%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.2	9.7
6-10	8.2%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	8.1
5-11	6.3%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	6.3
4-12	4.0%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	4.0
3-13	2.6%																							2.6
2-14	1.3%																							1.3
1-15	0.5%																							0.5
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		12.3%	12.3%	0.0%	15.4										0.0		0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	2.8	7.8	87.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%