Preseason Rankings
Denver
Summit League
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.1#346
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.7#221
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#322
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-7.4#349
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 10.5% 15.6% 2.9%
.500 or above in Conference 14.4% 19.3% 6.9%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.4% 16.7% 31.2%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
First Round0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Idaho (Home) - 60.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 61 - 9
Quad 48 - 129 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 342   Idaho W 75-72 60%    
  Nov 14, 2022 275   Sacramento St. L 66-70 36%    
  Nov 18, 2022 324   @ Idaho St. L 64-70 30%    
  Nov 23, 2022 333   IUPUI L 66-68 44%    
  Nov 24, 2022 265   The Citadel L 72-80 26%    
  Nov 25, 2022 286   @ New Orleans L 72-81 24%    
  Dec 01, 2022 298   @ Houston Christian L 57-65 25%    
  Dec 04, 2022 343   Texas A&M - Commerce W 71-68 59%    
  Dec 07, 2022 275   @ Sacramento St. L 63-73 21%    
  Dec 10, 2022 8   @ UCLA L 53-86 0.4%   
  Dec 19, 2022 307   @ Nebraska Omaha L 72-79 27%    
  Dec 21, 2022 204   @ Oregon St. L 65-80 12%    
  Dec 29, 2022 289   UMKC L 69-71 43%    
  Dec 31, 2022 122   Oral Roberts L 72-86 14%    
  Jan 05, 2023 357   @ St. Thomas W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 07, 2023 288   @ Western Illinois L 71-79 25%    
  Jan 12, 2023 216   North Dakota St. L 66-74 26%    
  Jan 14, 2023 322   North Dakota L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 19, 2023 135   @ South Dakota L 63-81 7%    
  Jan 21, 2023 134   @ South Dakota St. L 68-86 7%    
  Jan 26, 2023 122   @ Oral Roberts L 69-89 6%    
  Jan 28, 2023 289   @ UMKC L 66-74 25%    
  Feb 02, 2023 288   Western Illinois L 74-76 42%    
  Feb 04, 2023 357   St. Thomas W 74-65 76%    
  Feb 09, 2023 322   @ North Dakota L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 11, 2023 216   @ North Dakota St. L 63-77 13%    
  Feb 16, 2023 134   South Dakota St. L 71-83 17%    
  Feb 18, 2023 135   South Dakota L 66-78 17%    
  Feb 25, 2023 307   Nebraska Omaha L 75-76 46%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.9 3.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 3.8 3.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.4 2.8 5.6 4.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 15.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 5.3 7.4 4.3 1.1 0.1 19.7 8th
9th 0.7 4.8 8.4 7.2 2.9 0.6 0.0 24.6 9th
10th 2.1 4.7 4.7 2.4 0.6 0.1 14.6 10th
Total 2.1 5.4 9.6 12.3 13.5 13.3 11.9 10.1 7.4 5.7 3.7 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 85.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 58.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 26.3% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 18.8% 18.8% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 22.4% 22.4% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 13.4% 13.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.7% 8.6% 8.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
12-6 1.3% 5.2% 5.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2
11-7 2.4% 3.7% 3.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.3
10-8 3.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.6
9-9 5.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.6
8-10 7.4% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 7.4
7-11 10.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.1
6-12 11.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.9
5-13 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.3
4-14 13.5% 13.5
3-15 12.3% 12.3
2-16 9.6% 9.6
1-17 5.4% 5.4
0-18 2.1% 2.1
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%