IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
North Dakota St.
Summit League
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.0	#216
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.6	#224
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.2	#223

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-0.7	#194

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.5%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	10.6%	27.4%	10.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	2.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.2	12.6	14.2

.500 or above	59.7%	93.3%	59.0%
.500 or above in Conference	80.1%	96.7%	79.7%
Conference Champion	12.4%	31.9%	12.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.8%	0.0%	0.8%

First Four	1.4%	1.0%	1.4%
First Round	10.0%	26.8%	9.6%
Second Round	0.9%	3.7%	0.9%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	1.8%	0.2%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 5	3 - 9
Quad 4	12 - 4	15 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	11	@ Arkansas	L	62-84	2%
Nov 10, 2022	6	@ Kansas	L	61-84	2%
Nov 13, 2022	228	Pacific	W	72-68	64%
Nov 17, 2022	161	@ Indiana St.	L	69-74	32%
Nov 25, 2022	213	Northern Colorado	L	75-76	50%
Nov 26, 2022	110	@ New Mexico	L	72-81	23%
Nov 27, 2022	209	Jacksonville St.	L	68-69	49%
Dec 03, 2022	185	@ Eastern Washington	L	72-77	36%
Dec 05, 2022	154	@ Portland	L	70-76	32%
Dec 10, 2022	170	Montana	W	68-67	54%
Dec 19, 2022	288	@ Western Illinois	W	76-73	59%
Dec 21, 2022	357	@ St. Thomas	W	75-61	87%
Dec 30, 2022	322	@ North Dakota	W	74-69	65%
Jan 05, 2023	134	South Dakota St.	L	76-77	46%
Jan 07, 2023	135	South Dakota	L	71-72	47%
Jan 12, 2023	346	@ Denver	W	74-66	74%
Jan 14, 2023	307	@ Nebraska Omaha	W	77-73	62%
Jan 19, 2023	122	Oral Roberts	L	77-79	43%
Jan 21, 2023	289	UMKC	W	73-64	76%
Jan 27, 2023	322	North Dakota	W	77-66	80%
Feb 02, 2023	135	@ South Dakota	L	68-75	29%
Feb 04, 2023	134	@ South Dakota St.	L	73-80	29%
Feb 09, 2023	307	Nebraska Omaha	W	80-70	78%
Feb 11, 2023	346	Denver	W	77-63	87%
Feb 16, 2023	289	@ UMKC	W	70-67	59%
Feb 18, 2023	122	@ Oral Roberts	L	74-82	26%
Feb 23, 2023	357	St. Thomas	W	78-58	94%
Feb 25, 2023	288	Western Illinois	W	79-70	75%
Projected Record						15 - 13	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.1	0.5	1.9	3.6	3.5	2.3	0.7		12.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.5	4.1	5.8	3.5	0.7				15.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	0.7	3.3	6.4	5.7	2.2	0.2					18.5	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.5	4.9	6.8	4.0	1.0	0.0						18.5	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.1	4.8	4.6	1.8	0.2								13.9	5th
6th						0.0	0.4	2.1	3.5	2.5	0.7	0.0									9.2	6th
7th					0.0	0.4	1.8	2.4	1.2	0.3	0.0										6.0	7th
8th			0.0	0.0	0.4	1.2	1.2	0.5	0.1	0.0											3.4	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0													1.6	9th
10th	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0															0.4	10th

Total	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.2	2.1	3.5	5.3	7.1	9.1	11.0	12.3	12.2	11.2	9.9	7.2	4.2	2.3	0.7			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.7		0.7
17-1	100.0%	2.3		2.1	0.2
16-2	83.3%	3.5		2.5	0.9	0.0
15-3	49.3%	3.6		1.7	1.5	0.3	0.0
14-4	19.3%	1.9		0.5	1.0	0.4	0.1
13-5	4.1%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	12.4%	12.4		7.6	3.8	0.9	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.7%		64.4%	60.3%	4.1%	11.6		0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.2		10.4%
17-1	2.3%		48.3%	47.0%	1.3%	12.7								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	1.2		2.5%
16-2	4.2%		34.8%	34.4%	0.4%	13.3											0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	2.8		0.5%
15-3	7.2%		25.2%	25.2%	0.1%	13.8												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.3	0.1	5.4		0.1%
14-4	9.9%		18.9%	18.9%		14.3												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.2	8.1
13-5	11.2%		12.2%	12.2%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.3	9.9
12-6	12.2%		8.6%	8.6%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	11.2
11-7	12.3%		5.8%	5.8%		15.6														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	11.5
10-8	11.0%		3.7%	3.7%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.3	10.6
9-9	9.1%		2.5%	2.5%		16.0																0.0	0.2	8.9
8-10	7.1%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.1	6.9
7-11	5.3%		1.2%	1.2%		16.0																	0.1	5.3
6-12	3.5%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
5-13	2.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	2.1
4-14	1.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	1.1
3-15	0.5%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	0.5
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.1%																							0.1
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		10.6%	10.6%	0.1%	14.2		0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	1.0	2.0	2.7	2.4	2.2	89.4		0.1%