IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Western Illinois
Summit League
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.6	#288
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	75.0	#32
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.7	#257

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.0	#315

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.7%	6.2%	2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.7	15.3

.500 or above	37.0%	67.3%	30.8%
.500 or above in Conference	44.4%	66.0%	40.0%
Conference Champion	2.4%	5.9%	1.7%
Last Place in Conference	5.6%	1.5%	6.5%

First Four	0.8%	1.1%	0.8%
First Round	2.3%	5.6%	1.6%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Illinois St. (Away) - 17.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 4	10 - 7	11 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	180	@ Illinois St.	L	72-82	17%
Nov 11, 2022	91	@ DePaul	L	70-87	6%
Nov 14, 2022	92	@ Central Florida	L	67-84	7%
Nov 21, 2022	303	@ UT Rio Grande Valley	L	78-80	42%
Nov 26, 2022	223	Youngstown St.	L	77-79	43%
Nov 30, 2022	339	Southern Indiana	W	79-71	74%
Dec 03, 2022	303	UT Rio Grande Valley	W	81-77	62%
Dec 10, 2022	330	@ Eastern Illinois	W	74-73	51%
Dec 19, 2022	216	North Dakota St.	L	73-76	41%
Dec 21, 2022	322	North Dakota	W	80-75	67%
Dec 29, 2022	134	@ South Dakota St.	L	76-89	15%
Dec 31, 2022	135	@ South Dakota	L	70-83	15%
Jan 05, 2023	307	Nebraska Omaha	W	83-79	63%
Jan 07, 2023	346	Denver	W	79-71	75%
Jan 12, 2023	122	@ Oral Roberts	L	77-91	13%
Jan 14, 2023	289	@ UMKC	L	73-76	41%
Jan 21, 2023	357	St. Thomas	W	81-66	88%
Jan 26, 2023	135	South Dakota	L	73-80	29%
Jan 28, 2023	134	South Dakota St.	L	79-86	30%
Feb 02, 2023	346	@ Denver	W	76-74	58%
Feb 04, 2023	307	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	80-82	44%
Feb 09, 2023	289	UMKC	W	76-73	60%
Feb 11, 2023	122	Oral Roberts	L	80-88	26%
Feb 18, 2023	357	@ St. Thomas	W	78-69	75%
Feb 23, 2023	322	@ North Dakota	L	77-78	47%
Feb 25, 2023	216	@ North Dakota St.	L	70-79	25%
Projected Record						11 - 15	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Summit League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.8	1.7	1.6	0.6	0.1				4.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	0.5	2.0	3.2	1.9	0.4	0.0					8.2	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.5	3.9	4.4	2.0	0.3	0.0						12.2	4th
5th							0.0	0.7	3.1	5.8	4.6	1.5	0.1	0.0							15.8	5th
6th						0.1	1.3	4.6	6.2	3.7	0.9	0.0									16.8	6th
7th					0.3	2.2	5.1	5.1	2.3	0.3	0.0										15.3	7th
8th			0.0	0.6	2.6	4.9	3.6	1.0	0.1	0.0											12.9	8th
9th		0.1	0.9	2.5	3.0	1.6	0.3	0.0													8.4	9th
10th	0.2	0.7	1.1	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0													3.1	10th

Total	0.2	0.8	2.0	3.9	6.1	8.9	10.3	11.5	11.9	11.3	9.9	8.1	6.1	4.0	2.6	1.5	0.6	0.2	0.0			Total

Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	88.5%	0.5		0.4	0.2
15-3	56.2%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1
14-4	23.5%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	4.6%	0.2		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.4%	2.4		1.3	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		45.5%	45.5%		11.9											0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0			0.0
17-1	0.2%		40.8%	40.8%		13.1											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.6%		30.9%	30.9%		13.7													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.4
15-3	1.5%		22.3%	22.3%		14.1												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.1
14-4	2.6%		14.4%	14.4%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.3
13-5	4.0%		10.0%	10.0%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	3.6
12-6	6.1%		6.0%	6.0%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	5.8
11-7	8.1%		4.0%	4.0%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.2	7.8
10-8	9.9%		2.6%	2.6%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.2	9.6
9-9	11.3%		1.6%	1.6%		15.9																0.0	0.2	11.1
8-10	11.9%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	11.8
7-11	11.5%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.5
6-12	10.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
5-13	8.9%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	8.9
4-14	6.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	6.0
3-15	3.9%																							3.9
2-16	2.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.0
1-17	0.8%																							0.8
0-18	0.2%																							0.2

Total	100%		2.7%	2.7%	0.0%	15.1											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	1.3	97.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%