Preseason Rankings
South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.0#345
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.8#101
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#340
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#336
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 6.2% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.7 15.7
.500 or above 4.1% 35.4% 4.1%
.500 or above in Conference 12.6% 58.0% 12.5%
Conference Champion 0.6% 2.1% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 40.3% 4.1% 40.3%
First Four0.5% 4.1% 0.5%
First Round0.5% 6.2% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 0.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 46 - 106 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 7   @ Duke L 58-92 0.1%   
  Nov 15, 2022 65   @ Clemson L 58-83 1%    
  Nov 18, 2022 184   Coastal Carolina L 67-77 19%    
  Nov 21, 2022 231   @ Air Force L 59-72 14%    
  Nov 25, 2022 87   @ South Carolina L 63-86 3%    
  Dec 03, 2022 268   @ Western Carolina L 70-80 20%    
  Dec 10, 2022 356   South Carolina St. W 80-72 75%    
  Dec 13, 2022 42   @ Florida St. L 60-87 1%    
  Dec 20, 2022 242   @ Kennesaw St. L 66-79 16%    
  Dec 29, 2022 174   Winthrop L 69-79 22%    
  Dec 31, 2022 335   @ Charleston Southern L 71-76 36%    
  Jan 04, 2023 293   @ Radford L 64-72 26%    
  Jan 07, 2023 255   High Point L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 11, 2023 256   Campbell L 63-68 34%    
  Jan 14, 2023 152   @ Longwood L 63-80 9%    
  Jan 18, 2023 310   Presbyterian L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 21, 2023 211   @ UNC Asheville L 66-80 13%    
  Jan 25, 2023 237   @ Gardner-Webb L 63-76 15%    
  Jan 28, 2023 293   Radford L 67-69 43%    
  Feb 01, 2023 256   @ Campbell L 60-71 19%    
  Feb 04, 2023 211   UNC Asheville L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 08, 2023 335   Charleston Southern W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 11, 2023 174   @ Winthrop L 66-82 11%    
  Feb 15, 2023 152   Longwood L 66-77 19%    
  Feb 18, 2023 255   @ High Point L 65-76 19%    
  Feb 22, 2023 310   @ Presbyterian L 64-71 29%    
  Feb 25, 2023 237   Gardner-Webb L 66-73 30%    
Projected Record 6 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 2.5 2.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.6 6th
7th 0.2 1.5 3.8 3.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.4 5.5 4.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 15.7 8th
9th 0.3 2.8 6.5 7.1 4.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 22.2 9th
10th 4.2 8.3 9.1 5.9 2.4 0.5 0.0 0.0 30.5 10th
Total 4.2 8.6 11.9 13.1 13.0 11.7 10.3 8.4 6.1 4.7 3.2 2.1 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 85.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 50.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 21.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 47.6% 47.6% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 27.6% 27.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 13.5% 13.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 19.7% 19.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.7% 8.8% 8.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
12-6 1.3% 7.7% 7.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2
11-7 2.1% 4.7% 4.7% 15.9 0.0 0.1 2.0
10-8 3.2% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.1
9-9 4.7% 1.2% 1.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.7
8-10 6.1% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 6.1
7-11 8.4% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.4
6-12 10.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.3
5-13 11.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.7
4-14 13.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.0
3-15 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
2-16 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.9
1-17 8.6% 8.6
0-18 4.2% 4.2
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.8%