IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Air Force
Mountain West
2022-23

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.0	#231
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	60.6	#346
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.3	#276

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.3	#164

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.4%	2.3%	0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.2%	0.6%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.3	12.7	14.5

.500 or above	25.6%	42.4%	14.6%
.500 or above in Conference	10.0%	16.7%	5.7%
Conference Champion	0.4%	0.7%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	43.4%	31.3%	51.4%

First Four	0.4%	0.6%	0.3%
First Round	1.2%	2.0%	0.6%
Second Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Away) - 39.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 5	1 - 9
Quad 3	3 - 6	4 - 15
Quad 4	8 - 3	13 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 07, 2022	234	@ Bowling Green	L	71-74	40%
Nov 11, 2022	153	Delaware	L	65-66	47%
Nov 14, 2022	343	Texas A&M - Commerce	W	71-58	87%
Nov 17, 2022	154	Portland	L	67-68	47%
Nov 21, 2022	345	South Carolina Upstate	W	72-59	86%
Nov 23, 2022	363	Mississippi Valley	W	80-56	98%
Nov 27, 2022	170	Montana	L	63-64	50%
Nov 30, 2022	360	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	73-53	95%
Dec 03, 2022	278	@ Portland St.	W	68-67	51%
Dec 06, 2022	135	South Dakota	L	65-67	43%
Dec 09, 2022	230	Arkansas St.	W	67-64	60%
Dec 18, 2022	245	Tarleton St.	W	62-58	62%
Dec 20, 2022	213	@ Northern Colorado	L	68-72	37%
Dec 28, 2022	23	@ San Diego St.	L	51-71	6%
Dec 31, 2022	126	Nevada	L	68-71	40%
Jan 03, 2023	76	Utah St.	L	60-68	26%
Jan 10, 2023	78	@ Colorado St.	L	57-71	14%
Jan 14, 2023	99	@ Fresno St.	L	53-64	18%
Jan 17, 2023	62	Wyoming	L	60-69	24%
Jan 21, 2023	23	San Diego St.	L	54-68	14%
Jan 24, 2023	210	@ San Jose St.	L	62-66	37%
Jan 27, 2023	110	@ New Mexico	L	66-76	22%
Jan 31, 2023	77	Boise St.	L	58-66	26%
Feb 03, 2023	126	@ Nevada	L	65-74	24%
Feb 07, 2023	78	Colorado St.	L	60-68	27%
Feb 10, 2023	110	New Mexico	L	69-73	38%
Feb 14, 2023	76	@ Utah St.	L	57-71	14%
Feb 18, 2023	62	@ Wyoming	L	57-72	12%
Feb 21, 2023	99	Fresno St.	L	56-61	34%
Feb 24, 2023	105	@ UNLV	L	58-69	20%
Mar 04, 2023	210	San Jose St.	W	65-63	55%
Projected Record						13 - 18	4 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mountain West Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0					1.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0							2.2	4th
5th								0.0	0.5	1.4	1.1	0.2	0.0								3.3	5th
6th							0.1	0.8	2.1	1.6	0.4	0.0	0.0								4.9	6th
7th						0.1	1.2	2.8	2.2	0.4	0.0										6.9	7th
8th				0.0	0.3	2.0	4.1	3.0	0.6	0.0	0.0										10.1	8th
9th			0.0	1.0	3.8	5.7	3.6	0.8	0.0												14.9	9th
10th		0.5	3.4	6.9	7.1	3.5	0.7	0.0													22.1	10th
11th	5.0	9.6	9.6	6.1	2.3	0.4	0.0														32.9	11th

Total	5.0	10.0	13.0	14.1	13.4	11.7	9.8	7.4	5.5	3.8	2.7	1.5	1.0	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	89.1%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	73.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	49.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	15.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.6%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%											0.0
17-1	0.0%										0.0	0.0	0.0
16-2	0.0%		66.3%	1.1%	65.2%	7.8						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		65.9%
15-3	0.1%		46.9%	10.6%	36.2%	9.2						0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0				0.1		40.5%
14-4	0.3%		37.9%	9.7%	28.2%	10.4							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.2		31.2%
13-5	0.5%		18.5%	10.2%	8.2%	11.0								0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.4		9.2%
12-6	1.0%		11.4%	7.0%	4.3%	11.7										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.9		4.7%
11-7	1.5%		4.9%	4.8%	0.2%	12.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		1.4		0.2%
10-8	2.7%		4.8%	4.8%		12.8											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		2.6
9-9	3.8%		4.3%	4.3%		13.6												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	3.7
8-10	5.5%		2.2%	2.2%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	5.4
7-11	7.4%		1.9%	1.9%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	7.3
6-12	9.8%		0.9%	0.9%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.7
5-13	11.7%		1.0%	1.0%		15.9																0.0	0.1	11.6
4-14	13.4%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.1	13.4
3-15	14.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	14.0
2-16	13.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.9
1-17	10.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.0
0-18	5.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.0

Total	100%		1.4%	1.1%	0.2%	13.3					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.4	98.6		0.2%