Umass Lowell
America East
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#141
Expected Predictive Rating+7.1#82
Pace71.8#106
Improvement+0.0#154

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#171
First Shot-5.0#325
After Offensive Rebound+5.1#8
Layup/Dunks-1.0#212
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#310
Freethrows-1.3#252
Improvement-0.1#285

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#125
First Shot+1.8#125
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#197
Layups/Dunks+4.9#37
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#268
Freethrows+0.0#179
Improvement+0.1#63
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.6% 32.4% 21.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 14.3
.500 or above 99.2% 99.6% 97.9%
.500 or above in Conference 97.0% 97.8% 94.8%
Conference Champion 36.2% 39.2% 28.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 1.0%
First Round29.3% 32.2% 21.4%
Second Round2.9% 3.5% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Away) - 72.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 22 - 4
Quad 419 - 322 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2022 349   @ Columbia W 89-62 87%     1 - 0 +16.8 +4.0 +10.8
  Nov 12, 2022 39   @ Rutgers L 65-73 14%     1 - 1 +5.6 +0.5 +5.3
  Nov 16, 2022 303   Sacred Heart W 90-81 88%     2 - 1 -1.8 +0.3 -3.0
  Nov 23, 2022 277   @ Brown W 73-62 67%     3 - 1 +8.3 +1.1 +7.1
  Nov 27, 2022 345   Stonehill W 73-59 94%     4 - 1 -1.9 -6.7 +5.6
  Nov 30, 2022 340   Merrimack W 77-51 93%     5 - 1 +10.8 -4.2 +13.6
  Dec 03, 2022 303   @ Sacred Heart W 81-74 73%    
  Dec 05, 2022 351   @ LIU Brooklyn W 80-68 87%    
  Dec 08, 2022 100   @ Massachusetts L 69-75 29%    
  Dec 10, 2022 339   St. Francis Brooklyn W 79-62 94%    
  Dec 13, 2022 175   @ Rhode Island L 67-68 46%    
  Dec 21, 2022 259   Boston University W 72-62 81%    
  Dec 31, 2022 318   @ NJIT W 71-63 77%    
  Jan 05, 2023 262   Maine W 74-64 81%    
  Jan 08, 2023 326   @ Albany W 74-65 80%    
  Jan 11, 2023 199   Vermont W 71-65 71%    
  Jan 14, 2023 337   @ Binghamton W 79-68 84%    
  Jan 19, 2023 281   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 82-71 83%    
  Jan 22, 2023 109   Bryant W 82-81 52%    
  Jan 25, 2023 262   @ Maine W 71-67 63%    
  Jan 28, 2023 330   @ New Hampshire W 71-61 81%    
  Feb 01, 2023 326   Albany W 77-62 92%    
  Feb 04, 2023 318   NJIT W 74-60 90%    
  Feb 06, 2023 361   @ Hartford W 77-61 92%    
  Feb 11, 2023 199   @ Vermont W 69-68 51%    
  Feb 15, 2023 109   @ Bryant L 79-84 32%    
  Feb 18, 2023 337   Binghamton W 82-65 93%    
  Feb 22, 2023 281   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-74 66%    
  Feb 25, 2023 330   New Hampshire W 74-58 92%    
Projected Record 22 - 7 12 - 4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 4.2 9.8 11.8 7.5 2.1 36.2 1st
2nd 0.2 2.6 8.2 12.1 8.5 2.1 33.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.3 6.0 1.9 0.1 17.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.3 2.1 0.4 7.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.5 0.8 0.1 3.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.9 3.7 6.8 11.2 15.4 18.2 18.3 13.9 7.5 2.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 2.1    2.1
15-1 100.0% 7.5    6.9 0.6
14-2 85.1% 11.8    8.4 3.4 0.0
13-3 53.2% 9.8    5.0 4.3 0.5
12-4 23.1% 4.2    1.4 2.0 0.8 0.0
11-5 5.2% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 36.2% 36.2 23.9 10.5 1.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 2.1% 71.6% 67.5% 4.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.6 12.5%
15-1 7.5% 55.7% 55.4% 0.3% 12.9 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.0 0.1 3.3 0.6%
14-2 13.9% 44.2% 44.2% 13.4 0.0 0.6 2.4 2.7 0.4 0.0 7.7
13-3 18.3% 35.6% 35.6% 13.8 0.3 2.0 3.2 1.0 0.1 11.8
12-4 18.2% 27.2% 27.2% 14.2 0.0 0.7 2.5 1.5 0.1 13.2
11-5 15.4% 20.9% 20.9% 14.6 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.6 0.4 12.1
10-6 11.2% 16.3% 16.3% 15.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.4 9.3
9-7 6.8% 11.7% 11.7% 15.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 6.0
8-8 3.7% 8.7% 8.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 3.4
7-9 1.9% 6.0% 6.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.8
6-10 0.7% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7
5-11 0.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.3
4-12 0.1% 0.1
3-13
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 29.6% 29.5% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5 2.4 7.7 11.2 6.1 1.6 70.4 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 95.1% 10.2 1.2 4.9 6.2 6.2 12.3 8.6 28.4 25.9 1.2