Rutgers
Big Ten
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#39
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#126
Pace68.9#175
Improvement-0.1#286

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#117
First Shot-1.7#231
After Offensive Rebound+3.5#24
Layup/Dunks+4.8#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#246
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.8#351
Freethrows+2.7#47
Improvement+0.0#215

Defense
Total Defense+8.8#17
First Shot+6.6#32
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#56
Layups/Dunks-0.3#197
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#31
Freethrows+1.5#104
Improvement-0.1#291
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 2.0% 4.3% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 7.1% 13.8% 3.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 37.4% 54.6% 29.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 34.9% 52.3% 26.5%
Average Seed 8.4 7.9 8.8
.500 or above 75.1% 88.3% 68.6%
.500 or above in Conference 47.7% 66.2% 38.7%
Conference Champion 1.3% 3.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.3% 0.5% 3.2%
First Four4.6% 4.5% 4.6%
First Round35.3% 52.5% 26.9%
Second Round19.1% 29.2% 14.2%
Sweet Sixteen6.7% 10.7% 4.7%
Elite Eight2.6% 4.1% 1.9%
Final Four1.0% 1.7% 0.7%
Championship Game0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.1%

Next Game: Indiana (Home) - 32.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 23 - 27 - 12
Quad 34 - 111 - 13
Quad 47 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 349   Columbia W 75-35 99%     1 - 0 +23.8 -9.9 +31.8
  Nov 10, 2022 303   Sacred Heart W 88-50 97%     2 - 0 +27.2 +2.4 +22.5
  Nov 12, 2022 141   Umass Lowell W 73-65 86%     3 - 0 +6.8 -1.8 +8.4
  Nov 18, 2022 95   Temple L 66-72 70%     3 - 1 -0.9 -6.9 +6.3
  Nov 22, 2022 228   Rider W 76-46 93%     4 - 1 +23.5 +0.3 +23.8
  Nov 26, 2022 341   Central Connecticut St. W 83-49 98%     5 - 1 +18.6 +8.5 +12.5
  Nov 30, 2022 37   @ Miami (FL) L 61-68 38%     5 - 2 +6.8 -2.1 +8.2
  Dec 03, 2022 6   Indiana L 65-70 33%    
  Dec 08, 2022 21   @ Ohio St. L 66-73 26%    
  Dec 11, 2022 68   Seton Hall W 68-62 70%    
  Dec 19, 2022 70   Wake Forest W 74-68 69%    
  Dec 23, 2022 223   Bucknell W 76-59 94%    
  Dec 30, 2022 312   Coppin St. W 84-62 98%    
  Jan 02, 2023 3   @ Purdue L 61-73 13%    
  Jan 05, 2023 11   Maryland L 65-69 37%    
  Jan 08, 2023 24   Iowa L 73-74 50%    
  Jan 11, 2023 90   @ Northwestern W 61-59 57%    
  Jan 15, 2023 21   Ohio St. L 69-70 47%    
  Jan 19, 2023 36   @ Michigan St. L 64-67 39%    
  Jan 24, 2023 44   Penn St. W 67-63 62%    
  Jan 29, 2023 24   @ Iowa L 70-76 29%    
  Feb 01, 2023 165   Minnesota W 68-55 89%    
  Feb 04, 2023 36   Michigan St. L 65-66 49%    
  Feb 07, 2023 6   @ Indiana L 62-73 17%    
  Feb 11, 2023 8   @ Illinois L 65-75 19%    
  Feb 14, 2023 91   Nebraska W 70-62 76%    
  Feb 18, 2023 34   @ Wisconsin L 59-62 38%    
  Feb 23, 2023 57   Michigan W 71-66 66%    
  Feb 26, 2023 44   @ Penn St. L 64-66 41%    
  Mar 02, 2023 165   @ Minnesota W 65-58 75%    
  Mar 05, 2023 90   Northwestern W 64-56 76%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 9 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.3 2.7 1.1 0.1 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.1 1.6 0.2 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.8 4.8 2.3 0.2 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.3 2.3 5.5 3.0 0.4 11.6 7th
8th 0.2 2.1 5.6 3.5 0.6 0.0 12.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.2 4.4 0.8 0.0 12.6 9th
10th 0.2 1.4 4.1 4.0 1.1 0.0 10.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.1 3.4 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.1 0.7 0.1 6.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 4.7 7.4 10.1 12.5 13.7 13.1 11.4 9.3 6.4 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 96.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 69.5% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 47.5% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.1
15-5 15.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.3% 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 100.0% 2.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 9.8% 90.2% 3.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.9% 100.0% 10.7% 89.3% 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.0% 100.0% 10.1% 89.9% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 4.0% 99.4% 8.9% 90.5% 6.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 1.2 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.3%
13-7 6.4% 96.4% 5.3% 91.1% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.0 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 96.2%
12-8 9.3% 87.3% 6.1% 81.2% 8.4 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.9 2.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 1.2 86.5%
11-9 11.4% 68.2% 5.0% 63.2% 9.4 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.2 2.4 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.6 66.6%
10-10 13.1% 40.8% 3.6% 37.2% 10.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.8 1.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 7.8 38.6%
9-11 13.7% 12.4% 3.4% 9.1% 11.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 9.4%
8-12 12.5% 3.0% 2.4% 0.6% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 12.1 0.6%
7-13 10.1% 2.2% 2.1% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.8 0.1%
6-14 7.4% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.3
5-15 4.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 4.6
4-16 2.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.3
3-17 1.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.1
2-18 0.4% 0.4
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 37.4% 3.8% 33.5% 8.4 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 2.0 3.1 5.2 7.0 6.2 5.7 4.2 1.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 62.6 34.9%