Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#180
Expected Predictive Rating-7.6#288
Pace68.2#198
Improvement-0.3#277

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#288
First Shot-6.8#344
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#25
Layup/Dunks-2.7#279
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#102
3 Pt Jumpshots-9.4#361
Freethrows+3.9#18
Improvement-0.3#316

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#80
First Shot+3.1#79
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#183
Layups/Dunks+1.4#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#55
Freethrows-1.0#242
Improvement+0.0#148
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.3% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.7 15.3
.500 or above 24.2% 36.9% 16.1%
.500 or above in Conference 34.0% 41.3% 29.4%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.7% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 13.7% 10.1% 16.0%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
First Round1.4% 2.0% 1.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Home) - 39.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 41 - 6
Quad 35 - 96 - 15
Quad 47 - 313 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2022 150   Quinnipiac L 62-67 55%     0 - 1 -6.8 -12.6 +6.1
  Nov 12, 2022 167   Texas St. L 66-70 60%     0 - 2 -7.0 -9.0 +2.1
  Nov 15, 2022 343   Stony Brook W 74-64 92%     1 - 2 -5.7 -2.2 -2.9
  Nov 21, 2022 47   Kansas St. L 57-77 16%     1 - 3 -10.0 -11.5 +1.9
  Nov 22, 2022 107   Tulane L 75-78 32%     1 - 4 +1.4 +4.5 -3.2
  Nov 23, 2022 280   Illinois St. W 57-44 70%     2 - 4 +7.0 -7.2 +16.7
  Nov 27, 2022 151   @ Boston College L 49-53 32%     2 - 5 +0.2 -16.7 +16.8
  Dec 03, 2022 93   Providence L 64-67 39%    
  Dec 07, 2022 275   Brown W 68-60 78%    
  Dec 10, 2022 305   Army W 75-65 84%    
  Dec 13, 2022 142   Umass Lowell W 68-67 53%    
  Dec 18, 2022 205   @ Georgia St. L 62-64 44%    
  Dec 22, 2022 229   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 71-65 71%    
  Dec 31, 2022 130   @ Duquesne L 65-71 29%    
  Jan 04, 2023 177   Fordham W 66-63 60%    
  Jan 07, 2023 220   @ La Salle L 63-64 49%    
  Jan 11, 2023 108   St. Bonaventure L 63-65 44%    
  Jan 14, 2023 99   @ Massachusetts L 63-71 22%    
  Jan 17, 2023 100   @ Richmond L 58-66 22%    
  Jan 21, 2023 158   George Mason W 66-64 56%    
  Jan 25, 2023 74   Dayton L 56-61 33%    
  Jan 28, 2023 220   La Salle W 66-60 69%    
  Feb 01, 2023 193   @ Saint Joseph's L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 07, 2023 46   @ Saint Louis L 64-78 11%    
  Feb 11, 2023 158   @ George Mason L 63-67 36%    
  Feb 15, 2023 85   Virginia Commonwealth L 60-64 37%    
  Feb 18, 2023 99   Massachusetts L 66-68 42%    
  Feb 22, 2023 194   George Washington W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 25, 2023 177   @ Fordham L 63-66 39%    
  Mar 01, 2023 171   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-63 39%    
  Mar 04, 2023 116   Davidson L 66-67 46%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 7 - 11





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.2 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.5 4th
5th 0.5 2.8 1.9 0.2 5.3 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 3.4 0.6 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 4.1 1.6 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.8 3.5 0.3 8.0 8th
9th 0.1 2.2 5.0 1.1 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 4.9 2.9 0.1 8.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.9 4.2 0.6 9.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.0 1.6 0.1 9.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.3 2.7 0.2 9.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.6 2.7 0.5 8.8 14th
15th 0.1 0.7 2.0 2.5 2.0 0.5 0.0 7.9 15th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.2 4.5 7.5 10.4 13.3 13.6 13.6 11.7 9.2 6.1 3.8 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 77.6% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 45.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.0
13-5 15.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 10.2% 10.2% 12.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 5.9% 5.9% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.8% 6.2% 6.2% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
13-5 2.0% 5.9% 5.9% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.9
12-6 3.8% 4.9% 4.9% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.7
11-7 6.1% 3.2% 3.2% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.9
10-8 9.2% 2.3% 2.3% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 8.9
9-9 11.7% 2.1% 2.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 11.4
8-10 13.6% 1.1% 1.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 13.4
7-11 13.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.2 13.4
6-12 13.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.2
5-13 10.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.3
4-14 7.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.5
3-15 4.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.5
2-16 2.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.2
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.8 98.4 0.0%