Bryant
America East
2021-22 - 2022-23 - 2023-24
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#111
Expected Predictive Rating+11.5#48
Pace82.3#5
Improvement+0.0#113

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#42
First Shot+4.3#64
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#93
Layup/Dunks+3.8#53
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#360
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#157
Freethrows+3.8#19
Improvement+0.1#81

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#229
First Shot-0.7#203
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#259
Layups/Dunks+8.2#5
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#333
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#303
Freethrows-2.7#316
Improvement-0.1#197
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 52.4% 54.0% 39.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 0.9% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.7
.500 or above 99.5% 99.7% 97.7%
.500 or above in Conference 99.0% 99.2% 97.9%
Conference Champion 59.4% 61.1% 46.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.6%
First Round52.1% 53.8% 39.2%
Second Round7.7% 8.1% 4.6%
Sweet Sixteen1.9% 2.0% 1.1%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 88.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 26 - 5
Quad 416 - 221 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 318   @ Dartmouth W 89-70 84%     1 - 0 +12.3 +4.5 +5.8
  Nov 17, 2022 68   @ Florida Atlantic L 74-85 25%     1 - 1 +0.0 -5.1 +6.9
  Nov 19, 2022 241   @ Florida International W 91-85 68%     2 - 1 +5.0 +1.6 +2.4
  Nov 21, 2022 197   Detroit Mercy W 98-88 70%     3 - 1 +8.4 +25.0 -16.0
  Nov 26, 2022 97   @ Syracuse W 73-72 34%     4 - 1 +9.1 +2.6 +6.5
  Dec 02, 2022 275   Brown W 85-72 89%    
  Dec 04, 2022 89   @ Cincinnati L 80-85 32%    
  Dec 06, 2022 107   @ Tulane L 81-84 37%    
  Dec 09, 2022 343   Stony Brook W 89-69 96%    
  Dec 11, 2022 265   @ Manhattan W 84-78 72%    
  Dec 17, 2022 126   Liberty W 78-77 54%    
  Dec 22, 2022 118   Towson W 78-75 62%    
  Dec 31, 2022 336   Binghamton W 92-73 96%    
  Jan 05, 2023 196   @ Vermont W 79-76 59%    
  Jan 08, 2023 279   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 93-80 88%    
  Jan 11, 2023 326   Albany W 88-70 94%    
  Jan 14, 2023 331   @ New Hampshire W 81-69 86%    
  Jan 19, 2023 317   NJIT W 84-68 93%    
  Jan 22, 2023 142   @ Umass Lowell L 81-82 48%    
  Jan 28, 2023 336   @ Binghamton W 89-76 87%    
  Feb 01, 2023 258   Maine W 85-73 85%    
  Feb 04, 2023 331   New Hampshire W 84-66 94%    
  Feb 08, 2023 326   @ Albany W 85-73 85%    
  Feb 11, 2023 279   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 90-83 73%    
  Feb 15, 2023 142   Umass Lowell W 84-79 68%    
  Feb 22, 2023 317   @ NJIT W 81-71 82%    
  Feb 25, 2023 196   Vermont W 82-73 78%    
  Feb 28, 2023 258   @ Maine W 82-76 70%    
Projected Record 21 - 7 13 - 3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.1 5.4 13.0 18.6 15.1 6.2 59.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.5 5.6 8.9 6.4 1.6 24.2 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.1 3.5 4.0 1.3 0.1 10.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.8 3.4 6.2 11.0 15.6 19.5 20.2 15.1 6.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 6.2    6.2
15-1 100.0% 15.1    14.5 0.6
14-2 92.0% 18.6    14.9 3.7 0.0
13-3 66.6% 13.0    7.9 4.6 0.5
12-4 34.4% 5.4    1.8 2.6 0.9 0.1
11-5 9.7% 1.1    0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 59.4% 59.4 45.5 11.9 1.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 6.2% 85.5% 82.4% 3.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.9 18.0%
15-1 15.1% 73.4% 72.4% 0.9% 12.5 0.0 0.2 1.2 4.2 4.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 4.0 3.3%
14-2 20.2% 61.7% 61.5% 0.3% 13.0 0.3 3.1 5.8 3.0 0.4 7.7 0.7%
13-3 19.5% 53.1% 53.1% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 1.2 4.4 3.9 0.8 0.0 9.2 0.0%
12-4 15.6% 42.2% 42.2% 13.8 0.3 2.0 3.1 1.1 0.1 9.0
11-5 11.0% 34.7% 34.7% 14.2 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.3 0.1 7.2
10-6 6.2% 26.7% 26.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 4.6
9-7 3.4% 20.9% 20.9% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 2.7
8-8 1.8% 14.5% 14.5% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.5
7-9 0.6% 8.5% 8.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6
6-10 0.2% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.0 0.2
5-11 0.1% 0.1
4-12 0.0% 0.0 0.0
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 52.4% 52.0% 0.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 2.8 10.4 18.3 13.9 4.8 0.8 47.6 0.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 97.6% 7.6 1.4 3.8 10.6 20.6 13.8 11.4 14.6 10.6 6.0 4.9