Pre-tourney Rankings
Bellarmine
Atlantic Sun
2023-24
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.6#312
Expected Predictive Rating-10.7#324
Pace63.6#311
Improvement-1.6#260

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#279
First Shot-2.3#247
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#282
Layup/Dunks-0.6#192
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#185
Freethrows-1.5#281
Improvement+0.0#179

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#322
First Shot-4.5#323
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#203
Layups/Dunks-2.3#272
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#160
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#323
Freethrows+1.3#94
Improvement-1.6#265
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 71 - 12
Quad 44 - 115 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2023 65   @ Washington L 57-91 4%     0 - 1 -22.6 -15.4 -5.1
  Nov 10, 2023 62   @ Kansas St. L 75-83 4%     0 - 2 +3.6 +8.9 -5.1
  Nov 14, 2023 147   @ Chattanooga L 64-72 13%     0 - 3 -4.2 -5.7 +1.2
  Nov 17, 2023 234   @ Bowling Green W 85-67 24%     1 - 3 +16.9 +18.5 -0.2
  Nov 20, 2023 128   Morehead St. L 51-64 21%     1 - 4 -13.0 -10.7 -5.2
  Nov 26, 2023 129   @ West Virginia L 58-62 11%     1 - 5 +1.1 -10.4 +11.4
  Nov 29, 2023 179   @ Louisville L 68-73 17%     1 - 6 -3.3 -5.9 +2.7
  Dec 02, 2023 263   @ Ball St. L 58-67 28%     1 - 7 -11.6 -12.8 +0.5
  Dec 16, 2023 224   Evansville L 61-70 39%     1 - 8 -14.8 -9.1 -6.4
  Dec 20, 2023 47   @ Utah L 43-85 3%     1 - 9 -28.7 -25.4 -1.1
  Dec 22, 2023 17   @ BYU L 59-101 2%     1 - 10 -24.9 -5.4 -21.3
  Dec 30, 2023 124   @ High Point L 85-90 10%     1 - 11 +0.4 +12.5 -12.3
  Jan 04, 2024 222   Austin Peay L 68-84 39%     1 - 12 0 - 1 -21.7 -7.7 -14.9
  Jan 06, 2024 168   Lipscomb L 70-81 29%     1 - 13 0 - 2 -13.8 -0.7 -14.3
  Jan 11, 2024 247   @ North Alabama L 53-69 25%     1 - 14 0 - 3 -17.6 -10.0 -11.4
  Jan 13, 2024 337   @ Central Arkansas L 57-59 53%     1 - 15 0 - 4 -11.5 -11.4 -0.4
  Jan 20, 2024 208   @ Eastern Kentucky L 70-82 20%     1 - 16 0 - 5 -11.9 -1.7 -10.8
  Jan 25, 2024 240   North Florida L 63-71 42%     1 - 17 0 - 6 -14.6 -10.1 -5.2
  Jan 27, 2024 270   Jacksonville W 69-63 49%     2 - 17 1 - 6 -2.2 +0.7 -2.3
  Feb 01, 2024 264   @ Kennesaw St. W 96-95 OT 29%     3 - 17 2 - 6 -1.8 +12.4 -14.2
  Feb 03, 2024 258   @ Queens L 75-85 28%     3 - 18 2 - 7 -12.4 -0.9 -11.4
  Feb 07, 2024 209   Stetson L 77-84 37%     3 - 19 2 - 8 -12.2 +5.2 -18.1
  Feb 10, 2024 228   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 52-63 23%     3 - 20 2 - 9 -11.8 -15.0 +2.0
  Feb 17, 2024 208   Eastern Kentucky L 65-75 37%     3 - 21 2 - 10 -15.1 -10.5 -4.9
  Feb 22, 2024 337   Central Arkansas W 68-65 72%     4 - 21 3 - 10 -11.7 -12.9 +1.2
  Feb 24, 2024 247   North Alabama W 82-70 43%     5 - 21 4 - 10 +5.2 +7.9 -2.1
  Feb 28, 2024 168   @ Lipscomb L 74-90 15%     5 - 22 4 - 11 -13.6 -4.8 -8.1
  Mar 01, 2024 222   @ Austin Peay L 87-90 OT 22%     5 - 23 4 - 12 -3.5 +6.1 -9.4
Projected Record 5 - 23 4 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12 100.0% 100.0
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%